stock market was up today...

  • Like
Reactions: VolStrom
I don't quite follow how this blew up today. It's not like everyone woke up this morning and suddenly noticed, "Crap! we've got all this oil and no where to put it!"

They release weekly inventory numbers, right? Shouldn't the trend have been noticeable for weeks?
 
My head hurts. This is wild.
200.gif
 
  • Like
Reactions: MontyPython
You might disagree given your industry experience, but generally speaking I think they do a pretty good job at getting the "right" companies in there. Even in a really small index like the Dow.

The problem with the Dow isn't necessarily it's size - it's the ridiculous price weighting.

I don't really have an opinion about the Dow.... I don't use it for anything. I primarily use the S&P 500 Index for a benchmark for my portfolio. If I'm beating it by at least 2% on a 3 & 5 year net rolling average, then I'm relatively happy. My gripe with indexes stems from having to use the Russell Small Cap and Small Cap Value Indexes when I worked. They were/are pretty mechanical in the annual rebalancing in June.

I run a fairly low risk stock portfolio for myself. I'm 72 so you aren't going to see me with a great weighting in growth and high beta stocks. I've been pretty lucky, in 2007, I couldn't find anything that I thought was cheap enough so I was in 30% cash when things went south. Then last December I raised my cash levels 10% due to the volatility associated with the current administration. So I was again in a good position when things went south. Have been doing some buying the last few weeks.
 
I don't quite follow how this blew up today. It's not like everyone woke up this morning and suddenly noticed, "Crap! we've got all this oil and no where to put it!"

They release weekly inventory numbers, right? Shouldn't the trend have been noticeable for weeks?
I think it's one of those cases of once the dominoes start it's hard to stop.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Velo Vol
I don't quite follow how this blew up today. It's not like everyone woke up this morning and suddenly noticed, "Crap! we've got all this oil and no where to put it!"

They release weekly inventory numbers, right? Shouldn't the trend have been noticeable for weeks?
It was in all likelihood caused by a hedge fund(s) who had been trapped in positions for weeks, has been trying to get out, and was forced to liquidate today.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Velo Vol
Oil at $8.75 a barrel. I'm almost thinking to throw a large chunk of money there. Demand isn't going away forever, and supplies aren't going to stay where they are. With it that low, it seems you could double your money fairly quickly.
You mean you are going to take delivery on a few barrels of oil?
 

VN Store



Back
Top