Selection Sunday thread

#33
#33
govols120 said:
Arizona wins the West. Biggest challenger in that region is either Creighton or SDSU, and the MWC performs terribly in the NCAAs.
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Creighton ain't getting out of the Alamo(dome) alive. Home cooking and crowd for the Bears.
 
#34
#34
Wichita State - first team to enter the NCAA tournament undefeated in almost 25 years: The hardest road for any of the top seeds. There’s the potential third-round game with No. 8 seed Kentucky — a team that took No. 1 seed Florida to the wire a few hours before and probably should have been a No. 5 seed. Get by John Calipari and Rick Pitino’s Louisville [4 seed] team likely awaits. And let’s say the Shockers manage to stay upright and get to the Elite Eight? It’s easy sailing there, just a potential game against last year’s runner-up Michigan [2 seed] or some team coached by a guy named Krzyzewski [Duke 3 seed]
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From USA TODAY's biggest snubs
 
#35
#35
Wichita got a raw deal. And SMU has got to be the biggest snub in a long time. That, and UL should've been a 2 seed. This year's selection process was a joke.
 
#36
#36
govols120 said:
Arizona wins the West. Biggest challenger in that region is either Creighton or SDSU, and the MWC performs terribly in the NCAAs.
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No way AZ wins the west, they'll be luck to make the Sweet Sixteen. They are horrible at the free throw line and not a great three point shooting team. A well coached team that stays close beats them late in the game due to the lousy free throw shooting. Yes they are a very very talented team, Nick Johnson is one of the best athletes in college bball.

Zags, Cowboys, San Diego and Oklahoma all have a very good shot at taking down AZ. This bracket is wide open.
 
#37
#37
I'll say this much: Oklahoma State is this year's most overrated "underperforming power conference team that is talented and an 8/9 seed".
 
#38
#38
govols120 said:
I'll say this much: Oklahoma State is this year's most overrated "underperforming power conference team that is talented and an 8/9 seed".
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The talent on the Cowboys roster is through the roof. If they catch 'Zona on a slight off-night, this OSU team could make a run to the Final Four (of course, they could also lose by 15 to Gonzaga).
 
#39
#39
Gonzaga is way undervalued. They have much more of a shot against OSU than most are giving them credit for.
 
#40
#40
golfballs said:
Gonzaga is way undervalued. They have much more of a shot against OSU than most are giving them credit for.
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Gonzaga is only an 8 seed because they are Gonzaga, and the mystique survives. Hell, Gonzaga lost to K-State outside of Bramlege. That puts Gonzaga in league with Long Beach State, Tulane, TCU, and Texas Tech.
 
#41
#41
Not saying they'll win. I just checked ESPN's 'Who Picked Whom' and I'm surprised that only 65% of brackets have OSU advancing. I thought it would be more. Never-the-less, I think their odds of winning aren't even that high.
 
#42
#42
golfballs said:
Not saying they'll win. I just checked ESPN's 'Who Picked Whom' and I'm surprised that only 65% of brackets have OSU advancing. I thought it would be more. Never-the-less, I think their odds of winning aren't even that high.
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Just curious, why do you think Gonzaga is better than Oklahoma State?
 
#44
#44
golfballs said:
I don't. I think OSU is better. But their chance of winning is <65%. Therefore overvalued
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I think you are reading too much into the 65% figure. For instance, if a game existed in which there was a distinct statistical probability that the outcome would turn out A 90% of the time and B the remainder, it would make sense to see, out of a large population of bettors, nearly 100% of the bettors picking A.

Thus, say Oklahoma State has a 55% chance of winning the game, it is reasonable to see 65% of bettors taking Oklahoma State (in fact, it is reasonable to see even more than 65% taking Oklahoma State).
 
#45
#45
therealUT said:
I think you are reading too much into the 65% figure. For instance, if a game existed in which there was a distinct statistical probability that the outcome would turn out A 90% of the time and B the remainder, it would make sense to see, out of a large population of bettors, nearly 100% of the bettors picking A.

Thus, say Oklahoma State has a 55% chance of winning the game, it is reasonable to see 65% of bettors taking Oklahoma State (in fact, it is reasonable to see even more than 65% taking Oklahoma State).
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I get it. But if you need to take some risks in order to win your pool (which is the case in big ones) then it would be a good value pick.
 
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