nicksjuzunk
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Tennessee heads up north to Lexington for their annual de-railing of Kentucky's "hot start". Both teams sit at 5-2 and Kroger Field will be soaked in bourbon by the time 7:00 rolls around so it should be a fun time in the blue grass state.
Keys to Victory:
1. Slay Ray: This game features two of the best running backs in the nation. Ray Davis is a grown man running with a ball. He is averaging 7.0 yards per carry and if he weren't completely locked down vs. Georgia, he'd probably be closer to 9 YPC. He single handily destroyed Florida for 280 yards. To say the Kentucky offense runs through him is an understatement. Fortunately, the Tennessee defensive line has been outstanding this year, especially up the middle. If Tennessee can have a Georgia like performance (3.9 YPC) this will be run away win. If he averages above 5.0 YPC, it will be a tighter window.
2. Don't be Leery of Leary: Mocking over-hyped Kentucky quarterbacks is my 8th favorite thing. No one at all is talking about Devin Leary anymore, but he was Will Levi's 2.0 before the season... which means he is actually Will Levi's 2.0 now... which is ranked 90th in QBR nationally. Just get the engraving man and the Heisman and let nature take it's course. His past three games he has passed for an eye-popping 120, 128 and 69 yards. LOL... m'kay man. This dude has no sauce. 14 TD and 7 INT.
3. Be on the Wright side of the rushing stats: It's not enough to hold Ray Davis in check, Jaylen Wright, Small and Sampson all need to challenge the stingiest rushing defense (#8) to keep the game from leaning to heavily on Milton's shoulders. It was an off game vs. Bama. They need to be back on track.
4. Keep your options open: Heupel leaned more heavily on the option last week. Although Joe looked awkward with some pitches, it was effective. We need to keep Milton adding to the running game.
5. Play calling: I love Heupel's play-calling... until we miss 5 straight 4th down conversions. There have been some head scratching decisions in risky situations, and he needs to get that sorted out. Going for 4th down on your own 45 is not awful, but when you pair it with a shotgun run up the middle of Alabama's defense... c'mon now.
Prediction: Milton takes advantage of the 105th ranked pass defense in the nation and Squirrel gets big work. The Tennessee running game goes for over 200 again and Ray Davis averages 4.8 yards per carry, mostly in check, but bouncing off a few missed tackles for 2-3 bigger runs. Tennessee is the more complete team, a tale as old as time.
TN 34
KY 17