Season Predictions Revised (Or Not)

#51
#51
I don't think much has changed. At this point pretty much everybody had UT at 2-1. It will depend on other teams and injuries.
 
#53
#53
PagingDrVol said:
You're not a sunshine pumper? Really...cause I don't see your NO CHANCE predictions versus the other three opponents we play...

Do you really think there is NO CHANCE we lose to Vandy, a team we haven't beaten in almost three years, in a game at their place?

Do you really think there is NO CHANCE we lose to Kentucky, who is coached by the brother of a guy who just beat us, who looks to be greatly improved, and who plays with a running QB?

Do you really think there is NO CHANCE that UTC has the game of their lives and upsets the Vols in Neyland?

If you want to be a realist, you gotta be completely real. You're cherry picking the game facts you see the upside to and ignoring the ones you don't want to think about. That is basically the definition of a pumper.

I started off as a realist at 5-7, and am thinking about revising up to 6-6, but maybe not. See, here's the thing...

Sure, we could beat Georgia, but we are equally likely to lose to Vandy, so that's a wash.

Sure we could beat USCe, but we are equally likely to lose to Kentucky, so that's a wash.

Sure, we could beat Alabama, but we are equally likely to lose to UTC, so that's a wash.

So, really, an adjustment up to 6-6 is being hinged on Mizzou being worse than expected, based on a single bad game where they may have overlooked an opponent, and/or on us beating a Florida team we haven't beaten since Saddam was alive, based on their looking bad versus Kentucky (same possible situation, given that they were probably looking ahead to Bama)...

Which brings me to my last point...I'll use your style to make it...do you really believe there is NO CHANCE that Worley doesn't miss multiple games this year due to injury because of that OL? Cause I gotta say, he took at least ten vicious hits against OU, and if that continues over the next four games, he will be in a cast almost for sure at some point.

So no, I'm not moving up from 5-7 right now, until we see a little more. If you want to join the minority of us in the reality club, you are welcome to do so, but you'll have to consider all the facts or possibilities or you won't seem credible. Peace.
Click to expand...

You lost me at we could lose to UT-C
 
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#54
#54
PagingDrVol said:
You're not a sunshine pumper? Really...cause I don't see your NO CHANCE predictions versus the other three opponents we play...

Do you really think there is NO CHANCE we lose to Vandy, a team we haven't beaten in almost three years, in a game at their place?

Do you really think there is NO CHANCE we lose to Kentucky, who is coached by the brother of a guy who just beat us, who looks to be greatly improved, and who plays with a running QB?

Do you really think there is NO CHANCE that UTC has the game of their lives and upsets the Vols in Neyland?

If you want to be a realist, you gotta be completely real. You're cherry picking the game facts you see the upside to and ignoring the ones you don't want to think about. That is basically the definition of a pumper.

I started off as a realist at 5-7, and am thinking about revising up to 6-6, but maybe not. See, here's the thing...

Sure, we could beat Georgia, but we are equally likely to lose to Vandy, so that's a wash.

Sure we could beat USCe, but we are equally likely to lose to Kentucky, so that's a wash.

Sure, we could beat Alabama, but we are equally likely to lose to UTC, so that's a wash.

So, really, an adjustment up to 6-6 is being hinged on Mizzou being worse than expected, based on a single bad game where they may have overlooked an opponent, and/or on us beating a Florida team we haven't beaten since Saddam was alive, based on their looking bad versus Kentucky (same possible situation, given that they were probably looking ahead to Bama)...

Which brings me to my last point...I'll use your style to make it...do you really believe there is NO CHANCE that Worley doesn't miss multiple games this year due to injury because of that OL? Cause I gotta say, he took at least ten vicious hits against OU, and if that continues over the next four games, he will be in a cast almost for sure at some point.

So no, I'm not moving up from 5-7 right now, until we see a little more. If you want to join the minority of us in the reality club, you are welcome to do so, but you'll have to consider all the facts or possibilities or you won't seem credible. Peace.
Click to expand...

We're equally likely to lose to UTC?? lulz
 
#55
#55
I am more hopeful that UT gets 1 or 2 more wins beyond .500

Based on:
1. UT's lines have played better than I thought they would
2. SEC East is weaker than I thought it was
 
#57
#57
PagingDrVol, i will admit that if Justin doesn't get some projection, this is going to be a completely different year. I hope and pray that he doesn't end up in a cast. The line better realize that our season outcome is 100% based on their ability to play BETTER than OU. If he gets hurt we could easily go 4-8 or 5-7, so assuming disaster, i agree with you.

Good points, good post -- but we don't lose to UTC, and we don't beat Bama. We still go 7-5 check in with me after the season.
 
#58
#58
I have no clue why fans of the same team stay so offended with one another.

The "realists" get offended when fans are hopeful. The "sunshine pumpers" get offended when the battered wives say "prove it first".
 
#59
#59
I was solidly in the 6 wins with an outside chance at 7 camp. I sort of think 7 should be the baseline for progress after seeing our defense. They should be good enough to steal a couple we are not supposed to win. We could actually go 2-2 in the Ole Miss, SCjr, UGA and Florida games and I full out expect wins vs Mizzou, Chatt, Vandy and Kentucky.
 
#60
#60
boxerpupsrcool said:
Not outside the realm of possibility. Florida lost to georgia southern Michigan lost to appy st a couple years back and v tech lost to James Madison.
Click to expand...

Being in the "realm of possibility" is not even close to saying "we are equally likely to lose"...not even close.
 
#61
#61
PagingDrVol said:
You're not a sunshine pumper? Really...cause I don't see your NO CHANCE predictions versus the other three opponents we play...

Do you really think there is NO CHANCE we lose to Vandy, a team we haven't beaten in almost three years, in a game at their place?

Do you really think there is NO CHANCE we lose to Kentucky, who is coached by the brother of a guy who just beat us, who looks to be greatly improved, and who plays with a running QB?

Do you really think there is NO CHANCE that UTC has the game of their lives and upsets the Vols in Neyland?

If you want to be a realist, you gotta be completely real. You're cherry picking the game facts you see the upside to and ignoring the ones you don't want to think about. That is basically the definition of a pumper.

I started off as a realist at 5-7, and am thinking about revising up to 6-6, but maybe not. See, here's the thing...

Sure, we could beat Georgia, but we are equally likely to lose to Vandy, so that's a wash.

Sure we could beat USCe, but we are equally likely to lose to Kentucky, so that's a wash.

Sure, we could beat Alabama, but we are equally likely to lose to UTC, so that's a wash.

So, really, an adjustment up to 6-6 is being hinged on Mizzou being worse than expected, based on a single bad game where they may have overlooked an opponent, and/or on us beating a Florida team we haven't beaten since Saddam was alive, based on their looking bad versus Kentucky (same possible situation, given that they were probably looking ahead to Bama)...

Which brings me to my last point...I'll use your style to make it...do you really believe there is NO CHANCE that Worley doesn't miss multiple games this year due to injury because of that OL? Cause I gotta say, he took at least ten vicious hits against OU, and if that continues over the next four games, he will be in a cast almost for sure at some point.

So no, I'm not moving up from 5-7 right now, until we see a little more. If you want to join the minority of us in the reality club, you are welcome to do so, but you'll have to consider all the facts or possibilities or you won't seem credible. Peace.
Click to expand...
Almost 3 yrs? Really? Well we've not lost to Bama in over 300 days.
 
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