Ten point swing, House trending back to Dems

#1
lawgator1

lawgator1

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#1
Can't post link via mobile (or at least I can't), but CNN poll shows Dems lead GOP 50-46 in how people would vote in Congressional districts. Prior to midterms in '10, GOP led 53-47.

If economy improves and GOP continues to stumble and send mixed messages on deficit, Dems may well re-take the House. Hope Boehner hasn't unpacked everything.
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#3
#3
They're a shoe in, i mean look at how well everything is going. We'd be crazy to not put these guys back in control of everything:crazy:
 
#4
#4
I think some of this is residuals from Bin Laden's slaying. We'll see if it maintains.
 
#5
#5
Bin Laden, Medicare and the party out of power is somehow more appealing (kinda like the back up QB syndrome).

A D Congress with Obama re-elected would be an unmitigated disaster.
 
#6
#6
volinbham said:
Bin Laden, Medicare and the party out of power is somehow more appealing (kinda like the back up QB syndrome).

A D Congress with Obama re-elected would be an unmitigated disaster.
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The Medicare cuts ("reforms") are a gold mine for the Dems.
 
#7
#7
volfanjustin said:
Very little chance Dems take back the House and they will lose the Senate.
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Why? Because this is what you want? Because you are deluded into believing everyone agrees with you on everything or they are idiots?

I guess it goes without saying that I no longer consider your opinion valid.
 
#8
#8
Thrasher865 said:
Why? Because this is what you want? Because you are deluded into believing everyone agrees with you on everything or they are idiots?

I guess it goes without saying that I no longer consider your opinion valid.
Click to expand...

When did you value it?
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#9
#9
33 Million people unemployed, $4 gas, Home values dropping 1% every month.

This 10 point swing is a dead cat bounce
 
#10
#10
Thrasher865 said:
Why? Because this is what you want? Because you are deluded into believing everyone agrees with you on everything or they are idiots?

I guess it goes without saying that I no longer consider your opinion valid.
Click to expand...

Because it's my opinion, I am sure the people will give the Republicans more than just 2 years in the House. As far as the Senate goes, look at the numbers. The dems have many more Senators they have to reelect than Republicans. The numbers and gas prices getting higher, higher unemployment rates and the terrible economy in general.
Democrats:
Akaka, Daniel K. (D-HI)
Bingaman, Jeff (D-NM)
Brown, Sherrod (D-OH)
Cantwell, Maria (D-WA)
Cardin, Benjamin L. (D-MD)
Carper, Thomas R. (D-DE)
Casey, Robert P., Jr. (D-PA)
Conrad, Kent (D-ND)
Feinstein, Dianne (D-CA)
Gillibrand, Kirsten E. (D-NY)
Klobuchar, Amy (D-MN)
Kohl, Herb (D-WI)
Manchin, Joe, III (D-WV)
McCaskill, Claire (D-MO)
Menendez, Robert (D-NJ)
Nelson, Ben (D-NE)
Nelson, Bill (D-FL)
Stabenow, Debbie (D-MI)
Tester, Jon (D-MT)
Webb, Jim (D-VA)
Whitehouse, Sheldon (D-RI)

Republicans:
Barrasso, John (R-WY)
Brown, Scott P. (R-MA)
Corker, Bob (R-TN)
Hatch, Orrin G. (R-UT)
Heller, Dean (R-NV)
Hutchison, Kay Bailey (R-TX)
Kyl, Jon (R-AZ)
Lugar, Richard G. (R-IN)
Snowe, Olympia J. (R-ME)
Wicker, Roger F. (R-MS)

Independents:
Lieberman, Joseph I. (ID-CT)
Sanders, Bernard (I-VT)
 
#11
#11
The GOP house members wil be trying to explain why they voted for the " Ryan Plan".
People say they want change and they do as long as their benefits are not being cut.
Voting to do away with Medicare as we know it was a big mistake.
 
