Official Bubble Watch/Games to watch thread

#51
#51
bleedingTNorange said:
Looking at Lunardi's updated bracket, I would consider these teams in, but could potentially fall out...Oklahoma State, California, Colorado, Arizona State, Stanford, BYU, Minnesota, FSU, Providence, Georgetown and WVU.

These teams as out, could potentially move in still...LSU, Missouri, Richmond, St. Joseph's, Clemson, Dayton and Ole Miss.
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vs. Ohio State in St Louis. I might have to make that trip again. Enjoyed our last meeting there.

Theoretically speaking, of course, I would hate to play Kansas in StL. I went to their Sweet 16 game there in '12 against NC State. Might as well have been a home game.
 
#53
#53
I'm surprised only 1 regional is in a dome. the NCAA normally loves those **** holes
 
#54
#54
golfballs said:
vs. Ohio State in St Louis. I might have to make that trip again. Enjoyed our last meeting there.

Theoretically speaking, of course, I would hate to play Kansas in StL. I went to their Sweet 16 game there in '12 against NC State. Might as well have been a home game.
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There's a chance we could be a 10 seed after some games tonight, possibly up to a 8 if we win Saturday and other games go our way?
 
#55
#55
To get an 8 I think it would take winning out and plus one game in the SEC tournament or losing only once more plus making it to the finals.

If we lose once more and win only one in the SEC T, a 10 is the worst we would be IMO
 
#56
#56
bleedingTNorange said:
4:00pm: Vandy vs. South Carolina
7:00pm: Arkansas vs. Missouri
9:00pm: USM vs. UAB
9:00pm: St. John's vs. Seton Hall
9:00pm: Colorado vs. UCLA
9:00pm: Pepperdine vs. Gonzaga
9:00pm: Minnesota vs. Wisconsin
9:05pm: FAU vs. UTEP
11:00pm: BYU vs. Pacific
11:00pm: San Diego vs. SMC
Click to expand...

This didn't work out to well last time I said it but.... Hopefully getting MO on 2 days rest will be an advantage.

ftr: last time I posted this was b4 @Florida. :whistling:
 
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#57
#57
Of course depending on other teams, it might not take that much. But realistically speaking, I think an 8 seed is the ceiling.
 
#58
#58
golfballs said:
To get an 8 I think it would take winning out and plus one game in the SEC tournament or losing only once more plus making it to the finals.

If we lose once more and win only one in the SEC T, a 10 is the worst we would be IMO
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I think if we go 6-1, split with Missouri, get the 1st round SEC bye and win our 1st game we are around 8/9 seed.

If we go 5-2 I think we have to win 1 at least in the SECT and are probably looking around a 12 seed.
 
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#59
#59
golfballs said:
Of course depending on other teams, it might not take that much. But realistically speaking, I think an 8 seed is the ceiling.
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I know RPI isn't directly reflected in seeding, but winning out puts our RPI at 30. Win the SECT, obviously depends who against, but likely bumps that into the low 20s. I would think a 6 seed would be very likely in that scenario.

Obviously the chances of winning out they the SECT are about as likely as Pearl coming back, so ya know :)
 
#60
#60
bleedingTNorange said:
I think if we go 6-1, split with Missouri, get the 1st round SEC bye and win our 1st game we are around 8/9 seed.
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Would be interesting.
Possible 2nd game rematch with Witchy as an 8 or FL as a 9.
Don't remember what the last rule change was on conference rivals that have met twice though.
 
#61
#61
calban said:
Would be interesting.
Possible 2nd game rematch with Witchy as an 8 or FL as a 9.
Don't remember what the last rule change was on conference rivals that have met twice though.
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I think they try to avoid it, but don't have to. Not 100% on that though.
 
#62
#62
calban said:
Would be interesting.
Possible 2nd game rematch with Witchy as an 8 or FL as a 9.
Don't remember what the last rule change was on conference rivals that have met twice though.
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Can't meet before the Sweet 16, I believe.

Edit: Just looked it up to make sure. This applies to us and Florida this year. If you only play a conference opponent once, then you can meet in round of 32.
 
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#63
#63
Okie State better be careful. They could literally play themselves out of the tournament. They only have 2 good OOC wins (Memphis and Colorado), and they really don't have great conference wins. They have lost 5 straight and are 4-7 in conference. Games still remaining: home against OU, KSU, and Kansas and at Baylor and Iowa State. Could easily lose 3 of those and maybe 4, and it gets real interesting. Can you be 8-10 in conference and make it?
 
