RPI Discussion.

#1
Freak

Freak

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#1
I figured it would be worthwhile to have a dedicated thread to track RPI updates and movements since I have a feeling we are going to be watching this closely for the next few weeks.

Tennessee fell to 55 in the latest RPI.
 
#2
#2
I'd say 40-45 is cut off when it becomes "more likely than not" a team is included in the dance. I've not done any number crunching on this, but when I look at RPI breakdowns, teams below the 40 line seem to out rather than in.
 
#3
#3
MemphisCanes said:
I'd say 40-45 is cut off when it becomes "more likely than not" a team is included in the dance. I've not done any number crunching on this, but when I look at RPI breakdowns, teams below the 40 line seem to out rather than in.
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I would agree with this. There's been some instances of teams making it with a worse RPI, but the odds aren't good.
 
#4
#4
MemphisCanes said:
I'd say 40-45 is cut off when it becomes "more likely than not" a team is included in the dance. I've not done any number crunching on this, but when I look at RPI breakdowns, teams below the 40 line seem to out rather than in.
Click to expand...

Copy from another thread:

Average of the last 4 teams in the tournament from 2009-2012 was 45. Only two made it with an RPI over 54 - Clemson at 55 and USC at 73 - both in 2011.

Last year's last 4 in were MTSU (28), St. Mary's (29), LaSalle (46) and Boise (44).
 
#8
#8
MemphisCanes said:
So 20-10 (really 21-10 with the D2 win) will make sure that you're not sweating it out on Selection Sunday.
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Right now, 9-5, 1-1 with 16 more SEC games. If they are swept by UK, MIZZ and UF, that's at best 21-10, 12-6. Not sure that gets them in, but it's close with a win or two in the SECT.

If they take 1 or 2 out of the five with UK, MIZ and UF and avoid any more TAMU style meltdowns, that will get the Vols in.

If they are swept by UK, MIZ and UF and lose another FUBAR game, then I don't think even 20 wins and an SECT win gets them in.
 
#9
#9
MemphisCanes said:
So 20-10 (really 21-10 with the D2 win) will make sure that you're not sweating it out on Selection Sunday.
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That's where most people don't know that the Tusculum win doesn't mean anything. Right now, UT is 9-5 not 10-5. The Tusculum win doesn't count. So, UT needs to win at least 11 more games out 16 in the regular season to even be in the conversation. That A & M loss just really sucks f'n balls.
 
#18
#18
Having to wonder what helps and hurts our RPI is really exhausting. Having to come down to the question of how many wins in the SEC tourney we might need to make it to the Dance is also getting dull.

I like CCM. The players aren't out getting in trouble.

Yet, something is amiss.

How can CCM be 3-0 against UF and 1-3(including the SECT) against Bama? He's 3-1 against Vandy, but 1-3 against UGA.

We go and beat LSU at their place, then drop a 14 point lead to TAMU at ours.

Seems like the same ole same ole to me. Lose to UTEP, beat Xavier. Lose to NC State, beat UVA. Lose to the likes of Austin Peay, beat Florida.

Coach Martin's teams have been consistently inconsistent.

So...as a casual fan, I guess I'll have to keep watching the RPI. Hoping other teams will help our "bubble status".... though it hasn't helped the last two years. Will we need to replace the TAMU loss with a win at their place late in the season because NOW the player's backs are up against it?

Lest I get lumped in with all the "Bring Back Pearl" folks...Just win the games you should win with the players playing like they care. If CCM wants to shut the Pearl fans up (I don't think he gives a poop about that btw), there is only one way. WIN.
 
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#19
#19
vol66 said:
Having to wonder what helps and hurts our RPI is really exhausting. Having to come down to the question of how many wins in the SEC tourney we might need to make it to the Dance is also getting dull.

I like CCM. The players aren't out getting in trouble.

Yet, something is amiss.

How can CCM be 3-0 against UF and 1-3(including the SECT) against Bama? He's 3-1 against Vandy, but 1-3 against UGA.

We go and beat LSU at their place, then drop a 14 point lead to TAMU at ours.

Seems like the same ole same ole to me. Lose to UTEP, beat Xavier. Lose to NC State, beat UVA. Lose to the likes of Austin Peay, beat Florida.

Coach Martin's teams have been consistently inconsistent.

So...as a casual fan, I guess I'll have to keep watching the RPI. Hoping other teams will help our "bubble status".... though it hasn't helped the last two years. Will we need to replace the TAMU loss with a win at their place late in the season because NOW the player's backs are up against it?

Lest I get lumped in with all the "Bring Back Pearl" folks...Just win the games you should win with the players playing like they care. If CCM wants to shut the Pearl fans up (I don't think he gives a poop about that btw), there is only one way. WIN.
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Well for one, Fox is one of the better X's and O's coaches in the league. He has had Martin's number for the last two years. That game against them will be no gimme. We have the better talent. They have the better coach. Luckily, it's at home.

I don't see us winning at Rupp or at Fla. We need to beat Fla at home. I think they're the best team in the SEC. We cannot have anymore slip ups or we're going to have to steal some on the road against Mizzou, Ky or Fla.

We need to take care of business at Vandy, at Bama, at Miss St, at A & M and at Auburn. We cannot have slip ups against teams we should beat. Then if we can split with Mizzou and Fla we will be sitting pretty good.
 
#20
#20
OrangeBalls said:
Well for one, Fox is one of the better X's and O's coaches in the league. He has had Martin's number for the last two years. That game against them will be no gimme. We have the better talent. They have the better coach. Luckily, it's at home.

I don't see us winning at Rupp or at Fla. We need to beat Fla at home. I think they're the best team in the SEC. We cannot have anymore slip ups or we're going to have to steal some on the road against Mizzou, Ky or Fla.

We need to take care of business at Vandy, at Bama, at Miss St, at A & M and at Auburn. We cannot have slip ups against teams we should beat. Then if we can split with Mizzou and Fla we will be sitting pretty good.
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That's a rather tall order based on the past two years and what we've seen so far this season. I hope we can do it, because we sure have the players to do it.
 
#21
#21
We are 57rpi and auburn is nearly 200.


Curious as to what a win would do for our Rpi.

What does Rpi forecast say assuming we win tonight???
 
#22
#22
BruinVol said:
We are 57rpi and auburn is nearly 200.


Curious as to what a win would do for our Rpi.

What does Rpi forecast say assuming we win tonight???
Click to expand...

Earlier in the season it would have dropped a couple of spots just for playing them.
14 games in, probably won't move, unless we lose.
 
#23
#23
calban said:
Earlier in the season it would have dropped a couple of spots just for playing them.
14 games in, probably won't move, unless we lose.
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It will most likely stay the same with a win. But if Xavier beats Georgetown. NCST beats Wake. TAMU beats USCe and LSU beats OleMiss it should move up.
 
#25
#25
Stoked4Zo said:
It will most likely stay the same with a win. But if Xavier beats Georgetown. NCST beats Wake. TAMU beats USCe and LSU beats OleMiss it should move up.
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We have at least one poster that swears the Rpi is golden and had been spot on for years.

That is a lot of ifs that it certainly can't predict all of those.


I would love to know exactly what it predicts
 
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