Stats show offense overachieving a bit

[volroadwarrior]

This is what I love...you "watched the team" and you didn't like the way the offense looked, so they must suck.

I'm looking at black and white facts, and drawing a conclusion. It's not based on an alcohol soaked viewing of my team and "how I feel" or "what I wish I would see".

It's unbiased. The stats say our offense is performing at a slightly above average level compared to how the teams we play have done against their other opposition.

Mind you, I'm not saying they are good...not saying that at all. I AM saying they are better than I expected. And frankly, prior to the season, looking at all the NFL talent we lost, I was afraid they would be worse than they are.

The facts say they are a bit better than expected. Nothing to get that excited about, but maybe something to build on.

You can find data that will prove any point that you want, but rest assured, if you point out positives, the negavols on VN will jump you like a pack of wild dogs. Get ready for more. HERE THEY COME.

 

[KingNick865]

The offense has actually regressed some overall this year. It's not a huge regression but it is one that you can see. Of course, the offense last year had a better QB and two guys who are getting significant NFL time as the two top receivers, so that's got something to do with it.

2013
- 139 offensive touchdowns/first downs
- 406 offensive plays ran
- 34.2% of the plays ran resulted in either a touchdown or first down
- 19.3 plays per touchdown scored
- 0.347 points per offensive play ran

2012
- 342 offensive touchdowns/first downs
- 890 offensive plays ran
- 38.4% of plays ran resulted in either a touchdown or first down
- 16.8 plays per touchdown scored
- 0.401 points per offensive play ran

Take all this with a grain of salt though, because Butch Jones isn't working with the same type of talent on offense that Dooley was a year ago.

 

[NashVOL93]

The offense has actually regressed some overall this year. It's not a huge regression but it is one that you can see. Of course, the offense last year had a better QB and two guys who are getting significant NFL time as the two top receivers, so that's got something to do with it.

2013
- 139 offensive touchdowns/first downs
- 406 offensive plays ran
- 34.2% of the plays ran resulted in either a touchdown or first down
- 19.3 plays per touchdown scored
- 0.347 points per offensive play ran

2012
- 342 offensive touchdowns/first downs
- 890 offensive plays ran
- 38.4% of plays ran resulted in either a touchdown or first down
- 16.8 plays per touchdown scored
- 0.401 points per offensive play ran

Take all this with a grain of salt though, because Butch Jones isn't working with the same type of talent on offense that Dooley was a year ago.

Good stats. Also, different offensive system is in play here as well.

 

[BanditVol]

The offense has actually regressed some overall this year. It's not a huge regression but it is one that you can see. Of course, the offense last year had a better QB and two guys who are getting significant NFL time as the two top receivers, so that's got something to do with it.

2013
- 139 offensive touchdowns/first downs
- 406 offensive plays ran
- 34.2% of the plays ran resulted in either a touchdown or first down
- 19.3 plays per touchdown scored
- 0.347 points per offensive play ran

2012
- 342 offensive touchdowns/first downs
- 890 offensive plays ran
- 38.4% of plays ran resulted in either a touchdown or first down
- 16.8 plays per touchdown scored
- 0.401 points per offensive play ran

Take all this with a grain of salt though, because Butch Jones isn't working with the same type of talent on offense that Dooley was a year ago.

Right. Bray, Hunter and CP are all in the NFL.

Interesting stats...

 

[BigOrangeTrain]

You have gifs. That's so awesome.

You have negativity and idiocy. That's awesome.

 

[photovol]

A good example of an offense overachieving is Auburn.

 

[BanditVol]

A good example of an offense overachieving is Auburn.

Great point about perceptions....they are only averaging two more points per game against vastly inferior opposition.

 

[Sudden Impact]

Pts per game is not a good analysis. Look at stats last year cut them in half and see where we are. Just a starting point but better than points per game....