The Braves Thread

#223,035
#223,035
05_never_again said:
For that matter, what is his recruiting ranking and where does he play college basketball if he wasn't LeBron's kid?
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He put up pretty decent numbers for one of the absolute best high schools in the country. But he definitely was more 3* talent than 5*

When he played that first game, he looked so tiny. Ain't no way he's even 6'0.
 
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#223,036
#223,036
Blake25p said:
I have a feeling 10-2 (loss to UGA) won’t get us in the playoff.
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It completely depends on the landscape. Notre Dame being 11-1 would absolutely suck. How many of these ACC teams snipe each other off? How many 11-1 B10 teams are there? Who is in the SEC title game and did we beat them? So many variables. It's why the Arky lost hurts so much.
 
#223,037
#223,037
zjcvols said:
He put up pretty decent numbers for one of the absolute best high schools in the country. But he definitely was more 3* talent than 5*

When he played that first game, he looked so tiny. Ain't no way he's even 6'0.
Click to expand...
To his credit, I have never gotten the impression from his own comments/demeanor that he wants to play where he's been playing (e.g., at USC, then leave after just a year as a role player because his dad's team drafted him). So much of what we hear about his supposed desires is through the media, or what LeBron wants him to do.

For all we know, he might would rather be at a place where he could play a lot and develop. He clearly isn't playing for money.
 
#223,038
#223,038
zjcvols said:
It completely depends on the landscape. Notre Dame being 11-1 would absolutely suck. How many of these ACC teams snipe each other off? How many 11-1 B10 teams are there? Who is in the SEC title game and did we beat them? So many variables. It's why the Arky lost hurts so much.
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The big 10 schedules are all dog ****.
 
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#223,040
#223,040
Posted this back in July. This is the information I found

I did some research for every full season since 2014 about 2 loss teams and how they would look in the new playoff format (no 2020, obvious reasons).

So there were 54 at large available spots. A Power 5 team (including Notre Dame) would have missed the playoffs ten times for a percentage of 18.5%. It happened 7 out of 9 years.

However...there is now no Pac-10 automatic bid anymore. Only 5 automatic bids occur. If you configure that (based on how the committee ranked the teams, the committee is fallible and human, so that could have changed things) then you are looking at only 7 teams would have missed for 63 available spots, which is 11.1%. Only one SEC team would have missed (2018 Alabama, which lost Tua for the year and was one spot behind Auburn in the committee's rankings). The other 6 teams were 2 Big Ten West teams, 3 Big 12 teams (two of those when the Big 12 didn't have a conference championship game) and Notre Dame one year.

So if Tennessee goes 10-2, there's basically a <95% chance based on past history they'll get in.
 
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#223,042
#223,042
Worst case scenario is

Four 1-loss B10 teams
2 1-loss ACC teams
1-loss Notre Dame

That would leave just two open spots
 
#223,044
#223,044
zjcvols said:
Posted this back in July. This is the information I found

I did some research for every full season since 2014 about 2 loss teams and how they would look in the new playoff format (no 2020, obvious reasons).

So there were 54 at large available spots. A Power 5 team (including Notre Dame) would have missed the playoffs ten times for a percentage of 18.5%. It happened 7 out of 9 years.

However...there is now no Pac-10 automatic bid anymore. Only 5 automatic bids occur. If you configure that (based on how the committee ranked the teams, the committee is fallible and human, so that could have changed things) then you are looking at only 7 teams would have missed for 63 available spots, which is 11.1%. Only one SEC team would have missed (2018 Alabama, which lost Tua for the year and was one spot behind Auburn in the committee's rankings). The other 6 teams were 2 Big Ten West teams, 3 Big 12 teams (two of those when the Big 12 didn't have a conference championship game) and Notre Dame one year.

So if Tennessee goes 10-2, there's basically a <95% chance based on past history they'll get in.
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That's great historical info, but I wonder how their logic/incentives change when 12 teams get in, not 4.

The exact order of 5-12, and who is 12th versus 13th, etc., doesn't matter that much and there isn't as much scrutiny on it in a 4-team playoff.
 
#223,045
#223,045
05_never_again said:
That's great historical info, but I wonder how their logic/incentives change when 12 teams get in, not 4.

The exact order of 5-12, and who is 12th versus 13th, etc., doesn't matter that much and there isn't as much scrutiny on it in a 4-team playoff.
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Of course, but the committee is supposed to rank all 25 and that was as if the next team couldn't play for example. But I really wonder what the committee would have done with 2022 Tennessee/Alabama for example when they ranked Bama ahead of us with the same record if there was a 12 team playoff (Both would have got in anyways but seeding does matter)
 
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