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#12
#12
volfanjustin said:
Democrats:
Akaka, Daniel K. (D-HI)
Bingaman, Jeff (D-NM)
Brown, Sherrod (D-OH)
Cantwell, Maria (D-WA)
Cardin, Benjamin L. (D-MD)
Carper, Thomas R. (D-DE)
Casey, Robert P., Jr. (D-PA)
Conrad, Kent (D-ND)
Feinstein, Dianne (D-CA)
Gillibrand, Kirsten E. (D-NY)
Klobuchar, Amy (D-MN)
Kohl, Herb (D-WI)
Manchin, Joe, III (D-WV)
McCaskill, Claire (D-MO)
Menendez, Robert (D-NJ)
Nelson, Ben (D-NE)
Nelson, Bill (D-FL)
Stabenow, Debbie (D-MI)
Tester, Jon (D-MT)
Webb, Jim (D-VA)
Whitehouse, Sheldon (D-RI)
Click to expand...

IMO, the names in bold are the only DNC Senate seats that are up for grabs.
 
#15
#15
volfanjustin said:
Because it's my opinion, I am sure the people will give the Republicans more than just 2 years in the House.
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You mean like the several years that saw us go from a surplus to a deficit? And enter the recession? Don't act like Republicans are a cut above anyone else just because of their party. They're just as guilty of this mess as anyone.
 
#16
#16
IPorange said:
You mean like the several years that saw us go from a surplus to a deficit? And enter the recession? Don't act like Republicans are a cut above anyone else just because of their party. They're just as guilty of this mess as anyone.
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I don't, I see Republicans as the lesser of the 2 evils. A few of them are really good and great but most of them are just dem light. And I am pretty sure that when the recession started the dems had control over both chambers of congress.
 
#17
#17
IPorange said:
You mean like the several years that saw us go from a surplus to a deficit? And enter the recession? Don't act like Republicans are a cut above anyone else just because of their party. They're just as guilty of this mess as anyone.
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They are. Why I'm leaning their way is because they at least are SAYING we need to get serious about fiscal responsibility. I'm less optimistic about ACTIONS but at least they are saying it. Dems are still acting like all programs must be preserved and taxes will solve the problem.
 
#18
#18
therealUT said:
Correct.

It is definitely not automatic for either party.
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I don't think it's automatic but I believe it is harder to have to defend when the numbers are that far apart. The GOP can concentrate their money better than the dems, they have to spread their money out more. And they all can and should be tied to everyone of Obama's failing policies.
 
#19
#19
volinbham said:
They are. Why I'm leaning their way is because they at least are SAYING we need to get serious about fiscal responsibility. I'm less optimistic about ACTIONS but at least they are saying it. Dems are still acting like all programs must be preserved and taxes will solve the problem.
Click to expand...

Cutting with a scalpel instead of a machete, yada yada yada...
 
#21
#21
IPorange said:
I think some of this is residuals from Bin Laden's slaying. We'll see if it maintains.
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Given the current conditions killing OBL will last a few months at best. Several other things are gonna have to happen to get him back in the WH. Some of those are stale or getting worse at the moment.
 
#23
#23
Seven retiring- Reps keep TX, AZ. Dems probably lose VA, NM & ND but gain/keep CT.

Democrats:
Akaka, Daniel K. (D-HI)
Bingaman, Jeff (D-NM)
Conrad, Kent (D-ND)
Webb, Jim (D-VA)

Republicans:
Hutchison, Kay Bailey (R-TX)
Kyl, Jon (R-AZ)

Independents:
Lieberman, Joseph I. (ID-CT)
 
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#24
#24
volinbham said:
They are. Why I'm leaning their way is because they at least are SAYING we need to get serious about fiscal responsibility. I'm less optimistic about ACTIONS but at least they are saying it. Dems are still acting like all programs must be preserved and taxes will solve the problem.
Click to expand...


Incorrect.

If the Dems had held onto the House, they'd have allowed the Bush tax cuts to expire, which would have resulted in a much more significant reduction of the deficit than what the GOP will be able to accomplish. Oh sure, they all voted for Ryan's plan in the House. But already, looks like they will lose some elections in usually very safe GOP districts because of that.

Come next year, the Dems are going to be able to very effectively bash them for wanting to make seniors pay over $6000 a year for care they got under Medicare whilst giving more tax breaks to the wealthy. GOP overreached here, big time.
 
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