Windy's football discussion thread.

#23,615
#23,615
How do people put so much confidence in our "insiders" who are usually wrong about everything? I see a few who take their words as legit gospel, even though they're wrong a lot. Even seen a comment saying since one isn't saying anything, I'll take it as a yes. ?? I mean I get wanting good news, but that's why so many got mad at gruden, when it wasn't even him. I remember one poster after gruden saying he had no interest the last time say something along the lines of not believing him, cause someone on here said it was a done deal. Idk, I just don't get it.
 
#23,617
#23,617
joevol33 said:
How do people put so much confidence in our "insiders" who are usually wrong about everything? I see a few who take their words as legit gospel, even though they're wrong a lot. Even seen a comment saying since one isn't saying anything, I'll take it as a yes. ?? I mean I get wanting good news, but that's why so many got mad at gruden, when it wasn't even him. I remember one poster after gruden saying he had no interest the last time say something along the lines of not believing him, cause someone on here said it was a done deal. Idk, I just don't get it.
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* I know there are a couple who share legit info, and usually are right. There are a couple considered insiders, who I've seen wrong a lot, yet anything they say is believed.
 
#23,618
#23,618
joevol33 said:
How do people put so much confidence in our "insiders" who are usually wrong about everything? I see a few who take their words as legit gospel, even though they're wrong a lot. Even seen a comment saying since one isn't saying anything, I'll take it as a yes. ?? I mean I get wanting good news, but that's why so many got mad at gruden, when it wasn't even him. I remember one poster after gruden saying he had no interest the last time say something along the lines of not believing him, cause someone on here said it was a done deal. Idk, I just don't get it.
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Sorry to take this in a serious direction, but...
A fairly high percentage of people will believe something to be true solely because they want it to be true. They convince themselves that this must be right. “My feelings can’t be wrong. That’s unpossible!” Or, as I like to say, “My mama said ___________. And my mama ain’t no liar. She’s a saint.”

This is why looking into things like confirmation bias, cognitive dissonance, and the Dunning-Kreuger effect is fascinating to me. I can find the things in my own life where I fell for the same type of things.
 
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#23,619
#23,619
The Ron Mexico said:
Sorry to take this in a serious direction, but...
A fairly high percentage of people will believe something to be true solely because they want it to be true. They convince themselves that this must be right. “My feelings can’t be wrong. That’s unpossible!” Or, as I like to say, “My mama said ___________. And my mama ain’t no liar. She’s a saint.”

This is why looking into things like confirmation bias, cognitive dissonance, and the Dunning-Kreuger effect is fascinating to me. I can find the things in my own life where I fell for the same type of things.
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where is Ron and what did u do with him?
 
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#23,620
#23,620
The Ron Mexico said:
Sorry to take this in a serious direction, but...
A fairly high percentage of people will believe something to be true solely because they want it to be true. They convince themselves that this must be right. “My feelings can’t be wrong. That’s unpossible!” Or, as I like to say, “My mama said ___________. And my mama ain’t no liar. She’s a saint.”

This is why looking into things like confirmation bias, cognitive dissonance, and the Dunning-Kreuger effect is fascinating to me. I can find the things in my own life where I fell for the same type of things.
Click to expand...
This makes sense.
 
#23,621
#23,621
The Ron Mexico said:
Sorry to take this in a serious direction, but...
A fairly high percentage of people will believe something to be true solely because they want it to be true. They convince themselves that this must be right. “My feelings can’t be wrong. That’s unpossible!” Or, as I like to say, “My mama said ___________. And my mama ain’t no liar. She’s a saint.”

This is why looking into things like confirmation bias, cognitive dissonance, and the Dunning-Kreuger effect is fascinating to me. I can find the things in my own life where I fell for the same type of things.
Click to expand...
It’s a huge topic in investing. Somewhere or other there’s data that showed that dead investors (with forgotten accounts) had the best returns, because they weren’t continually twiddling around.
 
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#23,622
#23,622
VolNExile said:
It’s a huge topic in investing. Somewhere or other there’s data that showed that dead investors (with forgotten accounts) had the best returns, because they weren’t continually twiddling around.
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We use ef Hutton and he says.................

Just kidding we use a local guy and he has been killing it for us
 
#23,625
#23,625
The Ron Mexico said:
Sorry to take this in a serious direction, but...
A fairly high percentage of people will believe something to be true solely because they want it to be true. They convince themselves that this must be right. “My feelings can’t be wrong. That’s unpossible!” Or, as I like to say, “My mama said ___________. And my mama ain’t no liar. She’s a saint.”

This is why looking into things like confirmation bias, cognitive dissonance, and the Dunning-Kreuger effect is fascinating to me. I can find the things in my own life where I fell for the same type of things.
Click to expand...
I am also fascinated by the way people behave. Specifically in groups. For example, next time you get on an elevator watch the people around you. As the doors shut everyone will stop talking and stare at the numbers above the door.
 
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