No worries. I'm not taking your posts as antagonistic. Honest answer, in multiple parts:
A) Milroe is a year ahead of Simpson. Just a point of clarification.
B) I think Bama's is a different situation. Nico is an otherworldly talent. None of those guys...Simpson, Milroe, Holstein, or the Georgia kid...are in Nico's league as a prospect. Holstein has a decent chance to beat those guys out. I just don't think that's true of any kid following Nico. While Simpson is the slight favorite, Bama will have a fairly open QB race this fall.
C) Alabama, Ohio State, Clemson, etc. have been winning and producing QBs for the last decade plus, while Tennessee has not. That gives them an advantage in these situations that Tennessee doesn't currently have. If a kid is gonna wait his turn, he'd rather do it at a winning/talent-producing school and know when it's his time, it'll be worth it.
D) I'm not saying Tennessee CAN'T land a top QB in the 2024 class. I'm saying that the presence of Nico is a huge dissuasive factor. It makes things more difficult. But I hope Heupel can pull it off. He very well may.
E) I think there are "in-between" QB classes in which you may have to settle for a solid 4* or high 3* QB because he's coming in behind an elite talent. Todd Helton the year after Shuler and Tee Martin two years after Manning come to mind. That's kinda what Bama got this year to follow Simpson. Holstein is a solid 4*, but he's not up there in the elite group with Nico, Arch, Nelson, Arnold, Moore, or even Vizzna (who I think is a bit underrated).
Brent Hubbs told a story on the VQ podcast recently. It was told to him by Phillip Fulmer. Fulmer told him that, years after his playing days at UT, Jamal Lewis laughingly told him, "you know, I didn't know who Travis Henry was until I met him on the elevator at Gibbs Hall." Hubbs told the story to make a point about how different it is now. Recruits around the nation all know each other. They know who the really good ones are and they know who's great in the classes above and below them too. QBs in that 2024 class know all about Nico, how good he is, and that he's expected to be a star in 2024, if not 2023. That'll be tough to overcome on the recruiting trail. Hope we do it, though.