2024 Presidential Race

Do y'all think there's going to be a defining singular moment/flub that loses this election for either Trump or Harris? With about 100 days until the election, that's a lot of time for Trump to try to just run out the clock (assuming polls are right and he's winning the swing states)

I live in Virginia, and I think back to the 2021 race for governor. Republicans always face an uphill climb in this state. But Youngkin was keeping it close in large part due to being able to somehow distance himself from Trump (in 2021 Trump was not seen in a favorable light at all in Virginia). The other thing keeping him close was people were pissed about COVID policies. But he still wasn't going to win - just too much ground to make up in a pretty blue state. But then 2 things happened: 1) the blockbuster story from a northern VA high school where a trans girl had abused several girls in school bathrooms and school administrators had covered it up, and 2) Terry McAuliffe adamantly said that they had to keep parents out of the classroom. That was it, that was the dagger. He never recovered from that statement and Youngkin milked it all the way through to Election Day. He was able to sway enough suburban moms to the R side.

This election is fascinating to me. I can't stand either candidate, or either political party. But you can see each side digging hard to look for that kill shot (poor choice of words...). I don't think either side has found it...yet... But Kamala, Trump, and Vance are prone to saying stupid stuff, so with 100 days to go, I just don't know if both sides can avoid the huge mistake for that long.
 
Monica Crowley
@MonicaCrowley
🚨🚨🚨

Obama was driving the Biden coup - until he wasn’t.

He succeeded in enlisting Pelosi to force Biden out - but before he could spring his alternative plan in place, Kamala & Joe shivved him by announcing Biden’s withdrawal AND endorsement of her.

Kamala then moved wicked fast, locking up support and money

and before Barack could say “holy Politburo anti-coup!”, Kamala sealed the deal.

She boxed out Obama, making her nomination a fait accompli and forcing Obama’s endorsement today.

Do NOT underestimate her.
 
Do y'all think there's going to be a defining singular moment/flub that loses this election for either Trump or Harris? With about 100 days until the election, that's a lot of time for Trump to try to just run out the clock (assuming polls are right and he's winning the swing states)

I live in Virginia, and I think back to the 2021 race for governor. Republicans always face an uphill climb in this state. But Youngkin was keeping it close in large part due to being able to somehow distance himself from Trump (in 2021 Trump was not seen in a favorable light at all in Virginia). The other thing keeping him close was people were pissed about COVID policies. But he still wasn't going to win - just too much ground to make up in a pretty blue state. But then 2 things happened: 1) the blockbuster story from a northern VA high school where a trans girl had abused several girls in school bathrooms and school administrators had covered it up, and 2) Terry McAuliffe adamantly said that they had to keep parents out of the classroom. That was it, that was the dagger. He never recovered from that statement and Youngkin milked it all the way through to Election Day. He was able to sway enough suburban moms to the R side.

This election is fascinating to me. I can't stand either candidate, or either political party. But you can see each side digging hard to look for that kill shot (poor choice of words...). I don't think either side has found it...yet... But Kamala, Trump, and Vance are prone to saying stupid stuff, so with 100 days to go, I just don't know if both sides can avoid the huge mistake for that long.
With those two there may be 10 moments from each which throw momentum to the other.
 
Monica Crowley
@MonicaCrowley
🚨🚨🚨

Obama was driving the Biden coup - until he wasn’t.

He succeeded in enlisting Pelosi to force Biden out - but before he could spring his alternative plan in place, Kamala & Joe shivved him by announcing Biden’s withdrawal AND endorsement of her.

Kamala then moved wicked fast, locking up support and money

and before Barack could say “holy Politburo anti-coup!”, Kamala sealed the deal.

She boxed out Obama, making her nomination a fait accompli and forcing Obama’s endorsement today.

Do NOT underestimate her.
So, who did Obama really want to get the nomination?
 
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Whatever MAGA is, it broke the left.
MAGA is Putin's grandest achievement. It has made the GOP, with few exceptions, his political party in America. As such he is making Nikta Khrushchev's prediction a reality. CONGRATULATIONS Putin! It's a masterful stroke!
 
Monica Crowley
@MonicaCrowley
🚨🚨🚨

Obama was driving the Biden coup - until he wasn’t.

He succeeded in enlisting Pelosi to force Biden out - but before he could spring his alternative plan in place, Kamala & Joe shivved him by announcing Biden’s withdrawal AND endorsement of her.

Kamala then moved wicked fast, locking up support and money

and before Barack could say “holy Politburo anti-coup!”, Kamala sealed the deal.

She boxed out Obama, making her nomination a fait accompli and forcing Obama’s endorsement today.

Do NOT underestimate her.
wicked... that sounds like @Boston Vol brah
 
MAGA is Putin's grandest achievement. It has made the GOP, with few exceptions, his political party in America. As such he is making Nikta Khrushchev's prediction a reality. CONGRATULATIONS Putin! It's a masterful stroke!
MAGA goes away, invade Ukraine. MAGA comes back…open to peace talks. Thanks MAGA, love Ukraine!
 
Independents, in swing states, will play an outsized role in this election.

I think they might be interested in the fate of private healthcare. You think not?
The swing states that will decide it are PA,MI, and WI. And the main topics there will be the economy and unemployment. Rightly or wrongly, a lot of blue collar workers in those states blame 1) cheap labor from illegal immigration and 2) trade deals that move US jobs overseas. In both of these cases, Trump‘s populist approach seems to have the better chance of connecting with voters (in my opinion at least). That more than any other reason is why Trump tapped Vance for VP. Expect Vance to spend 90% of his time in those three states plus Ohio. Will be interesting to see how that gamble pays off. FWIW, I just don’t see Blue collar rust belt voters getting excited by Kamela at all.
 

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