#64
#64
VolGee4 said:
Okie State better be careful. They could literally play themselves out of the tournament. They only have 2 good OOC wins (Memphis and Colorado), and they really don't have great conference wins. They have lost 5 straight and are 4-7 in conference. Games still remaining: home against OU, KSU, and Kansas and at Baylor and Iowa State. Could easily lose 3 of those and maybe 4, and it gets real interesting. Can you be 8-10 in conference and make it?
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That's why I included them. Without smart these next couple games are huge, they could find themselves in a bad spot.
 
#65
#65
VolGee4 said:
Can't meet before the Sweet 16, I believe.

Edit: Just looked it up to make sure. This applies to us and Florida this year. If you only play a conference opponent once, then you can meet in round of 32.
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Wouldn't mind a rematch with witchy.
Would have beat them the first time had we gotten Stokes more involved.
 
#67
#67
bleedingTNorange said:
I know RPI isn't directly reflected in seeding, but winning out puts our RPI at 30. Win the SECT, obviously depends who against, but likely bumps that into the low 20s. I would think a 6 seed would be very likely in that scenario.

Obviously the chances of winning out they the SECT are about as likely as Pearl coming back, so ya know :)
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*realistically
 
#68
#68
Not sure if this is new or I'm just discovering it, but Jerry Palm of cbs has a daily "palm reader". You pick your team and it tells you what games can raise/lower your RPI for that day.

Today:

Vandy over South Carolina
Missouri over Arkansas
Tennessee Tech over Eastern Kentucky
Morehead State over Jacksonville State
Tennessee State over Belmont
UTEP over FAU
 
#69
#69
bleedingTNorange said:
Not sure if this is new or I'm just discovering it, but Jerry Palm of cbs has a daily "palm reader". You pick your team and it tells you what games can raise/lower your RPI for that day.

Today:

Vandy over South Carolina
Missouri over Arkansas
Tennessee Tech over Eastern Kentucky
Morehead State over Jacksonville State
Tennessee State over Belmont
UTEP over FAU
Click to expand...

been around for a while now
 
#71
#71
bleedingTNorange said:
Not sure if this is new or I'm just discovering it, but Jerry Palm of cbs has a daily "palm reader". You pick your team and it tells you what games can raise/lower your RPI for that day.

Today:

Vandy over South Carolina
Missouri over Arkansas
Tennessee Tech over Eastern Kentucky
Morehead State over Jacksonville State
Tennessee State over Belmont
UTEP over FAU
Click to expand...
Not going to happen but need Arky to beat MZ.
We'll need to sweep them if they win tonight.
They're on course for 23 wins and an rpi in the 30s.
We have to win 20 to get in the 30s.
Double check me, but I think that's right.
 
#72
#72
calban said:
Not going to happen but need Arky to beat MZ.
We'll need to sweep them if they win tonight.
They're on course for 23 wins and an rpi in the 30s.
We have to win 20 to get in the 30s.
Double check me, but I think that's right.
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Huh?

Missouri is projected for a RPI of 54 and a 21-10 record.

http://www.rpiforecast.com/teams/Missouri.html

Arkansas winning would be nice as it would just about do Missouri in, but a win for Missouri wouldn't vault them infront of us.
 
#73
#73
bleedingTNorange said:
Huh?

Missouri is projected for a RPI of 54 and a 21-10 record.

http://www.rpiforecast.com/teams/Missouri.html

Arkansas winning would be nice as it would just about do Missouri in, but a win for Missouri wouldn't vault them infront of us.
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Take a look at their schedule.
They're projected 37.8 with 23 wins.
We're projected 37.6 with 20.
Of course if we both finish with those numbers the committee would probably take 4 from the SEC.
I don't put much stock it in projected rpi up there at the top. It changes after every game. Go by the list.
 
#74
#74
calban said:
Take a look at their schedule.
They're projected 37.8 with 23 wins.
We're projected 37.6 with 20.
Of course if we both finish with those numbers the committee would probably take 4 from the SEC.
I don't put much stock it in projected rpi up there at the top. It changes after every game. Go by the list.
Click to expand...

23-8 means you think they lose 1 game, they're more inconsistent than we are, I don't see that being the case. That's why at the top expected record has them at 21-10, which according to the list is a RPI of 54.
 
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