Ten point swing, House trending back to Dems

#27
#27
Gramps said:
The GOP house members wil be trying to explain why they voted for the " Ryan Plan".
People say they want change and they do as long as their benefits are not being cut.
Voting to do away with Medicare as we know it was a big mistake.
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The AARP don't play. They are already running TV ads voicing extreme unhappiness over a year out from the election. They will continue to hammer away, too. The Medicare folks are one of if not the most reliable voters. I expect that many to most will not be at all happy with the Ryan Plan, and will voice that displeasure with the ballot. No way seniors stand pat over that increase. Like it or not, voting for those cuts will probably have serious repercussions. It could get ugly. To quote Ricky Ricardo, "Lucy, you got some 'splaining to do."
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#28
#28
FNuj0l.jpg
 
#29
#29
lawgator1 said:
Incorrect.

If the Dems had held onto the House, they'd have allowed the Bush tax cuts to expire, which would have resulted in a much more significant reduction of the deficit than what the GOP will be able to accomplish. Oh sure, they all voted for Ryan's plan in the House. But already, looks like they will lose some elections in usually very safe GOP districts because of that.
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you are clearly high tonight - you think the deficit (current and future) will be smaller with full on Dem leadership vs Rep?
 
#33
#33
VOLatile said:
This was the most relevant thread I could find to throw it into. That's all.
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Is the point that it is a pie chart that doesn't add to 100%?

Poor choice of graph but I don't see any story in the data other than each candidate appears to have broad support among some group.
 
#35
#35
actually, that graphic looks like it's been photoshopped. Most likely taken from Media Matters.

could be wrong, of course, but FNC doesn't put the local temperature over their logo.
 
#36
#36
MG1968 said:
actually, that graphic looks like it's been photoshopped. Most likely taken from Media Matters.

could be wrong, of course, but FNC doesn't put the local temperature over their logo.
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To add to this potential - the source is listed as Opinions Dynamic. The real polling org. is Opinion Dynamics.

Not surprisingly, there is a long thread about this from Democratic Underground where people think it's hilarious - it's also from 2009.

Wouldn't be surprised to learn it's a photo shop
 
#38
#38
milohimself said:
It's clearly a fake, but 193 does equal 100 on fox news. It's science.
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Even if it wasn't photoshop'd, it could probably be explained thusly:

If Palin were to win the nod, 70% of self-described Republicans would vote for her in the election, ie: "back her."

If Huck were to win the nod, 63% would actually vote for him.

If Romney won the primary, 60% would actually vote for him.

Meaning, basically, that less self-described GOPers would actually make an attempt to vote for either Huck or Romney over Palin, with more either not voting at all, or switch voting if Romney were to win.

Seems pretty simple to me. Although, a pie chart would be the worst representation of such an idea, but... eh, it is hard to fit 50 different graphics and scroll bars on a single screen.
 
#39
#39
I thought the graphics departments at cable news orgs were supposed to be the best in the world at cramming as much crap on a screen as humanly possible.
 
#40
#40
lawgator1 said:
Can't post link via mobile (or at least I can't), but CNN poll shows Dems lead GOP 50-46 in how people would vote in Congressional districts. Prior to midterms in '10, GOP led 53-47.

If economy improves and GOP continues to stumble and send mixed messages on deficit, Dems may well re-take the House. Hope Boehner hasn't unpacked everything.
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You can dream but the redistricting is going to hurt Dems. Dem districts tend to be more concentrated- they have a high percentage of voters within the district... alot of 70% plus districts. GOP districts tend to be somewhat less so.
 
#41
#41
Gramps said:
The GOP house members wil be trying to explain why they voted for the " Ryan Plan".
People say they want change and they do as long as their benefits are not being cut.
Voting to do away with Medicare as we know it was a big mistake.
Click to expand...

If a plan that modest can be demagogued as extreme then your generation "Gramps" has effectively screwed my childrens' generation. Congratulations.
 
#42
#42
therealUT said:
IMO, the names in bold are the only DNC Senate seats that are up for grabs.
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Both Nelsons, Tester, and Webb in addition to the ones you cited are in jeopardy now. Others like Brown in OH could be in real trouble if job creation and kitchen table inflation do not improve significantly.

I forget what the issue was but Nelson of Nebraska went against his state big on an issue not that long ago. Some speculated it was a sign he would not run again.
 
#44
#44
The first moment I glanced at it I thought it said that 70 percent of Republicans have back pain.
 
#46
#46
#50
#50
MontereyVol said:
It will be interesting but then again, they did just elect a non-DNC to their supreme court
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I don't know the specifics, but I was under the impression that that was not a statewide vote.

If it was, it still doesnot mean too much. The battle for that Senate seat will draw a lot of nationwide interest and campaign money.
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