Vercingetorix
Fluidmaster
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Maybe one or two classes, but you can't sustain it long enough to really build an elite program unless recruits see those players developing into great players and see program winning.
Or, unless you are the University of Texas.
As one who has had very close, personal experiences with college athletic recruiting, I have a different perspective. I know that the coach is the face of the program, and he is the primary focus of the recruitment process, but there are other factors. Student athletes also look at the atmosphere, the opinions of the other players, the personality of the program, etc. I think it takes a bit of time for the new coach to make his imprint on all of that.
I won't judge him solely on on next year unless he just flat out tanks it. If he shows progress and puts together a better class than we've seen in recent years, I will expect the improvement to continue.
Well, obviously at some point you have to be able to coach too. If a coach pulls two good recruiting classes and can't show improvement, he needs to be gone anyway. Cf.Ed Orgeron.
No championship-winning coach has come into the SEC in the divisional era and had to do this sort of two-tiered process you're describing, where you recruit decent players, have some success, and then recruit top players after that. Every coach that's come into the conference and gone on to win a championship has blown it out in recruiting right from the jump and won his first championship early.