VolunteerHillbilly
Spike Drinks, Not Trees
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If Tennessee beats Arkansas and then Arkansas wins out, Auburn still won't go to the SECCG. Arkansas holds the head-to-head tie-break and is currently undefeated in the SEC. Therefore, Florida would be playing a 10-2 Arkansas team.
Here are the non-common opponents between Auburn and Tennessee (and computer avg for each opp)
Auburn
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17 Washington St
82 Tulane
81 Ole Miss
85 Arkansas St
93 Miss State
116 Buffalo
average computer rank = 79
Tennessee
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3 California
47 Kentucky
66 Vanderbilt
71 Air Force
96 Marshall
113 Memphis
average computer rank = 66
In my opinion, Tennessee has played a better schedule than Auburn. However, that is not the point. If Auburn wins the SECCG and is 12-1, there is no way Tennessee would be ranked higher. Regardless of how the computers look at schedules, 12-of-13 is a higher winning pct than 11-of-12 and that carries alot of weight in the computers.
Thanks. I forgot that Arky did not have any conference losses. I appreciate the explanation and it opens up a whole new scenario/question.
IF UT wins out, Arky's only additional loss is to UT, and Arky beats UF in the SECCG could UT (11-1) jump Arky (11-2)?