The line moved to LSU favored by 3

#52
#52
VolinArizona said:
Here is LSU/Florida's line moves. Again, no major injuries.

Date/Time Odds (Line)
10/01/06 12:24 AM ET (Open) pk
10/01/06 09:34 AM ET -2
10/01/06 12:05 PM ET -1
10/01/06 12:14 PM ET -1
10/01/06 01:34 PM ET +2
10/02/06 11:09 AM ET +2
10/02/06 03:45 PM ET +2.5
10/02/06 06:25 PM ET +2
10/03/06 12:55 PM ET +2
10/03/06 02:55 PM ET +1
10/04/06 10:05 PM ET -1
10/05/06 01:25 PM ET -2.5
10/06/06 09:45 AM ET -2
10/06/06 10:15 AM ET -1
10/06/06 07:55 PM ET -1
10/07/06 11:34 AM ET -1
10/07/06 12:25 PM ET -1
10/07/06 02:25 PM ET -1
Click to expand...
If you bet who do you take in the vols tigers
 
#53
#53
finevol said:
If you bet who do you take in the vols tigers
Click to expand...

I do bet every week. However, I won't be betting this game because I don't see a lot of value in it. LSU has so many questions on which team will show up, and Tennessee has so many questions at the QB position. If Ainge were 100%, I see a lot of value at Tennessee +3.5, but if it got to +4.5, it'd be a steal.

I lean towards Tennessee as it is, but I won't bet the game, except maybe the under.
 
#54
#54
finevol said:
One think I do know on betting is it sure makes watching the game more intense.
Click to expand...

That's why I hate betting on Tennessee games. I've done it a few times, but my passion for UT football is huge, so I never need the extra push.
 
#55
#55
VolinArizona said:
I do bet every week. However, I won't be betting this game because I don't see a lot of value in it. LSU has so many questions on which team will show up, and Tennessee has so many questions at the QB position. If Ainge were 100%, I see a lot of value at Tennessee +3.5, but if it got to +4.5, it'd be a steal.

I lean towards Tennessee as it is, but I won't bet the game, except maybe the under.
Click to expand...


I have been checking in on your picks. I saw your name at one of the forums I visit and knew it was the same guy so I have been watching. You are doing a good job. Keep up the good work :good!:


We usually have some of the same plays. I play more games than you is the biggest difference between us.

I am with you on the Tenn game this weekend and think the under 45 may be the best play.


GO VOLS
 
#56
#56
VolinArizona said:
That's why I hate betting on Tennessee games. I've done it a few times, but my passion for UT football is huge, so I never need the extra push.
Click to expand...
Last week my friend got 18 and bet on the bears to cover and people said he was crazy well......you know the outcome
 
#57
#57
Big Orange Nation said:
I have been checking in on your picks. I saw your name at one of the forums I visit and knew it was the same guy so I have been watching. You are doing a good job. Keep up the good work :good!:


We usually have some of the same plays. I play more games than you is the biggest difference between us.

I am with you on the Tenn game this weekend and think the under 45 may be the best play.


GO VOLS
Click to expand...

ultimatecapper? :)

Anyway, yeah, the weeks where I've picked over 20 sides have always been losing weekends (barely), so I've kept them down a bit. I expect to make the bulk of my plays today. It's been a busy week at work.
 
#58
#58
VIA,

How so? The entire purpose of a point spread is to divide the money evenly on both sides. Granted, it can be used by coaches to talk about how "No one expects us to win", but outside of that, there's no other purpose.
 
#59
#59
doozer said:
and, there is all kinds of computer formulas that go into setting the lines.

here's my question VolinAZ, are the betting services worth the money? i'm no major gambler by any means, but i do play around a bit, and it seems to me that they don't really say anything that i couldn't figure out myself.
Click to expand...

dude -- you really don't know much about gambling. it isn't in vegas interests to predict outcomes. it is in vegas interests to predict what the general public will think is the outcome. that is why the lines move -- because vegas wants even money on both sides.

The question "are the betting services worth the money" is both silly and quite simple all at once. Gambling is worth the money only when you win, my friend.
 
#60
#60
kidbourbon said:
dude -- you really don't know much about gambling. it isn't in vegas interests to predict outcomes. it is in vegas interests to predict what the general public will think is the outcome. that is why the lines move -- because vegas wants even money on both sides.

The question "are the betting services worth the money" is both silly and quite simple all at once. Gambling is worth the money only when you win, my friend.
Click to expand...

wow. thanks for the enlightenment.

they don't just pull their out lines out of thin air. nobody thinks 'hmm, +3 sounds good, let's go with that'. there is so much more to it that just setting random lines.

nowhere did i say i was a major gambler. i wanted to know if anybody had used a service, and was if it worth it. plain and simple. obviously somebody does because these guys advertise everywhere, but, and stay with me here if you can, it was my observation that they don't say anything i can't read, find, or figure out on my own.

gambling is only worth it when you when you win? woah. did not know that.
 
#61
#61
doozer said:
wow. thanks for the enlightenment.

they don't just pull their out lines out of thin air. nobody thinks 'hmm, +3 sounds good, let's go with that'. there is so much more to it that just setting random lines.

nowhere did i say i was a major gambler. i wanted to know if anybody had used a service, and was if it worth it. plain and simple. obviously somebody does because these guys advertise everywhere, but, and stay with me here if you can, it was my observation that they don't say anything i can't read, find, or figure out on my own.

gambling is only worth it when you when you win? woah. did not know that.
Click to expand...
goosh doozer your a sucky gambler lol
 
#62
#62
Ohio Vol said:
VIA,

How so? The entire purpose of a point spread is to divide the money evenly on both sides. Granted, it can be used by coaches to talk about how "No one expects us to win", but outside of that, there's no other purpose.
Click to expand...

How so what? I'm not sure what you want me to answer, but once I do, I'll give you my opinion. :)
 
#63
#63
VIA,

Somehow my browser didn't show the additional 5 pages of dialogue between the post I was responding to and where mine actually ended up....interesting.

If I'd gotten on here earlier, I'd have been pumping you for Breeders Cup info.
 
#66
#66
I wish i would have waited until game time. I got in at -3.5and it closed at -4.5

That's why there's all those big buildings (hotels) in Vegas, that give away free flights and rooms
 
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