Tennessee home game if Texas wins SEC?

#26
#26
dobre_shunka said:
Easy, everybody hates Texas

iu
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I can’t really say I hate Texas, at least not yet but I sure as hell don’t want them coming in heah and winning the SEC their 1st year .
 
#27
#27
IMO Dogs would not be below us if they lose SEC Championship. I prefer Dogs beat Texas (assuming they are in) and ND loses to USC. Look forward to going to a Playoff home game!
 
#29
#29
VolTom1 said:
Do you think they would drop UGA below us if they lose the SEC championship? Would love to get a home game vs UGA for the first playoff game, not the easiest team to play, but I think we would win at home
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I don't. They said they won't punish CCG losers.

LegionnaireOfTheMiserable said:
The simplest path to hosting is Texas wins the SEC and USC beats Notre Dame.
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Texas winning doesn't change anything for us. Notre Dame losing does. We'd move up to at least 8th.

VolCalls said:
Georgia is going to win the SEC and be the #2 seed when the dust settles. Mark my words.
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They can't pass Miami unless Miami loses. You think Miami loses? They'd be the only competition to Georgia for the #2 seed.

VolCalls said:
A&M is going to beat Texas, then Georgia is going to beat A&M like a rented mule.
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If that happens, we're seed 8.
 
#32
#32
LegionnaireOfTheMiserable said:
It’s a loss in an extra game that they are only playing in because they beat us. Idk how they will handle it, but it is possible they wouldn’t penalize them
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I don't expect much movement after the championship games. This next ranking after the last game of the regular season is the most important one. If Georgia beats Tech Saturday and then loses the SEC title game, then I can see the committee dropping them down to around 9 or 10, but not all of the way out of the playoff. The key is they are ranked high enough to absorb a loss and still be in play.
 
#33
#33
I think that nobody is going to know who is playing who, and where, until after this weekend's games and the conference championship games are played. Worrying about it until then is kind of pointless, imo.
 
#35
#35
Scenarios:

Currently, Vols are the 9 seed. If we beat Vandy, this is almost our floor, because it is very unlikely a team can jump ahead of us without a different team falling behind us (ie TAMU winning sec and Georgia and Texas remaining ahead of us).

1) Big Ten champ
2) SEC champ
3) ACC champ
4) Boise State
5) Big Ten champ game loser

Each of the following could move us up:
1) Jump a big ten team - About 20%
Penn state losing to Maryland -7%
Oregon losing to Washington AND Ohio State -8%
Ohio State losing to Michigan AND committee jumping Tennessee over Ohio State - 0.00%
Ohio state losing to Michigan AND Penn State losing to Oregon - 6%

2) Notre Dame loss to USC - 29%

3) Jump SEC team - 46%
Georgia loses to Texas - 46%

4) Jump second Big Ten team - 0.6%
Oregon loses 2, Penn State loses

Thus there is ~70% chance of Vols getting home field if we can take care of business this weekend.

And for those dreaming, the odds of the Vols getting the coveted 5 seed are about 0.05% (1 in 2000).
 
#36
#36
chuck0303 said:
Not so.
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dobre_shunka said:
Easy, everybody hates Texas

iu
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We need to concentrate on beating Vandy, Everything will work itself out if we beat Vandy. Don't need to count our chickens until we beat them. In my book, everything says we should beat them but this is not the Vandy of old. Fortunately we have the best D, and let's not run Sampson into the middle 10 plays in a row. We need him healthy down the road
 
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