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People need to stop sleeping on our defense. We are getting better every week. If Bryce Young wasn't super human, Bama wouldn't have done anything. He single handedly carried them in that game by avoiding what would have been multiple sacks for other QB's, and made incredible plays down field. Guy was a monster. We rank 26th in scoring defense but if not for Young that would be much higher.
Our defense is what we have seen against LSU and KY. that's who we are now. You may move the ball some, but you aren't going to score. And GA doesn't have Bryce Young.

GA is ranked 2 in scoring defense, but the best team they've played after Oregon in week 1, is Fl. That's it. Oregon wasn't in week 1 what they are now either and Bo Pix threw them the ball multiple times. They haven't played anyone with a pulse. Had to come from behind against Mizzou and only managed to beat them by 4 and didn't score 30. And oh yeah, AR15 who they've been killing over there all year long, put up 300 yards on them.

This game won't be close Saturday.

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I hope Nolan plays, one less excuse those idiots have when they lose. Heck even if he doesn’t play they SHOULD win just based on talent and circumstances alone being the home team and facing Tennessee who’s under self imposed sanctions. But we have Heupel and they don’t. We have the better quarterback and they don’t. 45-34 Vols
 
Looking at the Georgia game –

ESPN FPI is what it is as are all other computer models. I think there’s some interesting information that comes out of those models but as I’ve said before I think it’s important to have some idea what the inputs are for those models. As best I can tell the input that probably hurts us the most right now in most computer models is the average recruiting ranking. The models favor subjective talent evaluations. Development is captured in on-field performance and that carries more weight than recruiting but recruiting still has some impact, even this far into the season. jmo.

One of ESPN’s outputs is Game Control. They have Tennessee ranked #1; Georgia is ranked #5 and Alabama is ranked #3.

They also rank strength of schedule and strength of record to date. Our SOS up to this point in the season is ranked #19 and our strength of record is ranked #1. Georgia’s strength of schedule to date is ranked #75 and their strength of record is ranked #5. Alabama’s strength of schedule to date is ranked #10 and their strength of record is at #6 (It’s no crime to lose to Tennessee this year).

The only decent win Georgia has on their resume is Oregon, a team playing in their first game with a new staff (virgin head coach) and a new QB. Oregon has rebounded from their shellacking in Atlanta but in looking at their opponents I’m not that impressed. They did beat UCLA and I looked at that game. That was a good win if any win in the PAC12 can be considered good. I think we would be favored over Oregon by multiple scores. jmo.

Statistically, the best defense Georgia has faced so far this year was Missouri. Statistically Alabama, LSU, and Kentucky are all ranked above Missouri in scoring defense (and so is Tennessee).

Since the Oregon game (which I’ve discounted) Georgia’s pass defense hasn’t faced a single passing offense ranked above #83. Other than Oregon and Missouri Georgia hasn’t faced a single run defense ranked better than #80 and that #80 was Vanderbilt.

For the Kentucky game our defense performed as the #1 defense in the country. I think there are at least two, maybe three, reasons for that but it all comes down to, in my opinion, Josh Heupel. All the things he’s been saying week after week after week since the Ball State game that we need to do on defense, especially in the secondary, we did on Saturday night. Doneiko and Brandon, pressed in to action in the absence of Kamal and Christian, confirmed that in their postgame interviews. The big thing Heupel has wanted was tighter coverage in the secondary. Doneiko said he and Brandon were able to play tighter coverage Saturday because they were in cover 2 so they knew they had help over the top. Maybe we were in cover 2 because we had new guys at the corners and were trying to help them. Whatever the reason the secondary play was unlike anything else we’ve seen this year and everything like what Heupel has said we needed to do. I pointed out last week that we were giving up an average of 16 first downs per game via the pass and if we could cut that to 8 we’d be pretty good. Saturday night we only gave up 6 passing first downs.

Statistically we have a better offense than Georgia and we’ve played against better defenses than they have.

According to ESPN’s efficiency ratings we have much much better special teams than Georgia. Those special teams were incredible Saturday night because between them and the defense our offense’s average starting field position was the 44.5 yard line. Kentucky’s average starting field position for their offense was their 20.6 yard line. When our drives start at or better than our 40 yard line we average 5.27 points per drive. When Kentucky’s offensive possessions start at or behind their 20 yard line they average 0.62 points per drive. Those were the number going into the game. If you can visualize the football field on which we played the game it was only about 55.5 yards long and it was on Kentucky’s side of the field. Kentucky’s offense had 12 possessions in the game; they made it into Tennessee territory just 3 times all night.

Georgia has a statistically better defense than we’ve shown for most of the season but it’s all about the secondary and strength of schedule. Their run defense is 4th best in the nation; Tennessee’s is 9th best. Alabama, when we played them was 4th best. Georgia’s pass defense rating is 3rd best in the nation; Alabama’s pass defense rating was 2nd best before they played Tennessee. Josh Heupel’s pass defense in #1 in the nation. jmo.

Given that Georgia’s strength of schedule is seen as #75 in all of FBS I think maybe the only thing not in our favor for this game is the home field advantage but as we saw with LSU even that may not work out for the home team. jmo.
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