The NCAA tournament bubble is filling up

#27
#27
Three up

Texas A&M: The Aggies won't be without some nervousness entering the SEC tournament, but I thought A&M was in good shape for an at-large berth with at least one win over Ole Miss at home this weekend. The Aggies defeated Ole Miss 9-6, have a relatively high RPI, and have marquee series wins over Vanderbilt, Mississippi State (both on the road), along with LSU at home just a few few weeks ago.

Tennessee: The Vols dropped a pair of heartbreaking contests to Florida to begin the weekend, but responded in impressive fashion Saturday afternoon with a 7-5 triumph with A.J. Simcox going 2-for-3 with two RBIs. The Vols didn't punch their ticket to the NCAA postseason with the win over the Gators, but it certainly helps. Now, with the Vols in the SEC tournament, they could punch their ticket with a couple of wins. Remember, Tennessee has some high quality series wins, including over Arizona State, UNLV and Vanderbilt, among others.

Wake Forest: The Demon Deacons entered the weekend with an RPI around 90, but are up to 70 in the latest RPI after taking two of three from top-ranked Virginia this weekend. The Deacs would have to do some serious damage in the ACC tournament to get into the NCAA postseason, but it's doable. Wake is now 3-3 vs. RPI Top 25, 8-8 vs. RPI Top 50 and 14-17 vs. RPI Top 100.

Three down

West Virginia: Remember when everyone, including us, were sky high on the Mountaineers possibly making some noise in the NCAA postseason? Well, at this point, I'd be surprised if WVU made the field of 64. WVU has struggled since that home series win over Texas a few weeks ago, losing six-straight Big 12 contests, including Saturday's 4-0 setback to Texas Tech with Dylan Dusek shining for the Red Raiders.

Florida International: The Panthers were in our NCAA postseason field just a couple of weeks ago, but things have since taken a turn for the worse. FIU had an RPI in the 60s entering the weekend against Tulane, which obviously is in at least the discussion for a potential at-large bid. Well, the Panthers are now down into the 70s after losing 2-1 to Tulane on Saturday, thus losing the three-game series. It's win the conference tournament or bust for FIU.

Illinois: The Fighting Illini are very much still in the mix for an at-large bid, but could've made their situation much better Saturday afternoon with a win over Nebraska. Instead, the Illini dropped a 7-4 contest in thrilling fashion (Pat Kelly walk-off homer for Nebraska) and in 10 innings. Illinois now has an RPI of 52 with a 5-4 mark vs. RPI Top 50. Illinois has some work to do in the conference tournament to make the Big Ten a three-bid league.
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Kendall Rogers- Perfect Game

This was in his latest update.
 
#29
#29
When you consider the factors the committee officially considers, RPI and record in last fifteen games are borderline factors we need to improve a little bit.

If we go 0-1 or 1-2 in Hoover, our last fifteen will be 6-9, and neutral site loss or losses, even to quality opponents, would drop us a few critical places in RPI. I wouldn't like our chances in those scenarios.

However, if we go 2-2 at Hoover, our last 15 will be 7-8, and our RPI will go up a bit. That could be enough.
 
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#30
#30
ShowmeVols said:
When you consider the factors the committee officially considers, RPI and record in last fifteen games are borderline factors we need to improve a little bit.

If we go 0-1 or 1-2 in Hoover, our last fifteen will be 6-9, and neutral site loss or losses, even to quality opponents, would drop us a few critical places in RPI. I wouldn't like our chances in those scenarios.

However, if we go 2-2 at Hoover, our last 15 will be 7-8, and our RPI will go up a bit. That could be enough.
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I think if we go far like two rounds or one round from the final one it's favorable vols will get into the other tournament.
Top four best scenarios vols win the sec tournament, vols don't win the sec tournament but still make it to the final round, vols make it one round away from the final round, vols make it two rounds away from the final round.

Vols need a great tournament showing because the way they finished the season was Indiana pacers esque.
 
#31
#31
Kendall Rogers @KendallRogersPG · 1h

Oh, boy, the bubble is fun. Our last team in the field this week is @ClemsonBaseball … The first team out? @Vol_Baseball … This week is huge

Tomorrow is huge to say the least.
 
#32
#32
99gator said:
Florida is a lock for a national seed
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If they go and drop the first 2 in Hoover they shouldn't be a lock. That would mean going 3-5 down the stretch and entering the tournament with 20 losses. Assuming the SECT winner comes from UF, Vandy, USC, OM or LSU any of them would be a lock for a national seed; State would have an outside shot if they were to pull it off.
 
#33
#33
bowlinggreenvol said:
If they go and drop the first 2 in Hoover they shouldn't be a lock. That would mean going 3-5 down the stretch and entering the tournament with 20 losses. Assuming the SECT winner comes from UF, Vandy, USC, OM or LSU any of them would be a lock for a national seed; State would have an outside shot if they were to pull it off.
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they're a lead pipe lock.

outright winner of the nation's toughest conference.

#2 rpi

#1 rated strength of schedule which included miami and fsu (and they swept fsu).

they can go two and the bar-b-q and they are a national seed.
 
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#34
#34
99gator said:
they're a lead pipe lock.

outright winner of the nation's toughest conference.

#2 rpi

#1 rated strength of schedule which included miami and fsu (and they swept fsu).

they can go two and the bar-b-q and they are a national seed.
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Didn't realize the RPI before posting, my bad 99. They've just had an odd year. Started off so slow excluding the FSU sweep during the midweek games and then turned it on mid season SEC slate. They just had some uncharacteristic losses early on.

I knew they had the most wins vs top 25 so I should've figured the positive impact that has on the RPI. Just odd to see a team perform so well vs great conference competition and FSU and perhaps still enter the tourney with 20 losses.
 
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