Will Sarah Palin be the next President?

I could care less that Palin got horizontal with Glen Rice. She was single. That being said, there are a number of other issues about her as to why she should never have a seat in the situation room.
 
Palin 47% Obama 47%: Turnaround & Why Marist Poll Is No Fluke Poll Insider

For one thing, the numbers are actually closer to 47% Palin, 47% Obama, a tie. The Marist poll actually oversample Democrats compared to Republicans by 8 points, and oversamples both of them with Independents. (There has been a rise in Indy voters, but not to the tune of almost 40% of the population. Using historical trends, the anticipated 2012 Voter Turnout rate is 36% D, 36% R, 28% I. If your prefer the Rasmussen Partisan Preference it’s essentially a 3-way tie at 33.5% R, 33% D, and 33.5% I. In either scenario, you end up with a 47-47 tie.

The good news here for Palin again is that among the 6% Undecided, 67% are Independents, 20% are Republicans, and just 13% are Democrats. Undecideds usually tilt towards the challenger and in this case those undecideds are mostly Obama-Disapproving Independents followed by Republicans.

So, beyond reworking the numbers, how do we know that the poll is not a fluke? The easiest way to see it is not a fluke is because this surge only happened in Obama vs Palin, but not in Romney vs Obama. If it were merely growing discontent with Obama and a desire to elect a Republican, we would assume that all candidates would have surged equally or, at worst, half as much.
 
Palin 47% Obama 47%: Turnaround & Why Marist Poll Is No Fluke Poll Insider

For one thing, the numbers are actually closer to 47% Palin, 47% Obama, a tie. The Marist poll actually oversample Democrats compared to Republicans by 8 points, and oversamples both of them with Independents. (There has been a rise in Indy voters, but not to the tune of almost 40% of the population. Using historical trends, the anticipated 2012 Voter Turnout rate is 36% D, 36% R, 28% I. If your prefer the Rasmussen Partisan Preference it’s essentially a 3-way tie at 33.5% R, 33% D, and 33.5% I. In either scenario, you end up with a 47-47 tie.

The good news here for Palin again is that among the 6% Undecided, 67% are Independents, 20% are Republicans, and just 13% are Democrats. Undecideds usually tilt towards the challenger and in this case those undecideds are mostly Obama-Disapproving Independents followed by Republicans.

So, beyond reworking the numbers, how do we know that the poll is not a fluke? The easiest way to see it is not a fluke is because this surge only happened in Obama vs Palin, but not in Romney vs Obama. If it were merely growing discontent with Obama and a desire to elect a Republican, we would assume that all candidates would have surged equally or, at worst, half as much.
 
Several sources saying Palins to divorce. He feels like he's been made out to be a laughing stock with all of the rumors about her.
 
Talk about a laughingstock:

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Michael Palin I might vote for.:)

Well I must admit he would probably be an inprovement
on what we now have.

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plus one
Posted via VolNation Mobile

Why do you say no??

What candidate do you support?

Duncan Hunter was ignored by the media, they cannot
avoid coverning Sarah Palin, albeit for all the wrong
reasons.

Breitbart nails anti-Palin author Don Surber


Hating Sarah Palin is a cottage industry built around
those intolerant intellectuals who never bothered to
find out just who she is and instead bitterly cling
to their stereotype of her as a Church Lady who shoots
Bambi from helicopters. Those who hate her are shelling
out $13.99 to buy charlatan Joe McGinniss’s book,
“The Rogue: Searching for the Real Sarah Palin,” which
apparently is more fiction than fact.

That’s because Joe McGinniss spent a summer in Alaska
on his publisher, Random House’s dime and could not
come up with anything new.

His words, not mine.

In an e-mail intercepted by Andrew Breitbart, Joe
McGinniss wrote to a gossip blogger: “Jesse, if you
can put me in touch with people who are willing and
able to substantiate any of the above, now is the
time to do so. Otherwise, I hope you won’t complain
that there are no startling new revelations in my
book.
 
Here is "the poll from hell" that Scott Rasmussen
wishes he could have back:

Whose VIEWS are closer to yours?
Palin or Obama

------------------PALIN-------OBAMA

OVERALL------------52----------40

MALE---------------55----------37

FEMALE-------------48----------43

WHITES-------------58----------35

BLACKS-------------5-----------87

OTHER--------------49----------32

DEMOCRATS----------14----------81

GOP----------------84----------9

INDEPENDENTS-------59----------27

CONSERVATIVES------80----------12

MODERATES----------28----------61

LIBERALS-----------14----------85

<20K/YR------------40----------42

20K-40K------------55----------39

40K-60K------------52----------42

60K-75K------------41----------49

75K-100K-----------56----------31

100K+--------------55----------42

MAINSTREAM---------63----------28

POLITICAL CLASS----30----------68

18-29--------------52----------34

30-39--------------51----------42

40-49--------------51----------40

50-64--------------52----------40

65+----------------51----------42

Notice the 40% overall number for Obama in this
poll now matches what the Gallup weekly summary
has been finding in the past month in terms of
pegging where Obama's overall approval now sits.

Have we reached the point where there are
perhaps only a very low percentage of the
electorate who now approve of Obama's job performance and also don't share his VIEWS?

When this poll was done a year ago Rasmussen
and Gallup were both showing Obama polling in
the 45%-48% range in job approval.

And finally note that 5 out of 8 mainstream voters
feel their VIEWS are simpatico with Governor Palin
and only 3 in 8 voters feel aligned with Obama.

