I make money.
And those people don't win that much. They don't. Books have been written about highest sustainable win %s in sports betting. 58-60%. Either you or the people who tell you, are lying. Period.
I don't mean winning like that over a long period of time....I was exxagerating that, and I was wrong...but over a couple of months it can be done...and that's sustained winning.
I know a guy that was 13-2 last week, and he did similar to that a bunch of times last year.
I also understand what you are saying about history not having any bearing on this weeks game.
I just remember that in my 24 years, I remember most times Bama/Vandy is a close game.
Therefore, by percentages...and the fact that Vandy's at home, and have the best team they've had in 20 years......I'll take 3 points.