Tennessee a 15.5 Point favorite vs Uf

#26
#26
Checker Neyland gets the win. A loss here is devastating to CJH and our season. The jackals are all ready to feast on negativity. I’m still hedging a parley with +15.5. I don’t trust our OL enough for a 3 score victory ✌️
 
#27
#27
UTK said:
Florida is a really bad football team under a lame duck coach. Take the name of the team out and that’s a fair line. Yes we just loss to an inferior team on the road, but Arkansas is better than Florida. We’re at home. We should cruise, but will the name of the team we’re playing get to us once again like it seems to a lot when we play Florida
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We should cruise? Based on what? Stomping Kent State?
 
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#30
#30
K-town Vol Fan said:
I swear it seems some of our fans just started watching football this year.
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Yep. Those that have been around a while knew that cupcake wins, a number 4 rank, and preseason Heisman list meant nothing. Hopefully this team isn’t as bad as its last 6 quarters played. If so, uh oh!
 
#31
#31
Easy to take Florida to cover.

It would be nice to which CJH shows up. The play fast and aggressive coach from the last few years or the scared coach from last week
 
#33
#33
Dobbs 4 Heisman said:
They didn't build all those buildings in the desert by losing money. If you think 15.5 is too much then bet the cover. I'm sure you know better than all the analysts Vegas has setting the lines for them.

Personally I think the line sounds about right. I think we win by 14-20 points. However, I won't bet early. I'll wait until the game. I expect it to be close early on before we pulled away in the second half. So I'll bet waiting to live bet when the spread comes down to about 7.5 points. That way I don't have to sweat a backdoor cover by Florida if we're up 20 points in the 4th quarter.
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No way it gets that low
 
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#34
#34
The line really doesn't make any sense. It is too high. I think we will likely see some names pop up on the injury report here soon too, which will bring that line down.

Not saying we are going to get killed or are not going to win (I think we will win), but I just think it's unlikely we win by 16+.
 
#35
#35
Soooo I’m supposed to take us to cover by more than what we scored in total the week before??? Yeah right.
 
#36
#36
How confident are we that our offense will show up? I would take FLA to cover that 15.5 based on what we’ve seen the last two games with our offense and our history with FLA. I suspect that line will come down.
 
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#37
#37
Vegas has been all over the place with the Vols. They underestimated us to start out the year, now they are overestimating us. I think we win with our back against the walls and Home crowd in our favor. But 15 points is alot. I'll be happy with any sort of win.
 
#39
#39
Johnnyreb#VFL said:
No way it gets that low
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During live betting they adjust the line based on what's happening in the game. I've seen way bigger lines drop crazy in game. Just this past week Alabama was -4.5 point for most of the game against Vandy. I bet a lot of people lost money in-game betting thinking Bama would come back.
 
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#40
#40
Personally, I never bet against Tennessee! However, on the surface this looks like easy money taking Florida and the points. Not sure we even score 16 points.
 
#41
#41
Our offensive tackles need to get hype AF for this one. Perhaps we can install defibrillators inside the shoulder pads? Anything to keep the blood flowing.. Everyone else needs to treat it like another game and hope Neyland Stadium can effect the game.
 
#42
#42
vavolfan6 said:
Vegas has been all over the place with the Vols. They underestimated us to start out the year, now they are overestimating us. I think we win with our back against the walls and Home crowd in our favor. But 15 points is alot. I'll be happy with any sort of win.
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Good teams usually rebound at home after a loss with a decisive win. That's what they're banking on. Hell good teams win big on the road after a loss (see Ole Miss vs South Carolina). You guys are looking at this through emotion. Vegas just crunches numbers. It's how Vandy is a 10 point dog to Kentucky on the road this week while Alabama is a 21.5 point favorite at home against South Carolina. Vegas doesn't care that South Carolina blew out Kentucky and that Vanderbilt beat Alabama. They're just looking at the power ratings and setting lines based on that.
 
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#44
#44
Dobbs 4 Heisman said:
They didn't build all those buildings in the desert by losing money. If you think 15.5 is too much then bet the cover. I'm sure you know better than all the analysts Vegas has setting the lines for them.

Personally I think the line sounds about right. I think we win by 14-20 points. However, I won't bet early. I'll wait until the game. I expect it to be close early on before we pulled away in the second half. So I'll bet waiting to live bet when the spread comes down to about 7.5 points. That way I don't have to sweat a backdoor cover by Florida if we're up 20 points in the 4th quarter.
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If that line doesn’t go down they are for sure setting people up to bet on Florida to take their money.
 
#46
#46
Dobbs 4 Heisman said:
During live betting they adjust the line based on what's happening in the game. I've seen way bigger lines drop crazy in game. Just this past week Alabama was -4.5 point for most of the game against Vandy. I bet a lot of people lost money in-game betting thinking Bama would come back.
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Oh gotcha
 
#49
#49
JohnWardForever said:
Sounds like a lot to me, based on Saturday's results.........
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The game will come down to how well the Vols can run the ball. We are 5th nationally at 267 rushing yards per game. Florida is 101st at rushing defense allowing 172.6 yards a game. If they have to commit 7-8 guys to the box to stop our run, it will open up the passing game. Everyone things the secret to stopping the CJH offense is the 3-3-5 0r 3-2-6. That's why we run so much because we get so many light boxes. I doubt the Gators can stop our run game without leaving their CB's on an island. No one else has been able to stop our run game without leaving themselves in man coverage on the outside. We hit some big plays on Oklahoma which was the difference in that game. We just didn't make plays against Arkansas. The Gators will try to disguise their coverages but will be in a "stop the run" mode. If Nico gets back on schedule with his WR's and TE's it could be a blowout. If not we'll have another dogfight like Arkansas and whoever makes a few plays late will win.
 
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