BYU looking like they will run the table. Their best opponent left is Arizona State. Iowa State has been playing with fire. They will slip up more than likely. I don’t see a path for the Big 12 getting 2 participants into the CFP. Maybe if BYU goes undefeated and loses the Big 12 Championship Game but even then, their best win would be Kansas State.
Ohio State plays at Penn State next week. Big 10 is down to 4 teams still in play but if Ohio State loses that game they could be down to 3 in with Oregon, Indiana, and Penn State.
SEC still has 6 teams in play but Alabama and LSU will be playing an elimination game so there will be no more than 5 SEC teams in play with A&M, Georgia, Texas, Tennessee and Alabama/LSU winner but either of those two is highly likely to be left out.
The ACC still have Clemson, Miami, and Pitt undefeated and SMU with 1 loss. Pitt still has SMU and Clemson to play. Miami and Clemson should be facing off in the ACC Championship and the winner of SMU/Pitt might get in with 1 loss.
And then you have the Group of 5 representative.
As of right now the CFP projections should be:
BYU (Big 12 Champion)
Oregon (Big Ten Champion)
Penn State
Indiana
A&M
Georgia (SEC Champion)
Texas
Tennessee
Clemson (ACC Champion)
Miami
Pitt/SMU
Boise State (Group of 5)