VolunteerHillbilly
Spike Drinks, Not Trees
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Also most polls are done over landline phones in a time when over 14 percent of households only have a cell phone in the home. I read that off MSNBC earlier.
EDIT: The 2004 number was either 4 or 7 percent of households that had a cell only.
An article on the AP-Gfk poll says they included randomly dialed cell numbers.
Same article says 9 of 10 Rs are now favoring McCain compared to 8 of 10 Ds favoring Obama.I saw some polling of likely voters the other day which suggests that McCain's support is softer than Obama's. About half of those saying they would vote for McCain described their support of him as "lesser of two evils." Obama's support was stronger with about 60 % saying they liked him a lot and about 15 % saying he was the lesser of two evils.
Might offset the Brady factor.
General News - AP presidential poll: Race tightens in final weeks
When I read about these polls, which I am trying hard to avoid, it just reminds me of 2000. I don't trust 'em anymore than I do the sports line in USA Today. Maybe a decent predictor but certainly not rock solid.