Star Counters

#26
#26
If I'm not mistaken, there are a lot more 2/3 star players on Rivals and Scout than there are 4/5 star players, so it seems reasonable that we see that same ratio on the Freshman AA team.
 
#28
#28
Since we're in the SEC I'm more interested in SEC players......there are 12 SEC players on Rivals Freshman 1st/2nd teams.....three 3* the rest are 4* & 5* players. Don't believe anyone is saying 3* can't play or that 4* & 5* are locks but it sure we help us to have a few more 4/5* on the roster. I'll trade you a Rod Wilks and a Zach Rogers for a Justin Hunter everyday.
 
#29
#29
WillisWG said:
Since we're in the SEC I'm more interested in SEC players......there are 12 SEC players on Rivals Freshman 1st/2nd teams.....three 3* the rest are 4* & 5* players. Don't believe anyone is saying 3* can't play or that 4* & 5* are locks but it sure we help us to have a few more 4/5* on the roster. I'll trade you a Rod Wilks and a Zach Rogers for a Justin Hunter everyday.
Click to expand...

Would rather had a Tauren Poole than Chris Donald. Anybody can be a bust, but it is more likely to happen with lower *.

My whole point was that you cant always judge talent by * rating
 
#30
#30
Rivals never give kickers or punters 4 stars, so you have to toss out those members of the A-A team when assessing "star power." That leaves you with 24 guys to assess.

Of those 24 you have:
* 3 5-star players (12.5% of the 24)
* 8 4-star players (33.3%)
* 13 3-star and lower players (54.2%)

In the signing class of 2010 you had:
* 26 5-star prospects (0.9% of all HS signees)
* about 350 4-star prospects (12.6%)
* approx. 2400 3-star or lower prospects (86.5%)

Which means...That a 5-star guy was approximately 5 times more likely to be named a frosh A-A than a 4-star guy, and a 4-star player was approx. 4 times more likely to make that team than a player with 3 or fewer stars.
 
#34
#34
Recruiting Cardinal Rules:

1)Above all else, recruiting is an inexact science.



2)The more solid prospects a school accumulates, the more likely they're to find success in upcoming seasons.



3) For every five star recruit that becomes a star, there are two other highly touted players that fail to pan out.


4) There are always diamonds in the rough hiding behind two and three star ratings.


College Football Recruiting: 2010 College Football Recruits & Recruiting Updates
 
#36
#36
While looking at stars, evaluate the wash outs of the last few classes in see how many 5 and 4 star players have left the team versus 3 stars. If a recruit can't pass and stay in school it doesn't matter how many stars they have beside their name on recruiting day, they are useless to the team. For example 2009, 5 players didn't cut it or got kicked out; 4 four stars and one 3 star.
 
#37
#37
kamoshika said:
Rivals never give kickers or punters 4 stars, so you have to toss out those members of the A-A team when assessing "star power." That leaves you with 24 guys to assess.

Of those 24 you have:
* 3 5-star players (12.5% of the 24)
* 8 4-star players (33.3%)
* 13 3-star and lower players (54.2%)

In the signing class of 2010 you had:
* 26 5-star prospects (0.9% of all HS signees)
* about 350 4-star prospects (12.6%)
* approx. 2400 3-star or lower prospects (86.5%)

Which means...That a 5-star guy was approximately 5 times more likely to be named a frosh A-A than a 4-star guy, and a 4-star player was approx. 4 times more likely to make that team than a player with 3 or fewer stars.
Click to expand...


glad there is someone with some sense :good!:
 
#38
#38
kamoshika said:
Rivals never give kickers or punters 4 stars, so you have to toss out those members of the A-A team when assessing "star power." That leaves you with 24 guys to assess.

Of those 24 you have:
* 3 5-star players (12.5% of the 24)
* 8 4-star players (33.3%)
* 13 3-star and lower players (54.2%)

In the signing class of 2010 you had:
* 26 5-star prospects (0.9% of all HS signees)
* about 350 4-star prospects (12.6%)
* approx. 2400 3-star or lower prospects (86.5%)

Which means...That a 5-star guy was approximately 5 times more likely to be named a frosh A-A than a 4-star guy, and a 4-star player was approx. 4 times more likely to make that team than a player with 3 or fewer stars.
Click to expand...

Precisely -- that the math that matters.

Chance a Player Made the All-Frosh Team
5* 1 out of 9
4* 1 out of 43
2*/3* 1 out of 180
 
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