Vol Mania 21
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So, is the major knock the fact that the bill was structured to be too highly focused on spending (and not necessarily in infrastructure) instead of a balance between spending and the right kind of tax credits?
I see how the targeted tax credits can have a direct and quicker stimulative effect. However, you also seem to be keying in on a problem with how they are spending the "spending" portion of the bill in that it is structured poorly and leading to a long implementation time. I think that you are noting that the infrastructure spending would probably not be that much faster...so is you point that if the money had gone more directly to the states that it would have been spent faster? I'm trying to figure out what it is about the structure (besides the balance between tax credits and spending) that is wrong and is leading to the long implementation time, in your opinion.
I'm saying the "spending" portion is problematic in several ways:
1. unfocused - while spending may have some stimulative effect it can have much more impact by being focused in areas that are crucial to economic growth. While I'm not advocating this in particular - here is an example. They could have bought a portion of the foreclosed homes and destroyed them. Seems harsh and wasteful but it would artificially impact supply/demand in the housing market which could stabilize prices. Stabilizing prices gives homeowners better asset values; more equity and could spur home building which is key driver of economic growth. Funding some dumb museum somewhere would not have the same effect.
2. timing - far too much of the spending is in the future to have a short-term stimulative effect. So, the payments to states to prevent immediate layoffs of personnel is a relatively quick spend and while not stimulative on its face it would lessen the negative stimulus of unemployment.
3. non-productive - like #1 in a way; this spending is not investment driven. Broad use infrastructure spending is more of an investment than turtle tunnels.
So, I don't have a problem with spending as a major portion of the stimulus but I do have a problem with the specific spending they've chosen.
Add to that the lack of a true short-term stimulus portion of the plan.
Anybody catch Laura Tyson getting on the second stimulus train?
I took a class from her when i was an economics major at cal. scary scary stuff. she couldnt' keep her political views and economic theory seperate. she and obama have very very similar views about the world. how someone like that get's put as the head of hte business school is beyond me. i know more about economics than laura tyson.
she's a scary womanI took a class from her when i was an economics major at cal. scary scary stuff. she couldnt' keep her political views and economic theory seperate. she and obama have very very similar views about the world. how someone like that get's put as the head of hte business school is beyond me. i know more about economics than laura tyson.
which would make her a Keynesian economist, right? I'm trying to wrap my head around an economic philosophy that views government spending as superior to a private market.