RPI Discussion.

#26
#26
BruinVol said:
We have at least one poster that swears the Rpi is golden and had been spot on for years.

That is a lot of ifs that it certainly can't predict all of those.


I would love to know exactly what it predicts
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Where is Zansdad when you need him?
 
#27
#27
BruinVol said:
We are 57rpi and auburn is nearly 200.


Curious as to what a win would do for our Rpi.

What does Rpi forecast say assuming we win tonight???
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Like Calban said, probably not much movement with a win. A loss probably drops us into the 70-80 range.

Side note: Arkansas has a RPI of 87 after last night, they're in a deep hole and have to learn to win on the road.
 
#28
#28
bleedingTNorange said:
Like Calban said, probably not much movement with a win. A loss probably drops us into the 70-80 range.

Side note: Arkansas has a RPI of 87 after last night, they're in a deep hole and have to learn to win on the road.
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I really am not asking for opinions of what will happen with the Rpi.

I am asking what rpi forcaster is predicting.

Just curious if it turns out to be accurate come tomorrow morning
 
#29
#29
bleedingTNorange said:
Like Calban said, probably not much movement with a win. A loss probably drops us into the 70-80 range.

Side note: Arkansas has a RPI of 87 after last night, they're in a deep hole and have to learn to win on the road.
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Arkansas is 65 today.

87 before last night
 
#30
#30
BruinVol said:
We have at least one poster that swears the Rpi is golden and had been spot on for years.

That is a lot of ifs that it certainly can't predict all of those.


I would love to know exactly what it predicts
Click to expand...

Rpiforecast doesn't make game by game RPI predictions, they make end of season record RPI predictions.

It's my understanding that it's pretty much based all by projections of each team. So for example, they have us projected to finish 20-11 (11-7) with an expected RPI of around 46. They're projecting the most probable wins and losses, factoring in those teams projected records/RPIs, which in turn calculates our RPI for each scenario.

Now are there outliers that can change the data, and thus make their projections incorrect, of course. However, as the year goes on the RPI can only move so much, and so these projections get more and more concrete. The biggest variants at this point (besides our W/L) are what the other teams we have played OOC do. As Stoked mentioned, if all those teams we played win tonight, we would get a nice SOS boost and therefore our RPI number would improve.

A common misconception though is our opponents opponent, and thinking it effects us. For example, Virginia @ Duke the other night, that game had no more of an impact on our RPI than Virginia against Citadel. Now obviously if Virginia wins it increases their RPI thus making our win look better, better it doesn't matter if it's duke or whoever, a win increases our RPI (via SOS) the same amount.
 
#33
#33
BruinVol said:
I really am not asking for opinions of what will happen with the Rpi.

I am asking what rpi forcaster is predicting.

Just curious if it turns out to be accurate come tomorrow morning
Click to expand...

They don't predict a game by game RPI move, ask Zansdad if you'd like that info.
 
#40
#40
So Car up 45-39 at A & M. God, that loss to them still pisses me off. UT needs to win down there to pay them back.
 
#43
#43
BruinVol said:
I Am afraid we are going to find out.

The team we saw tonight is somewhere between 10-12 wins from my point of view
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I'm not gonna try to figure this team out, I give up.

We've seen a team capable of winning 15 games in the league, and a team capable of winning 9.

Somewhere in the middle?

Sounds possible.

Jerry Palm said 11-7 gets us in today, he's pretty good at this stuff.
 
#44
#44
UT seems to play to the level of their competition. Outside of the UTEP debacle, they tend to play better on the road this year instead of at home for some reason. They haven't lost by double digits in any loss...yet. I hope we see the Dr. Jekyll side of the team in Rupp on Sat.
 
#45
#45
bleedingTNorange said:
I'm not gonna try to figure this team out, I give up.

We've seen a team capable of winning 15 games in the league, and a team capable of winning 9.

Somewhere in the middle?

Sounds possible.

Jerry Palm said 11-7 gets us in today, he's pretty good at this stuff.
Click to expand...

The only way I see 11-7 being enough is if we win at florida or kentucky and then our losses are to middle of the road teams team like at Bama. We couldn't handle a bad loss like at auburn
 
#46
#46
BruinVol said:
The only way I see 11-7 being enough is if we win at florida or kentucky and then our losses are to middle of the road teams team like at Bama. We couldn't handle a bad loss like at auburn
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Win 1 of 3 against Kentucky and Florida and I think it's very possible.
 
#48
#48
So with a&m and xavier coming back for wins (xavier was down by as much as 17) and nc state leading comfortably our rpi should bump a bit further tonight
 
#49
#49
zaqhhh said:
So with a&m and xavier coming back for wins (xavier was down by as much as 17) and nc state leading comfortably our rpi should bump a bit further tonight
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Nc State game has no impact on RPI, we played WF too so regardless of who wins our SOS would stay the same.

However, Nc State winning makes our loss against them not look as bad.
 
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