Usce D has given up 395 rush yds to aub, 211 to furman, and 239 to uk their last 3 games. We really need to be close to 200 rush yds or more to have a chance tonight, imo.
Also, their last 2 losses vs aub and uk were both by 7 pts and usce was −2 in both games in turnovers. We need to win the turnover battle tonight as well.
We had 181 rush yds last week so I feel pretty confident we can get close to 200 or more. Especially seeing how aub ran for 395 on them with a qb who can run last week.
As far as turnovers, our D is freaking due a big time play for a score. Pick 6, scoop and score fumble, or whatever. If not the D, hopefully we can break a big play on kickoff or punt return.
If we can run for about 200 yds and win the turnover battle I like our chances. A defensive score or special teams score wouldn't hurt either.
33-28 Vols!