Toughest finishing schedule in country?!?

#26
#26
Auburn's Jaylin Williams hurt his knee against Kentucky and limped off the court. Not season ending but he may miss some games. Will see if he is available when Auburn comes to visit us in 10 days.

UT should take care of Missouri mid-week. A&M is going to be fighting for it's NCAA tourney life and that one worries me as we did not defend them well. At home so should be a revenge game. We go 2-0 this week and build momentum into that final four gauntlet games we have opportunity for some signature wins.
We gonna whip A&M so bad they will long for Billy Gillespie
 
#27
#27
I can’t imagine any of the top 16 teams (or anyone) in the country having a tougher 4 game stretch to finish the season than the VOLS.
Auburn, @bama, @USC, and UK is a really rough row to hoe! I just hope we can get thru this gauntlet without it drastically affecting our NCAA seeding.
4-0 we move up to a #1 seed surely
3-1 I think is fine
2-2 may drop us a line
1-3 may make us to a #4 seed

What do y’all think?

I think I read where 2nd leading scorer for Auburn went down Saturday with a bad knee injury. Their unfortunate loss should benefit us.

Bama road game will be toughest, but we match up pretty good with them.

UK has the talent but has squandered it a lot. If they find their groove, they could be a hand full.

SCAR is a revenge game, and they are on a skid. I feel best about that game on the road.
 
#28
#28
Tennessee defense is a whole nother level at home, I think they pull the games off against Kentucky and Auburn. Then you have to steal one of the road games against Sc or Bama. 3-1 would be great, 2-2 wouldn’t be terrible.
 
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#32
#32
I think we finish 3 and 1. I don't think we lose any other home games. USC Jr. has peaked and with the revenge factor I think we win easily down there. Bama on the road will be tough.
I agree on the USCjr game it took a perfect storm for them to beat us. I'm not talking 1 storm I'm talking a bunch, them playing over their head, us playing our worst game, us coming out just showing up for an auto win seems to happen at least once a year, a referee that took some stuff personal and piled on the vols and I think the season has caught up with USCjr and they've ran out f gas. We will come out wanting this next game, no doubt.
 
#35
#35
I’m going to stick to my guns, 14-4 will win the regular season conference championship. So we go 5-1 down the stretch. We were the preseason pick to win it, I think we win it. We are the best overall team. Kentucky has the most talent, but we guard, they don’t consistently . In the Deacon I trust. Go Vols!
 
#36
#36
Rated Toughest to Less Tough


1
. Bama has been realy good at home, so they actualy concern me the most. Plus the game will have large SEC season implications at that point. May be playing for 1st place.

2. Kentucky scares me 2nd most becuase it took a really good shooting performance to beat them at Rupp. On any given night they can score 90+ regardless of where they are at. On the contrary, there have been stretches where we go cold, and thats all it could take if UK is on.

3. Auburn - I think they are a good team, but a bit overrated. They only have 2 Quad 1 wins and don't play well on the road, especially against formidable opponents. With that said, Pearl's teams seem to get the best of Barne's teams. We normally struggle to defend the 3 and rebound. Perhaps we are more suited to keep up in a higher scoring game if it comes to that.

4. South Carolina - They do concern me, after all they did beat us at home. But I think the pressure of higher expectations is affecting their team right now. I also think our team will be locked in to avenge the home loss. Also there could possibility be an opportunity win the conference at this point in the year. So no overlooking this game this time around.
I don’t feel awful about Kentucky, we won at their place with them shooting better than us.
 
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#38
#38
We should win all four.No way to think like a loser.Play to win each game,go all out ,don't save anything.If you play for less, the committee will see the let-down and penalize us for lack of effort/killer instinct.
 
#39
#39
If we win at least two of those last four, assuming we take care of business in our next two games first, there is no way we drop to a 3, even if we lose our first game in the SECT. Our overall body of work is too good.
I agree. We seem to be solidly on that 2 line and 2-2 to finish shouldn’t hurt that (winning the next two not a given though) and the Committee has been clear about a conference tournament not effecting seeding much ( barring a conference title for an unseeded team of course).
 
