All things STOCKS

#1,102
#1,102
Precious metals have recently been breaking through critical technical areas on their respective charts - Gold, Silver, and Copper in particular. I'm still highly bullish on silver, especially given the retrace of the XAU / XAG ratios back from ATHs this year. This typically been a very bullish technical indicator, often indicating bull runs in both commodities.

I've opened up some additional exposure to precious metals, and I'm long on gold and silver miners, in addition being long on ETFs that track the spot prices of both metals.
 
#1,107
#1,107
I might take a large position in Defense Friday and add next week. Not close to deciding anything. I might be up all night exploring possible trades in the morning.

Here are some ETFs, not necessarily interested in any at this point:

DFEN
FITE
ITA
PPA
XAR
 
#1,109
#1,109
Defense:
Boeing and Spirit (BA/SPR)
FLIR Flir
damn General Dynamics
HON Honeywell
LHX L3 Harris
LMT Lockheed
NOC Northrop
RTN Raytheon
ROK Rockwell Automation (might be more automotive iirc)
SAIC
LDOS
CACI

EDIT: VN profanity filter is changing "gee Dee" to "damn"... kind of comical
 
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#1,110
#1,110
DFEN: $60 million, triple levered
Direxion

ITA: $5.5 billion
iShares/BlackRock

XAR: $2 billion in assets
SPDR

PPA: $1 billion
Invesco

FITE: $20 million
 
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#1,111
#1,111
UTX (United Technologies) and GE. I'm pretty sure GE hasn't jettisoned their jet engine biz.

EDIT... still supplying aircraft manufacturing. Healthcare is another major part of GE. Boeing's problems have hit them hard ($1.5B FCF annually) although the share price is way up from their summer of 2019 bottom after the improper accounting allegations). Still lots of debt and risk.
 
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#1,112
#1,112
Thunder Good-Oil said:
Defense:
Boeing and Spirit (BA/SPR)
FLIR Flir
damn General Dynamics
HON Honeywell
LHX L3 Harris
LMT Lockheed
NOC Northrop
RTN Raytheon
ROK Rockwell Automation (might be more automotive iirc)

EDIT: VN profanity filter is changing "gee Dee" to "damn"... kind of comical
Click to expand...

I've been crushing on HAL

Oil and Gas, let's get money in 2020. So undervalued. XLV is my wife, but XLE is my GF from high school who I know is under valued
 
#1,113
#1,113
GoVolsDR said:
I've been crushing on HAL

Oil and Gas, let's get money in 2020. So undervalued. XLV is my wife, but XLE is my GF from high school who I know is under valued
Click to expand...

IMO this Iran **** is going to escalate quickly. Maybe it will settle down in the near term, but they've been poking at the US for over 40 years. Our economic sanctions are really disruptive and their anger won't be de-escalating anytime soon.

Reminder: the political debate is in the Political Forum. Let's not let the Trump and Pelosi love and hate bleed into this thread. There's a STOCKS thread over there as well for the partisan bickering. BTW, there's some good info in the thread about the US sending Qasem Soleimani his 72 virgins. US may have killed Quds Force Commander Qasem Soleimani
 
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#1,114
#1,114
GoVolsDR said:
I've been crushing on HAL

Oil and Gas, let's get money in 2020. So undervalued. XLV is my wife, but XLE is my GF from high school who I know is under valued
Click to expand...

I thought about buying some oil services after the Saudi oil infrastructure was blasted a few months ago. But I don't know which publicly traded stocks would benefit directly... but even a services company not doing business directly in SA, there's likely a positive ripple effect if their competitors got a **** ton of a windfall in business.

I was burned badly speculating in oil prices 2 or 3 years back. Services companies and diversified oil and energy are more appealing to me. I wonder if coal will benefit? Previous POTUS wasn't friendly to that industry and it gets put in a bad light by the Left/Liberals/Dems, but if an all out oil crisis is in the cards, we are the world's leader in coal. I don't know if any new coal fired plants are going to be commissioned any time soon (as long as Natty is so cheap).
 
#1,115
#1,115
GoVolsDR said:
I've been crushing on HAL

Oil and Gas, let's get money in 2020. So undervalued. XLV is my wife, but XLE is my GF from high school who I know is under valued
Click to expand...

I've been having a 3-way with your wife and CURE for several years now.

XLE might be a really good idea. I cashed out a pension/defined benefit a year or 2 ago and put 20% or so of the proceeds in XOM (mainly for the dividend yield). XLE seems pretty responsible.
 
#1,120
#1,120
DancingOutlaw said:
Last year Northrop bought Alliant which runs a lot of small arms ammunition factories in the US.
Click to expand...

I'm not sure what small arms ammunition is exactly, but if it's correlated to boots on the ground I wouldn't expect to see a jump in revenue (other than from those worried about the 2nd Amendment being under attack and therefore stocking up).

This mess that continues to escalate in the ME will, IMO, mean lots of $75,000 missles are going to be built and high tech methods of defense, deterrence, and retaliation will continue to be enhanced. But contrast that with the massive ND growing because of expanding deficits.

The whole defense sector has possibly gone up too fast, but there should still be investment opportunites. The chaos builds a pretty solid floor, also IMO.

Boeing and GE might be good ideas.

20 years ago sock puppet companies were getting crazy valuations if they put dot com in their names while companies like Lockheed, which had operations in outer effing space, weren't highly valued.
 
#1,122
#1,122
Thunder Good-Oil said:
I'm slowing my roll a bit, but for now I'll be looking for good entry points for BA, ITA, and XLE.
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Is BA a company that is now considered sleazy/ corrupt? They seem like a bunch of amatures trying to commit a crime. When will their problems end? I'd put them in the same boat as Uber and a few of the drug companies. Just not honorable people.

Otoh I'd think you're getting in at a decent price. But I've thought that before, and........

I m also watching a few stocks but the price is going to have to come down. I.e. VE. I have owned BA for years.
 
#1,123
#1,123
MadisonvilleVol said:
Thoughts on USB and BX?
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I love Blackstone. With public IPOs being so ridiculously priced and seeming to be more oriented as exit strategies for the early investors rather than a source of funding for businesses, I think that private equity will benefit.

I always like big financials. I've never owned USB but have held JPM, BAC, C, and GS at times. ALLY, SMBK, and SCHW are currently more interesting to me. But the immediate climate may not be ideal for the smaller 2 and SCHW might not move up a lot as they work through integrating Ameritrade.
 
#1,125
#1,125
Go aeiou said:
Is BA a company that is now considered sleazy/ corrupt? They seem like a bunch of amatures trying to commit a crime. When will their problems end? I'd put them in the same boat as Uber and a few of the drug companies. Just not honorable people.

Otoh I'd think you're getting in at a decent price. But I've thought that before, and........

I m also watching a few stocks but the price is going to have to come down. I.e. VE. I have owned BA for years.
Click to expand...

I've not thought of them as sleazy or corrupt. At least not more than most.

There are only 2. Airbus is operating inside of that EU mess. I like BA's lack of competition and the floor as a strategically critical company. I am surprised that it's not pulled back more as long as their problem has been unresolved. Spirit (the BA supplier, not the airline) is probably the bigger risk, but also potentially has the bigger reward ahead if/when they get the 737 mess resolved.
 
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