Recruiting Forum Football Talk III

[Devo182]

Federal government gonna swoop in and tell them to F off again?

I believe most do want a national policy, not 50 different state policies and lots of politics involved.

 

[Christian Lowe]

Phil Steele apparently has our season going like this

Bowling Green - W
Pitt - L
Tenn Tech - W
@Florida - L
@Mizzou - L
@USCe - W
Ole Miss - L
@Alabama - L
@UK - L
Georgia - L
South Alabama - W
Vanderbilt - W

 

[Batman1948]

Santiago Vescovi got selected for Uruguay’s Olympic qualifying team. Don’t know if he’d go to Tokyo with them should they qualify though

Why would he try out for their Olympic team and then not go if they qualify? I hope you're not on drugs dude

 

[Christian Lowe]

Why would he try out for their Olympic team and then not go if they qualify? I hope you're not on drugs dude

He only got selected for the qualifying team. Qualifying teams aren’t the same as Olympic teams

 

[Devo182]

Phil Steele apparently has our season going like this

Bowling Green - W
Pitt - L
Tenn Tech - W
@Florida - L
@Mizzou - L
@USCe - W
Ole Miss - L
@Alabama - L
@UK - L
Georgia - L
South Alabama - W
Vanderbilt - W

This is why using binary wins and losses doesn't tell the whole picture. Those wins are likely all blowouts (big margins), minus USCe, while FOUR of those losses are probably close to 50/50. Pitt, UK, Mizzou, Ole Miss.

If he did percentages, I'd bet he's a lot closer to or even over 6 wins. Probabilities are what matter.

 

[GoBigOrange86]

All I can say to the doubters - just go game by game down our meh schedule and give each game a percentage that UT wins. Add up each game's percentage and tell me you don't come close to 7, at least 6.

Bowling Green - 85%
Pitt - 50%
Tenn Tech - 95%
@Florida - 15%
@Mizzou - 35%
@USCe - 50%
Ole Miss - 35%
@Alabama - 5%
@UK - 50%
Georgia - 10%
South Alabama - 85%
Vanderbilt - 80%

I see 4 games that we should win more than we lose. The rest are tossups at best. I could easily see 4-8, 5-7, something like that.

 

[Catbone]

It's not @ South Carolina

 

[TrippieRedd]

All I can say to the doubters - just go game by game down our meh schedule and give each game a percentage that UT wins. Add up each game's percentage and tell me you don't come close to 7, at least 6.

Bowling Green - W
Pitt - W
Tenn Tech - W
@Florida - L
@Mizzou - L
@USCe - W
Ole Miss - L
@Alabama - L
@UK - L
Georgia - L
South Alabama - W
Vanderbilt - W

Not confident in this because if we beat Pitt then I think we beat Ole Miss and Mizz, but I’ll say 6-6

 

[butchna]

Got a coworker who's son is class of 21 and said he is getting screwed out a soccer scholarship because of existing student athletes getting the freebie year. Does this make sense?

I don’t know how soccer scholarships work (baseball is still fuzzy), but in football returning seniors who’s eligibility would have otherwise have been spent? Don’t count against the 85. Like the other poster stated, if it’s a smaller school the financials require some finite navigating.

 

[Leeleesteeth]

I feel this way about Lynard Skynard. It might be because I got so sick of Freebird that I could not stand it.

Heathen! You'll smoke a turd in hell for that comment.

 

[Big Gucci Sosa]

Bowling Green - 85%
Pitt - 40%
Tenn Tech - 95%
@Florida - 5%
@Mizzou - 45%
USCe - 65%
Ole Miss - 45%
@Alabama - 0%
@UK - 35%
Georgia - 0%
South Alabama - 99%
Vanderbilt - 70%

 

[JCVol00]

Volshop and alumni Hall just dropped these, I wonder if these will be some alternate jerseys we will wear this year

 

[TheMookieMonster]

All black-unis (helmet, top, pants) for one game this season would be niiiiiiiiiice. I know we have a bunch of sticklers for the classic look, but mixing it up in October for a home game would be sweet.

 

[Devo182]

I could easily see 4-8, 5-7, something like that.

