SEASON BREAKDOWN & PREDICTION:
In a nutshell: Butch Jones has spent the last 18 months up to his elbows in concrete and mortar, laying the foundation for Tennessee's return to SEC competitiveness by adding layer upon layer of depth to each position on the Volunteers' roster. It's been impressive: Tennessee is loaded with young talent on both sides of the ball, in the trenches and out, and can now turn its focus to player development, the next stage in Jones' rebuilding project. But there's a key word there, and it deserves to be italicized: young. Tennessee is young, without a doubt, and dangerously so at several key positions receiver, offensive line, defensive line, secondary and special teams. Only a diehard pessimist could ignore UT's overall talent; it doesn't take a pessimist to notice the Volunteers' overall youth, however.
But talent will end this program's run outside the postseason, hinging on six factors: one, whether Worley can be the steady, reliable presence this offense needs under center; two, how well the freshmen grasp the offense at the skill positions; three, if the reworked offensive line can stay healthy; four, if the front seven can hold up, particularly along the interior; five, how much of an impact the freshmen will have along the back seven; and six, whether or not UT can maintain some consistency in the kicking game. In general, it's vital that Jones and his staff get the entire roster a third of which is new to the program on the same page before late August. I trust in Jones' ability to get this done. He's done nothing since arriving to alter my faith in the process.
This is a six-win team that will struggle to land more than seven wins, given the difficulty of the schedule. All told, UT will face either nine or 10 bowl teams, depending on how well Vanderbilt takes to Derek Mason. The Volunteers take on Oklahoma, Georgia and South Carolina on the road; Florida, Alabama and Missouri come to Knoxville. The basic point: Don't expect any miracles. Do expect, however, a substantial degree of improvement, a stronger performance against all competition, a stiff sense of purpose and huge strides during the course of the season. It's a young team, but the potential is off the charts.
Given what Tennessee has in hand and coming in next year's class, all Jones needs to do is find a quarterback. The skill players are there. The line will only get better. The defense will improve as the youngsters gain a stronger comfort level in the system. The back seven, for example, is brimming with all-league potential. If UT can find its quarterback and maybe it's Dobbs the Volunteers are one year away from competing for the SEC East Division. For 2014, the Volunteers should be happy with a six-win return to the postseason.
Dream season: Tennessee nets eight wins, losing to Oklahoma, Georgia, Alabama and South Carolina.
Nightmare season: The Volunteers fall back to 4-8, finishing a game ahead of Kentucky in the East.