As someone well versed in statistics I understand 'normal variation'....I understand 'trends'....unfortunately I don't think that's what we have here....what we have is the center...the 'norm'...mean, median, mode...has shifted due to multiple causes or influences and not just one 'special cause'....we are no longer an elite program.....
I wonder if our leadership, decision makers, those empowered realize this....
I wonder long it will be before this is understood and accepted by others and we begin to see the consequences...
The world of womens basketball has changed significantly over the past 20 years. These changes have hurt the Tennessee program and little attempt to stop the bleeding has occurred.
In the past, high school coaches taught the fundamentals. Since then, the trend has been to play games instead of learning how to play the sport. Certainly, playing games is more fun than learning how to dribble the ball and it is more lucrative to appear in tournaments where tickets can be sold and individual player skills can be demonstrated and promoted so that scholarships can be obtained. Personal trainers, McD AA, AAU, etc. are showcases intended to enrich coaches, players, tourney impresarios.
As a result, talented kids come to college without knowing how to play the game. All they learned in High School was how to look good in front of a crowd. College coaches, particularly those who are old timers, dont expect that they will have to teach the incoming All Americans the basic concepts, but that is what is necessary. But, like most 17-18 year olds, players already know it all (or so they think). They dont expect to be taught how to properly pass the ball. Its beneath them.
Two examples illustrate the polar opposites of this trend. Meighan Simmons, and Kelly Faris, formerly of uconn.
Meighans fame comes from her speed and shooting ability. Those two skills got her All American and Wade list status. In reality, she is not a good basketball player. It would be difficult for a coach to convince her and most fans of this.
The Vandy game provides a good example. Meighan made three consecutive 3s and gave the LVs a nice cushion late in the game. She was vigorously applauded for these shots. An unemotional analysis indicates two of the three baskets were very poor shots. In the corner, off balance and closely guarded, they were ill advised , but they went in. The coach and fans should have criticized her for taking those shots, but that didnt happen.
Kelly Faris, although not that tall, was always assigned to guard the opposing teams star player. Her father was a HS coach and taught her the fundamentals. Her passing, defense, fitness, rebounding, positioning and doggedness were flawless. She did all the little things perfectly. National Championships were a result, but she received little public recognition except from her coaches and teammates compared with the more offensive minded players. She was a true basketball player and winning was the result.
To me, this is the reason why Tennessee, with so many highly rated players, is relatively unsuccessful. The players are individually stars but dont know how to play as a team. They have learned to do only what makes them look good.
A strong knowledgeable coach is required to correct the shortcomings. The coach, when interviewing potential recruits needs the gumption to say, You dont know diddly squat, The coach must then risk losing the recruit by telling them how its going to be, no guarantees of playing time. Few modern players are likely to accept and embrace this. And "We love x" T-shirts and chants during official visits, photos on the jumbotron, etc. will not attract the right players no matter how skilled. .
Only a few teams have coaches who have full support of the administration, are strong enough to overcome player ego, understand what player characteristics are required by their team and recruit those players that fit in without regard to the players perceived rating.
Can Tennessee regain its former glory? Certainly possible with the right moves. The longer it takes to make them, the more difficult it will be to recover. To date, no evidence supports that possibility, no matter how positive the fan base remains, or how many backs Holly pats.