Highly unlikely the Vols are overlooking the Mildcats. If they ever were going to play sluggish it would have been against Tennessee Martin after coming off the biggest Vols win in 15+ years over Bama. Martin is not a bad FCS program currently ranked 18th nationally among FCS schools. So being up 52-7 at the half would indicate the Vols came to play Saturday. We could have easily hung 80+ on them but better to play the young guys. Kentucky beat their FCS opponent this year, an unranked Youngstown State team, 31-0. While they did take care of business, the Cats were only up 21-0 at the half (half time comparisons better reveal the relative merits of the win given the level of competition).
Here's what will determine the game and why IMHO the Vols win handily
1. The Cats made last years game a nailbitter by running the ball down our throats, burning clock, and keeping our offense off the field. They will not be able to do that nearly as well this year as our front 7 are vastly improved over last year. The Cats will have to throw the ball to move the chains.
2. Will Levis is an effective passer when he has time...he won't consistently. The Vols will win 1st and 2nd downs and have Kentucky in 3rd and longs all evening. While Levis will make some plays, he will look a lot like LSU's Jayden Daniels did against our pass rush. We will get sacks and a couple of picks. Kentucky will be in the same position all our competition have been in, they can not have empty possessions or turn overs if they want to stay in the game. They will have both. Their offense is no where near as good as Bama's with a healthy Bryce Young, and its unlikely Levis will have a carreer day like Florida's AR did. That said, something in the 20's or less is all the Kentucky offense will be able to muster.
3. No one has slowed our offense down yet. Kentucky will not be able to either. Vols will scope 40+.
4. Is there a way Kentucky can win the game? Yes, but only if the Vols help them A LOT!! Barring some turnover nightmare, interceptions, fumbles, blocked or muffed punts, the Cats will lose and lose biggly.
Vols by 24+ my perdiction is 56-21, all Vols all day!
GBO!!