i'm sure it's a factor. but i think for transfers, what affects their decision is the same things that have always affected their decision...be it playing time, needing a fresh start, coaching change, personnel, system....but first and foremost, it starts with first determining whether or not you need to leave your current situation, and if doing so will improve it. since last summer, over 2000 kids have entered the portal. not enough homes for all of them, so while NIL will factor for the cream of the crop, i would venture to say it matters very little to the majority.