lawgator1
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You can take this analogy to a larger degree - why would any government stimulus = more demand?
From all I've seen, the biggest thing that would drive more hiring is predictability of future costs.
The logic of stimulus and hiring is the same - more $ in the hands of people = more demand; more demand = more need for jobs. If this logic holds, extending UE payments in effect substitutes for job growth.
IMHO if the govt would not keep extending UE while at the same time showing some signs of a more predictable regulatory environment then the "stimulus" would come from the private sector. Forget the tax incentives and short-term credits. Simplify the tax code and stabilize it. That will do more than a temporary change in rates.
I am sure future costs is part of the issue.
However, I think there are two other huge components to it.
First, with advances in technology, there is a huge displacement of workers that would not improve no matter how bright the economic future. My firm has let go a third of our clerical staff in the past 6 months -- not because of the future cost of employees, but because since we hired them 10 years ago we've gone as paperless as we can. We are cutting our office space in half come next lease renewal because we don't need the file cabinets, its that simple.
There is nothing government, whether led by Obama or any Republican, can do about that.
Second, the manufacturing base in the U.S. is basically dead. That's been a long time coming and is to a large degree a symptom of our own success. Don't know what can be done to reverse that.