winning the remaining games

#27
#27
VolCalls said:
According to the Allstate Playoff Predictor on ESPN, a 10-2 Tennessee team that loses to Georgia has an 80% chance to make the playoffs.
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No offense towards your post, but after reading it and thinking about it for a second…. I think all of us could have thrown this number out and felt good about it.
I wonder what a 10-2 Missouri team’s percentage would be. I’m saying 73% based on a soft schedule
 
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#28
#28
Ohio State
VFFL@THE BEACH said:
I think the answer is yes, but I don't like our chances in a popularity contest, especially if it's against a Big 10 team.

I have been running various scenarios in my head but really boils down to a couple of things.

1. Tennessee must play Ga close(or win)
2. Tennessee can't lose any more stupid games. The Arkansas loss is killing us.
3. The big 10 is soft as baby sh** and it may be hard to put in multiple 2 loss SEC teams in over a 1 loss big 10 team. I.E. State Penn that only plays 2 ranked teams all year. OH State and Indiana.
4. ACC is also looking soft, but I don't think it is decided yet. Miami should have lost to Va Tech which played Louisville very close. Clemson looks improved since the Ga thrashing. ACC is up for grabs but will probably have a couple of one loss teams that will want to make an argument over a two loss SEC team.
5. If every conference gets a team in thats 4, plus their runner up is 8. This leaves 4 spots left, minus one for charity team leaves 3 spots. Not sure how may of those spots will go to an SEC team.
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Ohio State and Indiana both have the potential to beat PSU.
 
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#29
#29
mudhen said:
With the exception of Georgia, the Vols are predicted to win out. If we LOST to the dogs, (I am starting to detest Kirby Smart with the same intensity of Steve Spurrier), but held it close, is there a way to get into the playoffs? Oregon and Miami have cupcake schedules so they most likely will stay undefeated, but I see potential pitfalls with everyone else. Can a 2 loss Tennessee sneak in the back door? Mind you, I would not like to play LSU this year.
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We just need sack up and beat the puppies in their own pen. Everything else takes care of itself.
 
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#32
#32
BigOrangeTrain said:
Unfortunately our strength of schedule gets weaker by the week. NCST and OU are terrible. So if we lose to UGA, then win out, we will have one decent win. But what happens in Bama drops another game or two and drops out of the top 25 all together? Then we would have zero good wins.

I think we have to beat UGA and win out to make the playoffs.
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Assuming 4 SEC teams get in and making the false assumption that we lose to UGA… I see us as the 4th team in behind 1-loss LSU and in front of 3+ loss A&M and Missouri.

It gets wild if A&M beats LSU then LSU beats Alabama and Texas beats A&M… then we all have 2 losses but only 2 of us get in behind UGA and Texas. In that scenario I think we are out because LSU has more quality wins (OM and Bama) but the committee can’t leave A&M out because of their win over LSU.

Missouri is the wild card in all this but I still see them ending up with 3-4 losses and I don’t think A&M can beat LSU. Heck I don’t even think they’ll beat South Carolina.
 
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#37
#37
mudhen said:
With the exception of Georgia, the Vols are predicted to win out. If we LOST to the dogs, (I am starting to detest Kirby Smart with the same intensity of Steve Spurrier), but held it close, is there a way to get into the playoffs? Oregon and Miami have cupcake schedules so they most likely will stay undefeated, but I see potential pitfalls with everyone else. Can a 2 loss Tennessee sneak in the back door? Mind you, I would not like to play LSU this year.
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its looking like BYU and Iowa St could meet in the Big 12 championship with both undefeated. That would mean an undefeated Big 12 champion plus a one loss runner up.

Notre Dame needs to get by Navy and USC to finish with one loss.

Oregon and Miami would still have a championship game to play where Oregon likely would play Ohio St a second time. Miami and Pitt don't play so they could also end up undefeated and play each other in Championship..

There is going to be the top rated G5 champion taking one spot of the 12 in the CFP. Most likely Boise State or winner of Army / Navy.

BUT, still a lot of football to go and teams will get upset.... CFP teams are a long way from being known..
 
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#40
#40
bpalmer28 said:
Assuming 4 SEC teams get in and making the false assumption that we lose to UGA… I see us as the 4th team in behind 1-loss LSU and in front of 3+ loss A&M and Missouri.

It gets wild if A&M beats LSU then LSU beats Alabama and Texas beats A&M… then we all have 2 losses but only 2 of us get in behind UGA and Texas. In that scenario I think we are out because LSU has more quality wins (OM and Bama) but the committee can’t leave A&M out because of their win over LSU.

Missouri is the wild card in all this but I still see them ending up with 3-4 losses and I don’t think A&M can beat LSU. Heck I don’t even think they’ll beat South Carolina.
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My brain hurts.
 
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#41
#41
There are three crucial games in the sec this coming Saturday with us on bye that will affect our chances of if we’re going to need to win out or not…I think 10-2 should be enough if the only other loss is uga but it may be a sweat.
 
#42
#42
The wildcard in this is if Miami and Iowa State go undefeated, then lose to a two loss team in their respective conference championship games giving up the automatic playoff berth to a lesser team. That might ensure the ACC and the Big 12 get two teams into the CFPs. And with the SEC crowded with 1 and two loss teams, never know what will happen.

Wayyyyy too early to predict, especially with the way this season is going.
 
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#47
#47
Carl Pickens said:
No offense towards your post, but after reading it and thinking about it for a second…. I think all of us could have thrown this number out and felt good about it.
I wonder what a 10-2 Missouri team’s percentage would be. I’m saying 73% based on a soft schedule
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If Missouri loses in Tuscaloosa this weekend and finishes 10-2, their chances are 63%.

I’m not making up these numbers. You can literally select a team and play out any scenario. Try it. Who will make the expanded 12-team College Football Playoff?
 
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#48
#48
It's all up to top committee picker Indiana graduate Heather Dinnich the smartest mind in College Football. Everybody sitting on edge of their seat, last week when she said UT will lose to Bama and they have a very easy schedule so their gonna have a tremendously hard time making the 12. A Football genius cant remember where she played or coached but she will get it right, she is the face of new college football.
 
#50
#50
adam.vol said:
If Vanderbilt continues to win, we can get a 4th top 25 win without beating Georgia. That might be enough for us to avoid the back door. I hate the idea of having to depend on other programs to help us though. We should be able to win out and not need to come from behind.
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It wouldn’t be a 4th top 25 win. The committee goes off of their rankings when assessing a team’s resume. Oklahoma and NC State won’t be looked at as top 25 wins.
 
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