Look at his entire body of work. The answer is yes. He's been a winner everywhere he's gone. ND may prove to be different, but I'll wait and see until we're a little more than 1 season + 2 games into his career at South Bend.
His record at GVSU stands on its own. He won 2 Div II national championships. That tells you the man knows how to coach. He is a very good coach.
He took a traditionally crappy team at CMU and turned it into a winner in 3 years, but then jumped ship after year 3. We dont know if he could have maintained it, because he didnt stick around.
He took a Cincinnati team that had been 7-5 for 2 out of the 3 previous years under Mark Dantonio and went double digit wins for 3 years. That is pretty good coaching.
A good coach can take someone elses recruits and win with them. Dantonio did a pretty good recruiting job at Cinci, he didnt exactly leave the cupboard bare, but at the same time, you still need to come in and coach a Cinci team up to get double digit wins. He did that.
At ND, he has pressures that he did not have at Cinci, or CMU, and especially at GVSU. He was 118-35-2 at GVSU. For those who dont know, this is a little school in Grand Rapids MI. They have some very good athletic tradition, and Brian Kelly is a HUGE part of that. But they cannot be compared to a MAC team, or an Ohio Valley Conference team. They are DII, and the pressures are not the same.
Body of work says he is a very good coach.
But how he handles the pressure of the big time program has yet to be seen. He has not had to recruit against um, UT, UF, MSU, O$U, Texas. He has been trying to fight for the 2* and 3* players at Cinci and CMU. He is fighting with the big dogs now, and Im not sure he has what it takes to handle that.
And he doesnt have to get up for 2 or 3 games a year now. He has someone gunning for him EVERY WEEK, and twice on a bye week.
And he killed a kid because his practice was more important the the safety of his team and staff. Keeping a kid on a lift in 60mph winds was his call. It was a classless move, and I believe it shows the true character of the coach. And the response by ND, trying to push it all under the rug shows the true character of the school.
I hope Brian Kelly never wins another game.