Vols #2

#26
#26
he's a statistician and did it as a research project in college. nothing like getting good grades and making fun projects at the same time
 
#27
#27
kidbourbon said:
I disagree.

The #1 class in a given year is far far better than the #10 class. Why do we think USC has been doing so well the last couple years? Could it perhaps be that they had the #1 recruiting class the last 3 (and almost 4) years?

Your "tier" system is a little too arbitrary friend. But, hey, whatever helps you sleep at night.
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I think that there is some truth to it. I think that the point is that there is a whole lot of uncertainty in what these players will actually turn out to be. It is entirely possible that a 4* might shine over a 5*, obviously. Now..I would much rather be number one .... and take my chances that the services did their evaluations correctly....but it certainly isn't a lock.
 
#30
#30
kidbourbon said:
Coaching is certainly important. But you aren't gonna win the kentucky derby with a shetland pony. And you aren't gonna win a NC'ship without great players.
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i'm not disagreeing with what you are saying. but you can get all the studs you want into your program, and if you can't coach them or don't know how to use them, you have nothing.

which is why i don't put as much stock into the ranking alone.

and don't get me wrong, i'm thrilled that this class is thought of as highly as it is, i just need to see the results on the field before i believe the hype was deserved.
 
#31
#31
I wouldn't exactly break it down into the hard divisions like was done above but those rankings are somewhat subjective and can only be a relative indicator. It is unlikely that the #25 class is as talented as the #1 class. However it isn't unlikely that the #7 class is better than #1 or that #12 is better than #7.

USC's rankings aren't written in stone either. Along with very good recruits, they've been well coached and benefited from a conference that still hasn't caught up. In any given year, only one or two teams will seriously challenge USC. Further, California has alot of great HS players... and alot more media density than say South Carolina or Mississippi. IOW's, being from California, Florida, or Texas will usually move a kid up the ladder a little compared to a player from Kentucky or Tennessee.
 
#32
#32
Another thing to remember when putting this all into context is something that last post hinted at. Right now the SEC has 5 of the top 12 classes or something like that. Well, has USC's class really been "the best" the last 3-4 years? Maybe, maybe not. Its very subjective. BUT...look at the other PAC-10 teams and where their recruiting classes ranked the last 3-4 years. SEC has 5-6 in the Top 15 on a pretty regular basis. PAC-10, not even close to that. Level of competition has something to do with the USC success over the last few seasons too.

Probably a pretty close estimation is that any 2 classes that are within about 7-8 spots of each other can go wither way after that class has played their 4 years in college. (i.e. #2 class vs. #8 class in any given year can go either way, etc.)
 
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