CFP predictions?

#29
#29
1 loss TCU probably in either way

Doubtful..... Hard to find a world where the #3 team loses to a 3 loss team and stays idle at the #3 ranking or drops just one spot to #4....

If TCU loses and stays in the playoff, the feds should open investigation right away for a pay to play.
 
#31
#31
Yup.... I think that will be their bailout to keeping Bama ahead of us.
Yeah man. I was all aboard with ready to play anybody. Even after the debacle at SC I would have felt good about playing anybody. But without Hooker and going into a bowl with who knows who opting out, I have little to no confidence in winning a bowl.
 
#32
#32
This week:

1. Georgia (SEC CG)
2. Michigan (Big 10 CG)
3. TCU (Big 12 CG)
4. USC (PAC-12 CG)
5. Alabama (Idle)
6. Ohio St (Idle)
7. Tennessee (Idle)
8. Penn St (Idle)


After Championship Week:

1. Georgia (SEC Champ)
2. Michigan (Big 10 Champ)
3. Alabama (At-Large)
4. Ohio St (At-Large)
5. Tennessee
6. Penn St
7. TCU (Lost Big 12 Championship)
8. USC (Lost PAC-12 Championship)
 
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#33
#33
Doubtful..... Hard to find a world where the #3 team loses to a 3 loss team and stays idle at the #3 ranking or drops just one spot to #4....

If TCU loses and stays in the playoff, the feds should open investigation right away for a pay to play.

Unless USC wins, TCU is in either way. Who else would you put in over them
 
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#34
#34
Unless USC wins, TCU is in either way. Who else would you put in over them

So you’re saying TCU losing to a 3 loss team would result in the not dropping a spot or dropping 1 spot at most ? Lol


TCU and/or USC lose and 3 teams wait below for a shot. I don’t see how a 12-1 TCU or 11-2 USC ending the season a loss get rewarded with a playoff spot and not drop any from their rankings.
 
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#37
#37
The committee might have liked the Vols better ....with Hooker.

This, we’re just not the same with Milton at QB. Last nice was fun to watch, especially our RBs run like they did but that was Vanderbilt. Milton had a few good throws but just as many, if not more errant throws. Respect that he stuck around and competed after losing the starting job to Hooker. Last night we all saw Milton pick up where he left off before losing the starting job (inconsistent). He just doesn’t have the touch or accuracy that is needed to make the difficult throws.

It’s been a really good season and looking forward to a great bowl, probably the Orange in Miami vs. Clemson (assuming they win the ACC)
 
#38
#38
So you’re saying TCU losing to a 3 loss team would result in the not dropping a spot or dropping 1 spot at most ? Lol


TCU and/or USC lose and 3 teams wait below for a shot. I don’t see how a 12-1 TCU or 11-2 USC ending the season a loss get rewarded with a playoff spot and not drop any from their rankings.

Who would you put in over TCU?
 
#39
#39
Who would you put in over TCU?

They lose and OSU/Bama wait directly below. Not sure how #3 can lose to a #9-10 ranked team and expect to stay at #3 or #4…. If 3 beating 1 resulted in a 4 spot drop, why do you think 9-11 beating 3 would result in a 0-1 spot drop? Lol
 
#40
#40
They lose and OSU/Bama wait directly below. Not sure how #3 can lose to a #9-10 ranked team and expect to stay at #3 or #4…. If 3 beating 1 resulted in a 4 spot drop, why do you think 9-11 beating 3 would result in a 0-1 spot drop? Lol

Sure if TCU losses OH St may jump them. Bama will not. That’s why I said if they lose and USC loses they’re still in.

11-1 TCU will get in over any 2 loss team
 
#41
#41
Sure if TCU losses OH St may jump them. Bama will not. That’s why I said if they lose and USC loses they’re still in.

11-1 TCU will get in over any 2 loss team

Doubtful. TCU loses. They drop to the 7-10 range. They simply don’t have good opponents on their schedule to have a “good loss” and keep them in the hunt. Same with USC.

If both lose, they like drop out of the top 6 and insert Ohio State for sure and Bama/Tennessee with a bit lower odds.

There is simply no way the #3 team can lose and not drop in the rankings… not sure who would argue that as a realistic possibility. TCU all season long could afford a loss as their opponent season W/L was like 72-71… simply no really good teams they beat this year. Best win is to a 3 loss team.
 
#43
#43
Doubtful. TCU loses. They drop to the 7-10 range. They simply don’t have good opponents on their schedule to have a “good loss” and keep them in the hunt. Same with USC.

If both lose, they like drop out of the top 6 and insert Ohio State for sure and Bama/Tennessee with a bit lower odds.

