Taking Chances.

[Oskie Volum]

That's exactly right, it's playing the odds and KNOWING exactly what the odds are in every situation based on statistics and knowing your O and D and FG kicker very well to quickly decide what the odds of success or failure are in certain situations.

Exactly the same with the best poker players because they KNOW the odds of hitting or missing what they have in every hand so they know when to hold them and when to fold them.

Here's what CDD was thinking at the very end of the game...

Bray has a well known history at the end of games of trying too hard and forcing the situation and throwing a INT more often than he makes the big plays to Win the game right at the end....ODDS were way in favor of Bray throwing a INT so CDD let the clock run out thinking that the odds were much better that we could outscore Mizzou in the OT periods.

I HATED to see CDD do that but I also understand the odds against Bray and the odds against us making a critical FG kick right at the end of the game from what could have been a longer distance than we would have had in OT.

Based on all the known facts the odds did favor us to Win in OT.

If Bray had thrown a INT and Mizzou got a decent run back then They would probably have 30 seconds to move the ball with their passing game and kick the FG to Win right at the end of the game.

I absolutely HATED seeing CDD run the clock out but I do understand the odds against us and why he did that.

The really BAD part of running the clock out and going to OT is that it gave all the momentum to Mizzou and it sent a message to Bray and our O players that CDD didn't have faith and belief in them to get it done with 40 seconds left.

It also sent a message to our FG kicking team that CDD didn't have faith and belief in those 3 guys to execute and make a FG at the end of the game.

Those bad messages of no faith in our O and our FG team took away alot of the confidence in those players and put some amount of doubt in their minds.

The other side of the coin is that doing that should have also sent a good message to our Defense players that CDD had solid faith in them to stop Mizzou from scoring a TD and holding them to only a FG in the OT periods where they started at the 25 yard line.

If I was running things I would have called a timeout, called all the O and FG players over and told them I had total faith in them to go get the Win at the end of the game and told Bray to take zero chances of throwing a INT that might let Mizzou get a shot at a FG and that if we had to go to OT that would be just fine so there was no pressure on him to try and make a miracle throw and that going to OT was just like throwing the ball away rather than to throw a INT.

I hated seeing CDD run the clock out but I do understand why he played the odds the way he did it.

The fake FG play took alot of courage and our boys executed it perfectly for the TD and it's sad that it ended with a loss for my Vols.

I'm so sick of being so damn close and still losing that I could puke.

VFL...GBO!!!

Dead on!!:good!: exactly what I thought of when it was happening. Honestly I don't have faith in the O to pull it off at the end and I'm just a fan looking in. The O had multiple chances to pull away and they did not. It's been an issue all season.

I hated being so close so many times this yr but then I sit back and think about last season when we were out of the game completely by the 3rd qtr.

 

[OrangeSquid]

...If I was running things I would have called a timeout, called all the O and FG players over and told them I had total faith in them to go get the Win at the end of the game and told Bray to take zero chances of throwing a INT that might let Mizzou get a shot at a FG and that if we had to go to OT that would be just fine so there was no pressure on him to try and make a miracle throw and that going to OT was just like throwing the ball away rather than to throw a INT.

...The fake FG play took alot of courage and our boys executed it perfectly for the TD and it's sad that it ended with a loss for my Vols.

...VFL...GBO!!!

Do you have coaching experience? If not, then IMO; that says even more about Dooley. Your approach and synopsis of the situation makes plenty of sense to me and may have worked. Get us close for a try at a FG with 2-3 seconds left and if there's no faith in the FG unit, then pull the fake. We'll never know though; Dooley didn't even call the timeout to do your reasonable scenario. If you don't have coaching experience and could see that possibility ...... Dooley IS a bag of glass hammers.

 

[Blackburn]

Still don't understand why Dooleys dumbass didnt take a shot at the end of the first half! Still smh...

Exactly! We didn't try to get points at the end of the first half (with 3 timeouts) or at the end of the game (with 2 timeouts.) In both instances he just stood there like the loser he is and just watched the time tick off the clock as Bray, CP, Hunter, Rivera and ZRO are all threats to score on any given play. Hell, throw deep and see if we can get a pass interference call!?!?! DO anything other than stand there and do nothing. I'm glad the crowd booed so loud both times. If I was at the game I would have been booing too.

 

[Alto1]

Here's the thing about taking chances.

Taking chances/failing to do so states your confidence in your team.

Today, with 47 seconds left in regulation, Dooley failed to take a chance. The message sent was that he didn't have confidence in his offense that had already put up 500 yards. No wonder Bray was ticked. You would be too if your coach thought it'd be better to go to overtime than to trust you to get a few yards.

Yeah, the fake field goal was a good call. But it was a call that may have not even been needed if he would have simply taken a risk in the 4th quarter.

That call (or lack thereof), was what sealed it for me. I was already against Dooley, but his lack of competence when he has 47 seconds and two timeouts, and refuses to turn his explosive offense loose just bewildered me.

Post of the week!!!!!! Well done Sir, well done!!!!! :hi: