We were a top four team overall, with five losses, going into the 2014 NCAA Tournament. I don't see why 5 losses would disqualify us from being a top 4 team overall this year. There are a lot of tough road games on our schedule. I personally think that we will have 1 or 2 fewer losses than that.
I think the only in-conference opponent that will give UT trouble will be South Carolina. With that game being in Knoxville, I give the advantage to Tennessee and ultimately will be somewhat surprised if Tennessee loses. South Carolina has Wilson, Coates, Mitchell, and White (who didn't play any significant minutes last year due to injury, so her skill set has not yet been tested at the college level), but UT has DeShields, Russell, and Graves, plus other impact players in Carter, Jones, Nared, Reynolds, and Cooper (assuming she adjusts as well to the college game as is expected). Some of the other conference games will likely be fairly competitive, particularly given that they are away games (Kentucky, Texas A&M, Mississippi State), but Tennessee should still win those.
Out of conference, Tennessee could potentially lose to Notre Dame. If the game were being played in Knoxville, I would give the advantage to Tennessee; however, it is an away game. That said, Notre Dame is without Loyd. This game could go either way, although Notre Dame has the advantage. Stanford will be a decent team, but no match for UT, even playing on their home court. I will be shocked if Tennessee doesn't win that game. I believe Tennessee will handle Texas fairly easily, especially given that the game is in Knoxville. Oregon State may prove to be a difficult game, especially as it is an away game, but I still think UT can handle them if the players play up to their potential and aren't suffering from illness or injury. Chattanooga, Syracuse, Wichita State, and Penn State could all be good, competitive games, but, barring injury or illness, I will be very, very surprised if UT even comes close to losing any of them.
Tennessee has the potential to be undefeated going into tournament play, but realistically I look for one, perhaps two, losses (with the most likely losses coming at the hands of Notre Dame, Oregon State, OR (not and) South Carolina . . . I do not think Tennessee will lose to all three). Unless injury strikes, I do not think this is a 5-loss team.
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