winning the remaining games

#1
mudhen

mudhen

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#1
With the exception of Georgia, the Vols are predicted to win out. If we LOST to the dogs, (I am starting to detest Kirby Smart with the same intensity of Steve Spurrier), but held it close, is there a way to get into the playoffs? Oregon and Miami have cupcake schedules so they most likely will stay undefeated, but I see potential pitfalls with everyone else. Can a 2 loss Tennessee sneak in the back door? Mind you, I would not like to play LSU this year.
 
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#2
#2
mudhen said:
With the exception of Georgia, the Vols are predicted to win out. If we LOST to the dogs, (I am starting to detest Kirby Smart with the same intensity of Steve Spurrier), but held it close, is there a way to get into the playoffs? Oregon and Miami have cupcake schedules so they most likely will stay undefeated, but I see potential pitfalls with everyone else. Can a 2 loss Tennessee sneak in the back door? Mind you, I would not like to play LSU this year.
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think-thinking.gif
 
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#6
#6
mudhen said:
With the exception of Georgia, the Vols are predicted to win out. If we LOST to the dogs, (I am starting to detest Kirby Smart with the same intensity of Steve Spurrier), but held it close, is there a way to get into the playoffs? Oregon and Miami have cupcake schedules so they most likely will stay undefeated, but I see potential pitfalls with everyone else. Can a 2 loss Tennessee sneak in the back door? Mind you, I would not like to play LSU this year.
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I think the answer is yes, but I don't like our chances in a popularity contest, especially if it's against a Big 10 team.

I have been running various scenarios in my head but really boils down to a couple of things.

1. Tennessee must play Ga close(or win)
2. Tennessee can't lose any more stupid games. The Arkansas loss is killing us.
3. The big 10 is soft as baby sh** and it may be hard to put in multiple 2 loss SEC teams in over a 1 loss big 10 team. I.E. State Penn that only plays 2 ranked teams all year. OH State and Indiana.
4. ACC is also looking soft, but I don't think it is decided yet. Miami should have lost to Va Tech which played Louisville very close. Clemson looks improved since the Ga thrashing. ACC is up for grabs but will probably have a couple of one loss teams that will want to make an argument over a two loss SEC team.
5. If every conference gets a team in thats 4, plus their runner up is 8. This leaves 4 spots left, minus one for charity team leaves 3 spots. Not sure how may of those spots will go to an SEC team.
 
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#7
#7
mudhen said:
With the exception of Georgia, the Vols are predicted to win out. If we LOST to the dogs, (I am starting to detest Kirby Smart with the same intensity of Steve Spurrier), but held it close, is there a way to get into the playoffs? Oregon and Miami have cupcake schedules so they most likely will stay undefeated, but I see potential pitfalls with everyone else. Can a 2 loss Tennessee sneak in the back door? Mind you, I would not like to play LSU this year.
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Fix our offensive sleep time in the first half. The rest will take care of it self!
 
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#11
#11
Unfortunately our strength of schedule gets weaker by the week. NCST and OU are terrible. So if we lose to UGA, then win out, we will have one decent win. But what happens in Bama drops another game or two and drops out of the top 25 all together? Then we would have zero good wins.

I think we have to beat UGA and win out to make the playoffs.
 
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#13
#13
Win out and we are in the SEC championship. Lose to UGA and we could still make the CFP. Lose to anybody else with a win against UGA means we could still make the CFP. Any other scenario means no CFP.

There is a chance some random Big 12, B1G, or ACC 11-1 team could get in over us, but from precedent from the FSU snuff last year is that the CFP committee lean SEC and will probably try to get as many in for ratings and ROI. The TCU debacle from 2 years ago poisoned the well for Big 12.

Plenty of football left and we need to try to win out and not worry about anybody else.
 
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#16
#16
adam.vol said:
If Vanderbilt continues to win, we can get a 4th top 25 win without beating Georgia. That might be enough for us to avoid the back door. I hate the idea of having to depend on other programs to help us though. We should be able to win out and not need to come from behind.
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Vandy drops out after Sat
 
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#18
#18
sports.yahoo.com

AP Top 25: Oregon moves up to No. 1, Georgia to No. 2 after Bulldogs' win over Texas

The Ducks beat Purdue 35-0 on Friday night.
sports.yahoo.com sports.yahoo.com

AP Top 25: Oregon moves up to No. 1, Georgia to No. 2 after Bulldogs' win over Texas​

