i have no idea on this game.
i have zero confidence in how we're playing right now. the passing game is non existent, i don't trust the o line. i feel like our defense has suddenly gotten very porous, while still making big plays along the way. we couldn't move the ball against Arkansas and were in very real danger to losing to Fl by double digits.
but that's us. Bama, outside the 1st half against UGA, has looked pretty mediocre too. i mean, they lost to VANDY. surely we can compete with that team? they coulda/woulda/should lost to USCe.
i think this game is difficult to pick....we have home field, which i think matters. but they have milroe and williams, and that will matter.
i don't think anyone would be surprised at who wins this game and the loser will probably be looking back at a handful of plays/mistakes that had they gone the other way, maybe changes the outcome.
neither team can afford to lose it, and both teams think they can win it. that usually makes for a good game....
BVS says this is the type of game we usually lose....but despite the Arkansas game result, we've won 2 games this year that would have typically been lossess in years past, OU and FL.
i think this game hinges on whether or not Williams and Milroe generate multiple big plays for quick scores. i think their plan is relatively simple...put the ball in Nico's hands and see if he can beat you. our plan has to be to keep everything in front of us, and contain the big play....death by 1000 cuts.
there are match ups in their secondary that we can take advantage of, if we can keep Nico upright, and not kill ourselves with mistakes.
i have no idea on this game. my brain says they're better at QB and they have match up problems for us at WR. my heart says it's a home and if we can play clean, and not shoot ourselves in the foot, we can play with anyone.....
so.....the pick? TN 24 Bama 29. i think our defense bends but doesn't break and forces FG's instead of TD's, but they just have more opportunities and ultimately it's enough to get out of Knoxville with a win. but i wouldn't be shocked at all if it's us at the end either. i think both teams have issues. when you lose to Arkansas and Vandy, you have issues.
i'm just concerned we don't have as many answers as Bama, and it may just be 2-3 plays they get with Williams down field or Milroe with his legs that winds up being the difference.