hog88
Your ray of sunshine
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Anyone would have beaten Trump with the media support they've been given. For example, Tulsi would have trounced himI'm fine with everything except I disagree with the last sentence. I think he's just the guy democrats see as most likely to beat Trump and they don't care about anything else this time.
The polls weren't really wrong last time. Hillary was showing a slight lead that was within the margin for error (less than 4%). Biden's showing 10+% right now and the margin is widening every day. Not to mention that Trump is trailing in some states that are absolute must wins for him to have any chance.Or hilarious if the polls are wrong again
Anyone would have beaten Trump with the media support they've been given. For example, Tulsi would have trounced him
At this point in the election..... there were several polls that showed Hillary with a 12 point plus lead in the election..... add that with I don’t trust the way polling is done now..... as many biases are so over the top now.... and the fact that people have a tendency to give inaccurate answers on things such as that and I could definitely see it happening..... I watched videos for a week straight and hope to be watching them again..... it was some of the funniest stuff I had ever seen.The polls weren't really wrong last time. Hillary was showing a slight lead that was within the margin for error (less than 4%). Biden's showing 10+% right now and the margin is widening every day. Not to mention that Trump is trailing in some states that are absolute must wins for him to have any chance.
But, sure, anything is possible.
Which poll had Hillary up 12 in mid-October? Looking through 538, Everything poll I can find shows Hillary up 2-4%, a tie, or Trump +1. So, everything seemed a lot tighter last time. 538 gave Hillary a 55% chance of winning, so just above a coin flip.At this point in the election..... there were several polls that showed Hillary with a 12 point plus lead in the election..... add that with I don’t trust the way polling is done now..... as many biases are so over the top now.... and the fact that people have a tendency to give inaccurate answers on things such as that and I could definitely see it happening..... I watched videos for a week straight and hope to be watching them again..... it was some of the funniest stuff I had ever seen.
At this point in the election..... there were several polls that showed Hillary with a 12 point plus lead in the election..... add that with I don’t trust the way polling is done now..... as many biases are so over the top now.... and the fact that people have a tendency to give inaccurate answers on things such as that and I could definitely see it happening..... I watched videos for a week straight and hope to be watching them again..... it was some of the funniest stuff I had ever seen.
Quick google search led to cnn..... Wall Street journal..... nbcnews.....cbs news..... associated press-gfr poll all had Hillary 12-15 points ahead mid October..... I didn’t look any further than thatWhich poll had Hillary up 12 in mid-October? Looking through 538, Everything poll I can find shows Hillary up 2-4%, a tie, or Trump +1. So, everything seemed a lot tighter last time. 538 gave Hillary a 55% chance of winning, so just above a coin flip.
With the biases in the media.... I don’t trust any data that they put out there. I know I saw one the other day that said the republicans voting for trump was polling very low at this time.... if you believe those to be any accurate indication then you could definitely see that vote in the poll switching back to trump on election nightView attachment 314351
There was one point in October, after the Access Hollywood tape, where Hillary scaled to the dizzy height of almost 47% in the polling aggregates and some Trump voters pulled back from him before returning.
By election day she was polling under 46% and her 3.1% national lead turned out to only be a 2.2% lead.
Currently Biden is at 52.4%. Not really the same situation, but of course Trump can win. It is just much less likely mathematically than four years ago at the same point.