nick bromberg
Senior writer
Sun, Oct 20, 2024, 2:23 PM EDT·2 min read

Oregon is the No. 1 team in the country.
The Ducks moved up to the top spot in the AP Top 25 after Texas lost to Georgia on Saturday night. Oregon played Friday and easily beat Purdue 35-0 on the road, less than a week after the Ducks beat Ohio State 32-31.
It's the first time Oregon has been ranked No. 1 in the AP Top 25 since the 2012 season. The Ducks' No. 2 ranking was the third time since 2012 that Oregon had been in the second spot.
The Bulldogs moved up three spots to No. 2 after their 30-15 win over the Longhorns. Georgia led 23-0 at halftime before cruising in a controversial second half.
Penn State stayed at No. 3 after having a bye week in Week 8. The Nittany Lions won at USC in Week 7 and face Wisconsin in Week 9. Ohio State also stayed in its spot at No. 4 during an off week as Texas fell four spots to No. 5.
Miami kept its spot at No. 6 after a 52-45 win at Louisville, while Tennessee moved up four spots to No. 7 after beating Alabama. The top 10 is rounded out by LSU, Clemson and Iowa State. The Tigers from the ACC traded spots with the Cyclones after Iowa State needed a late TD to beat UCF at home.
Alabama fell all the way to No. 15 after the loss to Tennessee and is behind BYU, Notre Dame, Indiana and Texas A&M. The Crimson Tide are the top two-loss team in the top 25 and can say that both losses came to top 25 teams. Vanderbilt makes its debut in the poll this week at No. 25.
As the Big Ten has three of the top four teams in the poll for the second straight week, the SEC has nine ranked teams now that the Commodores are in the top 25. The Big Ten has five ranked teams, the ACC has four and the Big 12 has three.

Post-Week 8 AP Top 25​

1. Oregon (7-0)
2. Georgia (6-1)
3. Penn State (6-0)
4. Ohio State (5-1)
5. Texas (6-1)
6. Miami (7-0)
7. Tennessee (6-1)
8. LSU (6-1)
9. Clemson (6-1)
10. Iowa State (7-0)
11. BYU (7-0)
12. Notre Dame (6-1)
13. Indiana (7-0)
14. Texas A&M (6-1)
15. Alabama (5-2)
16. Kansas State (6-1)
17. Boise State (5-1)
18. Ole Miss (5-2)
19. Pitt (6-0)
20. Illinois (6-1)
21. Missouri (6-1)
22. SMU (6-1)
23. Army (7-0)
24. Navy (6-0)
25. Vanderbilt (5-2)
 
#19
#19
BigOrangeTrain said:
Unfortunately our strength of schedule gets weaker by the week. NCST and OU are terrible. So if we lose to UGA, then win out, we will have one decent win. But what happens in Bama drops another game or two and drops out of the top 25 all together? Then we would have zero good wins.

I think we have to beat UGA and win out to make the playoffs.
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College football is silly. Too many people said “oh the expanded playoff makes it where one loss doesn’t kill your playoff odds.”

Popularity contests are total bullcrap. SEC and top part of the B1G are where all the talent is. Look at the talent composites. Look at the viewer numbers.

A 10-2 SEC team faced waaaaaay more talent than your average Big 12 or ACC team.

Who has Clemson played? One good team that thrashed them. Who has Iowa State played? An okay Iowa team and that’s it. Who has BYU played? A bunch of sleep walkers.
 
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#20
#20
I believe a tight loss to UGA would not hurt us a lot. A quality loss hurts less than a tight game against Miss St or Vandy
 
#22
#22
mudhen said:
With the exception of Georgia, the Vols are predicted to win out. If we LOST to the dogs, (I am starting to detest Kirby Smart with the same intensity of Steve Spurrier), but held it close, is there a way to get into the playoffs? Oregon and Miami have cupcake schedules so they most likely will stay undefeated, but I see potential pitfalls with everyone else. Can a 2 loss Tennessee sneak in the back door? Mind you, I would not like to play LSU this year.
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What is so frustrating about this Tennessee team is they very well may be the best team in the country. I mean who among us would have thought we could turn it over 3 times and not score in the first half AND still beat Bama? Get the offense executing for the whole game like they did in the second half Saturday and we don't need to worry about two losses and we don't need no stinking help from other teams 'cause we gonna cruise to 11-1 and win the SEC Championship against anyone else they bring. The issue is all on our offense - can our offense play well for 60 minutes?
 
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#23
#23
McDad said:
Still A lot of football ahead. A 10-2 UT team CAN make it into playoffs but it kinda hinges on what the other currently undefeated and 1-loss teams do.
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I’d bet a large sum of money that 10-2 gets us in. Just go back and look at the end of season Top-25 polls over the years. A lot of the time, you are seeing 9-3 after the 10-spot.
 
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#24
#24
Nico ee-ah-MAH-LAY-ah-va said:
Win out and we are in the SEC championship. Lose to UGA and we could still make the CFP. Lose to anybody else with a win against UGA means we could still make the CFP. Any other scenario means no CFP.

There is a chance some random Big 12, B1G, or ACC 11-1 team could get in over us, but from precedent from the FSU snuff last year is that the CFP committee lean SEC and will probably try to get as many in for ratings and ROI. The TCU debacle from 2 years ago poisoned the well for Big 12.

Plenty of football left and we need to try to win out and not worry about anybody else.
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Acc and big 12 is a one bid league who ever wins the conference gets there shot… no way either of those leagues deserve two bids they are cupcake leagues…
 
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