51%, the hard part is losing less than 2 games before thier bcs game, unless of course they get put in the natl champ. game with 2 losses like lsu did a few years back. I just have a feeling that there will be more than 1 team that only loses 1 game or less (Okie, some mid major like byu or tcu, maybe even usc, ohio st.), so florida can't lose 2 or else i think they will have to settle for sugar bowl.