There is simply no way the #3 team can lose and not drop in the rankings… not sure who would argue that as a realistic possibility. TCU all season long could afford a loss as their opponent season W/L was like 72-71… simply no really good teams they beat this year. Best win is to a 3 loss team.

Texas isn’t a bad loss. And just because they lose doesn’t mean they’ll drop that far if there’s no one else to replace them with. Going from 3 to 4 is a drop.

So you want to replace TCU with Bama whose best win is also over a 3 loss team?

Actually I think 8-4 is the best team they’ve beat
 
#44
#44
Texas isn’t a bad loss. And just because they lose doesn’t mean they’ll drop that far if there’s no one else to replace them with. Going from 3 to 4 is a drop.

So you want to replace TCU with Bama whose best win is also over a 3 loss team?

Texas at 8-4 is a weaker loss than it is a a good win.

TCU’s total opponent win loss record is 72-71 and they will have beaten no one with fewer than 3 losses. If they lose to a 3 loss K State, they will drop more than 0-1 spots. This insistence that they can lose to a 3 loss team and drop only 1 spot is funny…. They would drop 3-4 spots in the rankings with a loss to a 3 loss team. And last I checked, dropping 3-4 spots from the #3 seed means they get left out of the playoff.
 
#45
#45
Texas at 8-4 is a weaker loss than it is a a good win.

TCU’s total opponent win loss record is 72-71 and they will have beaten no one with fewer than 3 losses. If they lose to a 3 loss K State, they will drop more than 0-1 spots. This insistence that they can lose to a 3 loss team and drop only 1 spot is funny…. They would drop 3-4 spots in the rankings with a loss to a 3 loss team. And last I checked, dropping 3-4 spots from the #3 seed means they get left out of the playoff.

Who has Bama beaten with fewer than 3 losses? Who do you put in over them if USC is at 2 losses?
 
#47
#47
Who has Bama beaten with fewer than 3 losses? Who do you put in over them if USC is at 2 losses?

I would put Ohio State, Bama, or Tennessee in that pecking order in over a 12-1 TCU that loses to K State and 11-2 USC who loses to Utah…..

I don’t understand how people think TCU losing to a 9-11 ranked team won’t result in them dropping in the rankings. Same for USC losing to a 10-14 ranked Utah….

it doesn’t matter who gets in over them. I’m literally saying a loss in either of those games will result in them dropping in the rankings. They can’t just lose and stay idle in the rankings. Especially with 3 idle teams below them.
 
#48
#48
And Ohio state over us

Yep. We needed a 2 loss TCU to have a chance. Then for USC to drop one. Our path in after the second loss always involved Michigan, Georgia, and Oh St as the other 3 and everyone else losing.

We came really close to it happening too. Closer than I expected
 
#49
#49
I would put Ohio State, Bama, or Tennessee in that pecking order in over a 12-1 TCU that loses to K State and 11-2 USC who loses to Utah…..

I don’t understand how people think TCU losing to a 9-11 ranked team won’t result in them dropping in the rankings. Same for USC losing to a 10-14 ranked Utah….

it doesn’t matter who gets in over them. I’m literally saying a loss in either of those games will result in them dropping in the rankings. They can’t just lose and stay idle in the rankings. Especially with 3 idle teams below them.

Oh St is in for sure if those two lose. That’s not the question. The question is who gets the fourth spot. You seem obsessed with the idea that TCU hasn’t beaten anyone with less than 3 losses, but you’re wanting to put a Bama team in with a worse record who also hasn’t beaten anyone with less than 3 losses?

How do you defend that?

No one is saying TCU won’t fall. Just that they can only fall so far because everyone else has a worse record.

It 100% matters who is in over them. Because you have to justify putting another team in over them. Not just “they lost recently”
 
#50
#50
Oh St is in for sure if those two lose. That’s not the question. The question is who gets the fourth spot. You seem obsessed with the idea that TCU hasn’t beaten anyone with less than 3 losses, but you’re wanting to put a Bama team in with a worse record who also hasn’t beaten anyone with less than 3 losses?

How do you defend that?

No one is saying TCU won’t fall. Just that they can only fall so far because everyone else has a worse record.

It 100% matters who is in over them. Because you have to justify putting another team in over them. Not just “they lost recently”

Simple question, if TCU loses to 3 loss K State, do they drop out of the Top 4?

If TCU loses to K State, that should warrant them dropping to the 8-10 range. And it has zero to do anyone else sitting in the 4-7 range. Losing to a 3 loss K State isn’t a loss that should keep them inside the top 6. Especially considering TCU doesn’t have any great wins this year. And in the event that happens, the convo of OSU or Bama over TCU becomes a “who is the better team” debate. No one in their right mind would say TCU on neutral field would be a competitive betting line vs Bama or Ohio State. 13-0 TCU deserves to be in. 12-1 TCU is a completely different story
 

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