10-2 bama who Tennessee beat is a playoff lock

#77
#77
Tennessee's odds of getting in at 10-2 are not great. Sorry. They aren't. They've never been great. People keeping saying 10-2 Tennessee is in, but I don't think they realize how bad that Arkansas loss - plus getting wins against the heavyweights like NC State and Kent State - weighs on the minds of the committee.

At 10-2, there's a pool of four that are ahead of Tennessee. Texas OR Texas A&M, Alabama, UGA, and Ole Miss. The two in the SECCG are definitely locks. If - IF - the SEC gets a fifth slot, which isn't a given, Tennessee may have a chance. But that's what you have to hope for. A chance. Not a guarantee.
If Bama gets in the SEC title game and loses to give them a 3rd loss, the committee would have to get us in at 10-2 with a head to head over Bama. Bama is kind of the key to us getting in.
 
#79
#79
We need videos of VN fans losing it like we’ve seen the last week or so of another bunch.
We need some laughter!
 
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#80
#80
Yet at 10-2 we aren’t? We beat them right? Ok… why do we as Vols fans just accept this?
Truthfully, had UT played UGA, Bama or UF’s schedule, they would not even be in the 12 team conversation. That UT is in the conversation is a result of not having to play Texas, Texas A&M, Ole Miss, or shoot, even Mizzou and USC. And the OOC opponents ended up being complete trash.
 
#81
#81
Yet at 10-2 we aren’t? We beat them right? Ok… why do we as Vols fans just accept this?
At this point, our win over Bama doesn’t mean much. Sure, we beat Bama, but they beat Georgia, and Georgia beat us. All teams with 2 losses, all teams that beat each other. One of those teams has to finish ranked behind a team they beat. It should probably be the one that has spent half the year taking a half off offensively.

We have only ourselves to blame.
 
#82
#82
This year is the most wide open season for just about any team to win the NC. There's no dominating Bama or Georgia teams that stand out like in the past years. Each week top teams lose and the deck gets reshuffled. Any team that make the playoffs has a chance to win it all if they catch lighting in a bottle
 
#84
#84
Wrong thing to compare. The rest of Alabama's schedule is what does it for them. They've beaten Georgia the same UGA we lost to, and also beat South Carolina, Missouri, and LSU. All temas in the upper half of the SEC.

Tennessee has one good win - Alabama at home - and one decent win in the Florida game. Four of Tennessee's conference wins are against four of the five worst teams in the SEC this year.
And Kentucky beat Ole Miss at Ole Miss.
 
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#85
#85
What are we supposed to do? Self immolate? The committee is going to screw us and there’s nothing to be done about it. Shouldn’t have lost to Arkansas, we had to have known after 2022 if there was any chance to leave us out in favor of Alabama they would
We lost to Arkansas and Bama lost to Vandy. Both were road games. Our 2nd loss is on the road vs a playoff team. The only way that's the case for Bama is if we get in.
 
#86
#86
They are not a playoff lock lol

They have to play in Norman and against Auburn and then they have to play against Texas in the SEC championship if they win out. What will the committee do with them if they lose to Texas in the championship?

Y'all are acting like the season is over yet everyone still has to win 2 or 3 more games to be a 'lock'. No one is a lock until the playoff committee issues its final rankings after championship week.
 
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#87
#87
We lost to Arkansas and Bama lost to Vandy. Both were road games. Our 2nd loss is on the road vs a playoff team. The only way that's the case for Bama is if we get in.
I’m not saying that’s how it should be. I’m saying that’s how it is. Committee as currently constructed would NEVER put in Tennessee to the exclusion of Alabama when they have the same record. Just a fact
 
#89
#89
Tennessee's odds of getting in at 10-2 are not great. Sorry. They aren't. They've never been great. People keeping saying 10-2 Tennessee is in, but I don't think they realize how bad that Arkansas loss - plus getting wins against the heavyweights like NC State and Kent State - weighs on the minds of the committee.

At 10-2, there's a pool of four that are ahead of Tennessee. Texas OR Texas A&M, Alabama, UGA, and Ole Miss. The two in the SECCG are definitely locks. If - IF - the SEC gets a fifth slot, which isn't a given, Tennessee may have a chance. But that's what you have to hope for. A chance. Not a guarantee.
ole Miss lost at home to Kentucky. Kentucky loss is worse than Arkansas away loss looking at SEC standings
 
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#91
#91
They are not a playoff lock lol

They have to play in Norman and against Auburn and then they have to play against Texas in the SEC championship if they win out. What will the committee do with them if they lose to Texas in the championship?

Y'all are acting like the season is over yet everyone still has to win 2 or 3 more games to be a 'lock'. No one is a lock until the playoff committee issues its final rankings after championship week.

This all day long. A lot of football still to be played, including the SECCG. I think you have to put Vols’ playoff chances at more likely than not.
 
#92
#92
The number one thing was dropped passes on crucial downs especially to the TE. Even if we make the playoffs, we can’t score. We’ll be out first round. Something has to change with this offense. I swear we run 8 plays a game.

You watch other offenses attack blitzes with screens and quick releases. You see other offense having guys running wide open like we did in 2022. Our main problem is lack of execution. We are easy to figure out and with all that said we are still 8-2 at this point.

Josh will get it right I believe. We have to remember that we are STILL digging out of Kiffin, Dooley, Butch, and Pruitt. Go Vols!
 
#95
#95
Now it’s 2-1 since LSU and Mizzou are out. If you go at time of playing then we’re 3-1 vs NCSU, OU, Bama and UGA.
Currently.....It's almost the end of the season. Your record against the top 25 mean something at the end.....Preseason poll rankings mean squat.
 
#96
#96
TX is the one who should have the most to sweat, but won’t, if they lose to AM. Their SOS is 38 vs UT at 18 (Bama is 16). If they lose to AM they will have 0 top 25 wins yet nobody expects a 10-2 TX to be left out.
 
#97
#97
Currently.....It's almost the end of the season. Your record against the top 25 mean something at the end.....Preseason poll rankings mean squat.
No they’re not 4-1 vs current top 25 teams. Mizzou and LSU aren’t ranked. They’re 2-1 (UGA, SCar and UT).
 
#99
#99
I’m not saying that’s how it should be. I’m saying that’s how it is. Committee as currently constructed would NEVER put in Tennessee to the exclusion of Alabama when they have the same record. Just a fact
Tbh there is no way that Bama finishes with the same record as us to even find out. They'll either have 1 more 1 or 1 more loss. They're going to play in the SECCG vs Texas because of tiebreakers. The only way that doesn't happen is if Mizzou loses to Miss st and Arkansas. In your scenario there still wouldn't be an argument for Bama with the committee because we would have beaten Bama and Vandy who they lost too.
 
Somebody else may have posted this already but I didn’t want to go thru 4 pages to see but here’s what I think needs to happen for us to get a playoff spot. Either Florida beats OM, USC beats ND, Ohio St blows out Indiana. It would really help if we blow out Vandy. That will be the last impression we will leave the committee.
 

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