Bowling Green - 85%
Pitt - 50%
Tenn Tech - 95%
@Florida - 15%
@Mizzou - 35%
@USCe - 50%
Ole Miss - 35%
@Alabama - 5%
@UK - 50%
Georgia - 10%
South Alabama - 85%
Vanderbilt - 80%

I see 4 games that we should win more than we lose. The rest are tossups at best. I could easily see 4-8, 5-7, something like that.

Your predictions come out to 5.95 wins. You're at 6-6 almost on the dot.

Your most likely outcomes:
8-4: 9%
7-5: 22%
6-6: 31%
5-7: 21%
4-8: 12%

64% chance of 6-6 or better, almost 2:1...you're more optimistic than you think

This is why people should go down the schedule game-by-game and assign odds...it's such a favorable schedule if you look at it 1 game at a time.

 

[Glitch]

It is yours. Pretty sure it was your post I quoted. Barring injury, 7-5 is absolutely doable.

Hey, 7-5....

 

[Devo182]

Bowling Green - 85%
Pitt - 40%
Tenn Tech - 95%
@Florida - 5%
@Mizzou - 45%
USCe - 65%
Ole Miss - 45%
@Alabama - 0%
@UK - 35%
Georgia - 0%
South Alabama - 99%
Vanderbilt - 70%

5.84 Wins

62% of 6-6 or better

Most likely outcomes:
8-4: 9%
7-5: 20%
6-6: 32%
5-7: 24%
4-8: 11%

 

[VolsDoc81TX]

Truly sorry to hear this. Our lab is getting some years on her, too. We never have them long enough.

So very true. Thanks

 

[GoBigOrange86]

Your predictions come out to 5.95 wins. You're at 6-6 almost on the dot.

Your most likely outcomes:
8-4: 9%
7-5: 22%
6-6: 31%
5-7: 21%
4-8: 12%

64% chance of 6-6 or better, almost 2:1...you're more optimistic than you think

This is why people should go down the schedule game-by-game and assign odds...it's such a favorable schedule if you look at it 1 game at a time.

Ah, yes, but you forget the curse Rohan Davey’s mother placed on us two decades ago. You must account for that in the numbers.

 

[Bassmaster_Vol]

Another 6-6 or 7-5 season….

 

[chavisut]

Any sneakerheads on here?

 

[GoBigOrange86]

Another 6-6 or 7-5 season….

Can’t wait to get back to the 8-4 Music City Bowl good times we had with Butch!

 

[nicksjuzunk]

I’ve been working on a terrible, culturally acceptable habit of looking at my phone every possible second of the day, so I’m becoming more aware of things…

Two people having coffee… one absolute smoke show of a blonde and her guy. In the five minutes I was around, not once did he look up from his phone or speak to her. She sat there looking around, disinterested and right about the time I left, decided to stare at her glowing rectangle too.

Dude has a 10/10 there and can’t even be in the moment. What have we become?

 

[nicksjuzunk]

Any sneakerheads on here?

Naw, I prefer my feet, but I’ll try it on your recommendation

 

[Tyler865]

Bowling Green - 70%
Pitt - 45%
Tenn Tech - 100%
@ Florida - 10%
@ Mizzou - 40%
USCe - 50%
Ole Miss - 35%
@ Alabama - 0%
@ UK - 40%
Georgia - 0%
South Alabama -80%
Vanderbilt - 55%

 

[VolsDoc81TX]

Bowling Green - 85%
Pitt - 50%
Tenn Tech - 95%
@Florida - 15%
@Mizzou - 35%
@USCe - 50%
Ole Miss - 35%
@Alabama - 5%
@UK - 50%
Georgia - 10%
South Alabama - 85%
Vanderbilt - 80%

I see 4 games that we should win more than we lose. The rest are tossups at best. I could easily see 4-8, 5-7, something like that.

So I read this differently. I see those odds as % chance of us blowing the doors off of a particular opponent rather than just winning. We’re beating every single one of these sum britches this year. Consider it payback time for all the misery. Pitt just happened to make a huge scheduling mistake. Sorry Pitt, we’ve been there. I know that won’t help with the pain of a nationally embarrassing arse whooping…but we understand.

That game will be a declaration to the SEC that we are not going to be the pushover of the last decade. It’s going to be an all out firefight with an air and ground assault that will be totally devastating to behold. You better score every time you get the ball, cause Tennessee absolutely will. Get behind and you won’t catch us!

V.B. Double Gauldens too!