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#41
#41
If we win at least two of those last four, assuming we take care of business in our next two games first, there is no way we drop to a 3, even if we lose our first game in the SECT. Our overall body of work is too good.
I agree I don’t think we fall to a 3 either, but my point was according to statistics and probabilities as of Saturday we have more of a chance of being a 3 seed than being a 1 seed. But that’s predictive, if we win out then of course everything changes.
 
#42
#42
I agree. We seem to be solidly on that 2 line and 2-2 to finish shouldn’t hurt that (winning the next two not a given though) and the Committee has been clear about a conference tournament not effecting seeding much ( barring a conference title for an unseeded team of course).
Since the committee started the early reveal in 2017, there are multiple instances where a team on a #2 or #3 seed line went 2-2 or 3-3 down the stretch and maintained that seed. Louisville in that first year comes to mind - they were a #2, went 3-3 the rest of the way, and still got a #2.
 
#43
#43
Since the committee started the early reveal in 2017, there are multiple instances where a team on a #2 or #3 seed line went 2-2 or 3-3 down the stretch and maintained that seed. Louisville in that first year comes to mind - they were a #2, went 3-3 the rest of the way, and still got a #2.
They don't take the conference tournament games into consideration. 2022 proved that.
 
#44
#44
They don't take the conference tournament games into consideration. 2022 proved that.
They do, but the body of work in the regular season carries much, much more weight. If they didn’t take tournaments into consideration nobody could ever play their way in.
 
#45
#45
They do, but the body of work in the regular season carries much, much more weight. If they didn’t take tournaments into consideration nobody could ever play their way in.
A&M getting to the SEC Tournament final as a bubble team and then getting passed over is a good example of the committee ignoring conference tournament outcomes. They only consider conference tournaments when it reinforces their desired narrative. Every year the committee gives their reasoning for their selections and it never matches year to year (and often contradicts their decisions for the current year). It's best to assume the committee will make their decisions based on how they feel in the moment and try to rationalize them later.
 
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#46
#46
A&M getting to the SEC Tournament final as a bubble team and then getting passed over is a good example of the committee ignoring conference tournament outcomes. They only consider conference tournaments when it reinforces their desired narrative. Every year the committee gives their reasoning for their selections and it never matches year to year (and often contradicts their decisions for the current year). It's best to assume the committee will make their decisions based on how they feel in the moment and try to rationalize them later.

They set the bracket on the Thursday or Friday before selection Sunday, with variables in place for unexpected AQ teams.

So Saturday games (sec semi-final) we know isn’t part of their calculations. And there is a chance the Friday games aren’t either
 
#47
#47
A&M getting to the SEC Tournament final as a bubble team and then getting passed over is a good example of the committee ignoring conference tournament outcomes. They only consider conference tournaments when it reinforces their desired narrative. Every year the committee gives their reasoning for their selections and it never matches year to year (and often contradicts their decisions for the current year). It's best to assume the committee will make their decisions based on how they feel in the moment and try to rationalize them later.
I’m not going to argue about conspiracy theories. They pop up every year regardless of what happens. A&M didn’t make the tournament that year because they had a non-conference SOS ranked #173, had two Quad 3 losses, went 5-11 in Quad 1 games, went 9-9 & finished 8th in the SEC, and Virginia Tech stole a bid by winning the ACC Tournament. A&M was a bubble team who just missed out.
 
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#48
#48
They do, but the body of work in the regular season carries much, much more weight. If they didn’t take tournaments into consideration nobody could ever play their way in.
They only matter when a bubble team wins. 1 and 2 seeds are set before conference tournaments
 
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#50
#50
It is a tough schedule down the stretch, which makes taking care of business tonight really important. I don't see Mizzou having much of a crowd at all. This is as close to a layup as it gets on the road in the SEC.
 

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