Teams that COULD keep us out of playoffs and what we need to happen

#26
#26
Scot Harvath said:
Everyone keeps saying TCU will lose a game, but they beat KSU by 10 pts this season, Baylor has 6-4 record and ISU is 4-6. Really going to take a big upset.
Here’s hoping they pick up some bad juju SOON.
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I'm one of the few that DOESN'T want TCU to lose.

I think after the final polls,
They'll make TCU a 4th seed.
Just so Tennessee and UGA don't play in the semifinal.
THEosu will be #2.
Vols at 3.

From a strategic standpoint I want UGA to play TCU, because I think defensively can perhaps show some weaknesses in UGAs offense before we play them again.
 
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#27
#27
Just accept the fact that if WE don't do anything stupid, after Nov 26, we're in. No need to make up scenarios were we're not.
 
#28
#28
Scot Harvath said:
Everyone keeps saying TCU will lose a game, but they beat KSU by 10 pts this season, Baylor has 6-4 record and ISU is 4-6. Really going to take a big upset.
Here’s hoping they pick up some bad juju SOON.
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Yeah I don't think they're going to lose, but not sure that they need too. At this point I'm thinking the only thing than can keep us out would be the committee screwing us by throwing every selection criteria out the window and ranking the loser of OSU/Michigan ahead of us. That would be a monumental screw job based on every reason imaginable, but sadly it would not surprise me.
 
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#30
#30
volfan_28 said:
The craziest thing about all of this is that we seem to have a bunch of people like this who think a lot has to happen for us to get in AND a bunch of people like me who think nothing has to happen other than Tennessee win out.
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I was about to say, I believe more has to happen to exclude us than things have to happen to include us.
 
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#31
#31
I know they say they consider the records, strength of schedule and other stats in making their decisions, but we all know that with human beings politics trumps common sense most of the time. Hopefully most on the committe will rise above and do the right thing, but my lingering long BVS tells me not to be surprised if we get screwed.
 
#32
#32
JBVolunteer said:
I am keeping my eye on the ACC. Clemson and North Carolina are both shaping up for a top 10 ACC Championship matchup. I do think it’s a long shot but I would not be surprised to see the winner of the ACC Championship leap into the CFP.
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Just stop. They're not putting a team that got blown out by unranked Notre Dame in the playoff.
 
#34
#34
Call me crazy but there’s a lot on the table still
Illinois can beat Michigan
Baylor can beat TCU
A&M is a wreck but they can beat LSU
UCLA over USC
Tennessee can very well be a 3 seed, let’s say Illinois beats Michigan, Michigan beats Ohio state
It’s going to get crazy
 
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#35
#35
LittleVol said:
I'm one of the few that DOESN'T want TCU to lose.

I think after the final polls,
They'll make TCU a 4th seed.
Just so Tennessee and UGA don't play in the semifinal.
THEosu will be #2.
Vols at 3.

From a strategic standpoint I want UGA to play TCU, because I think defensively can perhaps show some weaknesses in UGAs offense before we play them again.
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I think TCU is going to have to lose a game in order for us to jump them now. Assuming we both go undefeated the rest of the way, how could they possibly justify dropping TCU after a week in which they played a championship and we sat home? They missed the chance of not having a UT/UGA semifinal when they put TCU above us.
 
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#36
#36
The way to the CFP is simple.
[VIDEO=]/VIDEO]
Curb stomp all the future opponents!
 
#37
#37
Does the committee want parity in the sport? If so, here's a quick take:
#1. GA wins out or 1 loss - no brainer, you want the drama of the defending champs trying to keep their title - good storyline
#2. Ohio State/Michigan winner - either will win the Big 10 with ease, both have been in CFP - OSU more frequently, but Michigan
made it in last year. I think only one makes it - even if Michigan wins.
#3. TCU - win out and they're in - not bad for the committee as they are 'new blood' to CFP. I think they made BCS bowls before,
but not CFB.
#4. UT - win out and they're in - started the season outside the top 25, ended losing streaks to UF, UA, LSU and many people have
been hyping a rematch between UT and UGA. Major overperformance by this team all season - feel good CFB story.

One loss Clemson - doesn't matter, they haven't been impressive and their SOS is not good - lost to unranked ND. People are tired of seeing Alabama and Clemson in the playoffs year in and year out.
One loss USC - don't think it will happen - still play at UCLA, ND at home, and PAC 12 Championship. If they do win out, it will need to be impressive as they only beat Oregon St by 3.
LSU - playing UGA in SEC Championship. Already have 2 losses and don't think they can pull off the win in Atlanta.

No one can predict the future and there are so many different variables. But I do like our shot; would be nice to get a little help from TCU and USC...
 
#38
#38
lifeisdeep said:
You do realize this just happened a year ago? And has happened prior to that?
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Yes, and that’s why it’s not likely to happen again so soon without a lot of things going in our favor even if we win out. If I’m wrong, I’ll eat crow.
 
#39
#39
davethevol said:
Yes, and that’s why it’s not likely to happen again so soon without a lot of things going in our favor even if we win out. If I’m wrong, I’ll eat crow.
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The last time I checked there isn't a criterion that the committee has stated that says they have to do something just because it will be different than the previous year. That makes absolutely zero sense. It happened a year ago because those were the two best teams - which is why it's likely to happen two years in a row.

It's really not complicated.
 
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