Obviously the Left does NOT want this poll result
resurrected and neither does the GOP establishment
but once again it proves that Palin is indeed electable
against President Obama next year if voters vote their
conscience and out of self-interest rather than voting
for who the media wants them to vote for.

Bottom line: Obama has done nothing in the past
year to convince the greater majority of voters to
change their VIEW of him. If anything he has only
confirmed or reinforced these VIEWS that they had
of him a year ago.
 
I don't want Palin in because I want someone who will be able to come in and not be a focus of the media. She will not get a fair shake with the press even is she is a good president and the next president is going to need to make major changes and a neutral press will help. If she comes in, everything she tries to do will be magnified 1 trillion times.

I also like a few other candidates better like Huntsman, Cain, and even Romney.

Not sure of Perry just sucks as debating but he seems like Bush 2.0 up there.
 
Here is "the poll from hell" that Scott Rasmussen
wishes he could have back:

Whose VIEWS are closer to yours?
Palin or Obama

------------------PALIN-------OBAMA

OVERALL------------52----------40

MALE---------------55----------37

FEMALE-------------48----------43

WHITES-------------58----------35

BLACKS-------------5-----------87

OTHER--------------49----------32

DEMOCRATS----------14----------81

GOP----------------84----------9

INDEPENDENTS-------59----------27

CONSERVATIVES------80----------12

MODERATES----------28----------61

LIBERALS-----------14----------85

<20K/YR------------40----------42

20K-40K------------55----------39

40K-60K------------52----------42

60K-75K------------41----------49

75K-100K-----------56----------31

100K+--------------55----------42

MAINSTREAM---------63----------28

POLITICAL CLASS----30----------68

18-29--------------52----------34

30-39--------------51----------42

40-49--------------51----------40

50-64--------------52----------40

65+----------------51----------42

Notice the 40% overall number for Obama in this
poll now matches what the Gallup weekly summary
has been finding in the past month in terms of
pegging where Obama's overall approval now sits.

Have we reached the point where there are
perhaps only a very low percentage of the
electorate who now approve of Obama's job performance and also don't share his VIEWS?

When this poll was done a year ago Rasmussen
and Gallup were both showing Obama polling in
the 45%-48% range in job approval.

And finally note that 5 out of 8 mainstream voters
feel their VIEWS are simpatico with Governor Palin
and only 3 in 8 voters feel aligned with Obama.

Obviously the Left does NOT want this poll result
resurrected and neither does the GOP establishment
but once again it proves that Palin is indeed electable
against President Obama next year if voters vote their
conscience and out of self-interest rather than voting
for who the media wants them to vote for.

Bottom line: Obama has done nothing in the past
year to convince the greater majority of voters to
change their VIEW of him. If anything he has only
confirmed or reinforced these VIEWS that they had
of him a year ago.



Now do the Hillary numbers against :salute:them both.....
 
still doesn't mean she would beat Obama in a general election

Pick a name out of the phone book and they will
beat Obama.

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I don't want Palin in because I want someone who will be able to come in and not be a focus of the media. She will not get a fair shake with the press even is she is a good president and the next president is going to need to make major changes and a neutral press will help. If she comes in, everything she tries to do will be magnified 1 trillion times.

I also like a few other candidates better like Huntsman, Cain, and even Romney.

Not sure of Perry just sucks as debating but he seems like Bush 2.0 up there.

We if you are going to vote for someone the old media
will be kind to, you are barking up the wrong tree to
begin with.

Screw Romney and Huntsman.

34ffomw.jpg




Now do the Hillary numbers against :salute:them both.....

Well CNN (the Communist News Network) is touting
Hitlery approval ratings.

I think they get their numbers out of thin air like
the Fed gets it's money out of thin air.

Anyone who approves of Hitlery's actions in Honduras
and Kenya has to have their head up their buttocks.

Bottom line is that Obama and Hitlery are peas in
a pod.

But then there are those who believe in eating their
peas. (and some even pee on themselves when the
name Obama is even mentioned and claim you are
racist if you don't also.)
 
EXCLUSIVE: Chuck Heath, Jr., Brother of Gov. Palin, Responds to McGinniss, Random House: &#8216;One Lie After Another&#8217; - Big Government


The McGinniss book is filled with one lie after another.

The final straw for me was when I learned that he used
me as a source for his lies about my sister and brother-
in-law’s marriage. He included in his book comments
falsely attributed to me by one of his unnamed sources.

(I notice some here like to repeat these unfounded
rumors as being factual, a pox on you.)gs

Neither McGinniss nor Crown/Random House reached
out to me to verify, or even comment on, this alleged
hearsay from an unnamed source. They just ran with it,
and as a consequence, the tabloids picked it up and
used it to fuel false rumors about my sister getting a
divorce.

All of this is a total lie, and I’m sick of seeing
my sister, her family, and our extended family being
trashed by smear-merchants like Joe McGinniss and
his publisher.

Results of a poll taken by "RedState."

From the current list of potential Republican presidential candidates,
who is your FIRST choice?

Response.........................Percent
Michele Bachmann ................1.2%
Herman Cain........................20.8%
Chris Christie........................ 0.9%
Newt Gingrich........................2.2%
Rudy Giuliani..........................0.1%
Jon Huntsman........................1.0%
Gary Johnson.........................0.6%
Sarah Palin..........................51.8%
Ron Paul..............................10.5%
Rick Perry..............................7.8%
Buddy Roemer.........................0.1%
Mitt Romney...........................2.5%
Rick Santorum.........................0.6%

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Leave it to a tight-ass like you to not find those skits funny.

Also, Tina Fey's legs >>>>> Sarah Palin's.
 

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