Coronavirus (No politics)

Neil Fergerson gave some clarity. Saying 20k he told parliament is due to the shutdown now in place from a few days ago will accomplish it. Other was if doing nothing.
That would make sense if he hadn't said that he revised it down initially because they grossly underestimated the number of infected.
 
It's following this prediction graph pretty closely. So if it keeps up it will kill 1,200,000 by February 21st. The true numbers are skewed in the first place. They are a lot higher coming from a communist government like China. They're boarding up entrances to high rise apartment buildings and locking citizens in.

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How's that 1.2 million dead by Feb 21 coming?
 
We’re testing more people, so of course we’re going to find more cases. It’s hard to fault medicine in the spread of a viral disease. The only prominent country (that also has a significant number of cases) that is doing “better” than us (mortality rate) is Germany, and our ratios are on par with South Korea, who have been lauded for their initial response.
 
That would make sense if he hadn't said that he revised it down initially because they grossly underestimated the number of infected.

Coronavirus Pandemic: Neil Ferguson Didn't Walk Back His COVID-19 Predictions | National Review

neil_ferguson (@neil_ferguson) | Twitter

You should look at what he actually said and not assume what you wish were true. There can certainly be arguments made over different assumptions which can change a model's forecast. The argument shouldn't be based on false or misleading information, though.
 
Coronavirus Pandemic: Neil Ferguson Didn't Walk Back His COVID-19 Predictions | National Review

neil_ferguson (@neil_ferguson) | Twitter

You should look at what he actually said and not assume what you wish were true. There can certainly be arguments made over different assumptions which can change a model's forecast. The argument shouldn't be based on false or misleading information, though.
I read articles all over the place. He made comments one way and then flipped course again when he realized he put his ass out.
 
I read articles all over the place. He made comments one way and then flipped course again when he realized he put his ass out.

Can you please provide a source then? I was previously instructed to "google it" and all I have seen is information that corresponds with him saying he hasn't adjusted any of the assumptions of the original model but rather anticipates social distancing to reduce expected mortality from a model where we "do nothing". As an aside, I don't think we would ever "do nothing" people are going to adjust their behavior on their own as well although it would likely be significantly less effective.
 
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Tennessee coronavirus stats
1203 total cases/1139 still active
1139/7,000,000= 0.016% of pop
6 deaths/1203 cases= 0.49%
103 hospital admissions
14,888 negatives/16091 tests=92.5%
 
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A friend just told me there had been 9 suicides in Knoxville in the past 48 hours. If true, then the worst thing I anticipated from our shutdown response is actually coming to fruition. I wonder if this is a nation-wide trend.

“That number is completely shocking and makes me wonder if what we are doing now is really the best approach,” the Mayor [Jacobs] said. “We have to determine how we can respond to COVID-19 in a way that keeps our economy intact, keeps people employed and empowers them with a feeling of hope and optimism – not desperation and despair.”
 
The county I work has confirmed their 4th case. All together in the neighboring counties there is 7 cases. That's not bad so far, none confirmedin county we live in yet.
 
1) per capita it isn't close
2) we have tested more people than anybody so hence more cases
3) Why do you guys keep quoting a guy that was fired for HIPAA violations and has a of history of sexual harassment and domestic abuse?
Social justice personality Eugene Gu has a history of abuse
He isn’t wrong though. American healthcare isn’t great. I work in healthcare and it’s a very crooked, money grabbing business.
 

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