Gonna have to stop you right there, friend. Several errors in this paragraph.
1. There is no "pretend" part to the schedule. Every bit of it is equally important, every bit of it counts.
2. Real football has been going on for almost two months now. I'm sorry you missed it.
3. The first half the season included Florida, USCe, and A&M. All three of those are peer competitors to the Vols. All three of them are better than Mizzou and Kentucky.
4. Sure, going on the road to Bama, UK, and (after a cupcake break vs UConn) Mizzou raises the degree of difficulty a bit (Vegas says about 3 points' worth), but UK and Mizzou are always -- always, forever, in perpetuity, for our lifetimes -- going to be less challenging than Florida, A&M, and USCe.
In short, you came up with a nifty premise ("the easy half is over, now we hit the rough half") and tried to twist the facts around to fit it.
They don't fit.
Bama and UGa are going to be big challenges. Wouldn't be surprised if we don't win those matches. But the rest of the back half--Kentucky, UConn, Mizzou, and Vandy--that is all absolutely winnable.
A 9-3 regular season finish seems the most reasonable prognostication at this point. 10-2 and 8-4 are slightly less likely alternate endings.
Go Vols!